Monday, October 15, 2012

U.S. House Predictions- Part XI

22 Days Until Election Day

New York

1. Tim Bishop D vs. Randy Altschuler R (Obama 51%)- Leans D
2. Vivianne Falcone D vs. Pete King R (Obama 51%)- Safe R
3. Steve Israel D vs. Stephen Labate R (Obama 54%)- Likely D
4. Carolyn McCarthy D vs. Fran Becker R (Obama 55%)- Likely D
5. Gregory Meeks D vs. Allan Jennings R (Obama 86%)- Safe D
6. Grace Meng D vs. Dan Halloran R (Obama 63%)- Likely D
7. Nydia Velazquez D (Obama 84%)- Safe D
8. Hakeem Jeffries D vs. Alan Bellone R (Obama 86%)- Safe D
9. Yvette Clarke D vs. Daniel Cavanagh R (Obama 84%)- Safe D
10. Jerry Nadler D vs. Michael Chan R (Obama 76%)- Safe D
11. Mark Murphy D vs. Michael Grimm R (McCain 51%)- Leans R
12. Carolyn Maloney D vs. Christopher Wight R (Obama 80%)- Likely D
13. Charlie Rangel D vs. Craig Schley R (Obama 93%)- Safe D
14. Joe Crowley D vs. William Gibbons R (Obama 76%)- Safe D
15. Jose Serrano D vs. Frank Della Valle R (Obama 95%)- Safe D
16. Eliot Engel D vs. Joseph McLaughlin R (Obama 73%)- Safe D
17. Nita Lowey D vs. Joe Carvin R (Obama 58%)- Likely D
18. Sean Patrick Maloney D vs. Nan Hayworth R (Obama 52%)- Leans R
19. Julian Schriebman D vs. Chris Gibson R (Obama 53%)- Leans R
20. Paul Tonko D vs. Bob Dieterich R (Obama 58%)- Safe D
21. Bill Owens D vs. Matt Doheny R (Obama 52%)- Leans D
22. Dan Lamb D vs. Richard Hanna R (McCain 49%)- Likely R
23. Nate Shinagawa D vs. Tom Reed R (Obama 50%)- Likely R
24. Dan Maffei D vs. Ann Marie Buerkle R (Obama 56%)- Leans D
25. Louise Slaughter D vs. Maggie Brooks R (Obama 59%)- Leans D
26. Brian Higgins D vs. Mike Madigan R (Obama 63%)- Safe D
27. Kathy Hochul D vs. Chris Collins R (McCain 54%)- Tossup (D)

NY current: 21 D, 8 R
NY predicted: 21 D, 6 R

Current total: 141 D, 147 R
Predicted:
141 D (77 Safe, 41 Likely, 17 Leans, 6 Tossup)
143 R (75 Safe, 39 Likely, 15 Leans, 14 Tossup)