Saturday, October 19, 2024

U.S. House Predictions: Massachusetts- Missouri

 17 Days Until Election Day

I think I will be able to organize my thoughts better for a Presidential campaign post tomorrow. Over the past several months, I have occasionally posted those on Sundays. By that time, Trump may have a lot more to say about the manhood of Arnold Palmer and that will need to be covered at length...
 
Massachusetts
 
1. Richard Neal D (Biden 60%)- Safe D
2. Jim McGovern D (Biden 64%)- Safe D
3. Lori Trahan D (Biden 63%)- Safe D
4. Jake Auchincloss D (Biden 63%)- Safe D
5. Katherine Clark D (Biden 75%)- Safe D
6. Seth Moulton D (Biden 63%)- Safe D
7. Ayanna Pressley D (Biden 86%)- Safe D
8. Stephen Lynch D (Biden 67%)- Safe D
9. Bill Keating D (Biden 58%)- Safe D

MA current: 9 D, 0 R
MA predicted: 9 D, 0 R

Current total: 108 D, 90 R

Predicted:

114 D (75 Safe, 21 Likely, 9 Leans, 9 Tossup)
  84 R (51 Safe, 16 Likely, 11 Leans, 6 Tossup)
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Michigan
 
1. Jack Bergman R (Trump 59%)- Likely R
2. John Moolenaar R (Trump 63%)- Safe R
3. Hillary Scholten D (Biden 53%)- Leans D
4. Bill Huizenga R (Trump 51%)- Leans R
5. Tim Walberg R (Trump 61%)- Safe R
6. Debbie Dingell D (Biden 63%)- Safe D
7. Open (Elissa Slotkin D)- (Biden 50%)- Tossup (R)
8. Open (Dan Kildee D)- (Biden 50%)- Tossup (R)
9. Lisa McClain R (Trump 64%)- Safe R
10. John James R (Trump 50%)- Tossup (R)
11. Haley Stevens D (Biden 59%)- Safe D
12. Rashida Tlaib D (Biden 74%)- Safe D
13. Shri Thanedar D (Biden 74%)- Safe D

MI current: 7 D, 6 R
MI predicted: 5 D, 8 R

Current total: 115 D, 96 R
 
Predicted:

119 D (79 Safe, 21 Likely, 10 Leans, 9 Tossup)
  92 R (54 Safe, 17 Likely, 12 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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Minnesota

1. Brad Finstad R (Trump 53%)- Likely R
2. Angie Craig D (Biden 53%)- Leans D
3. Open (Dean Phillips D)- (Biden 60%)- Likely D
4. Betty McCollum D (Biden 68%)- Safe D
5. Ilhan Omar D (Biden 81%)- Likely D
6. Tom Emmer R (Trump 58%)- Safe R
7. Michelle Fischbach R (Trump 66%)- Safe R
8. Pete Stauber R (Trump 55%)- Likely R

MN current: 4 D, 4 R
MN predicted: 4 D, 4 R
 
Current total: 119 D, 100 R
 
Predicted:

123 D (80 Safe, 23 Likely, 11 Leans, 9 Tossup)
  96 R (56 Safe, 19 Likely, 12 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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Mississippi

1. Trent Kelly R (Trump 65%)- Safe R
2. Bennie Thompson D (Biden 62%)- Safe D
3. Michael Guest R (Trump 62%)- Safe R
4. Mike Ezell R (Trump 68%)- Safe R

MS current: 1 D, 3 R
MS predicted: 1 D, 3 R
 
Current total: 120 D,  103 R
 
Predicted:

124 D (81 Safe, 23 Likely, 11 Leans, 9 Tossup)
  99 R (59 Safe, 19 Likely, 12 Leans, 9 Tossup)
_________________________________________________________________________
 
Missouri
 
1. Open (Cori Bush D)- (Biden 78%)- Safe D
2. Ann Wagner R (Trump 53%)- Likely R
3. Open (Blaine Luetkemeyer R)- (Trump 62%)- Safe R
4. Mark Alford R (Trump 69%)- Safe R
5. Emanuel Cleaver D (Biden 62%)- Likely D
6. Sam Graves R (Trump 68%)- Safe R
7. Eric Burlison R (Trump 70%)- Safe R
8. Jason Smith R (Trump 75%)- Safe R

MO current: 2 D, 6 R
MO predicted: 2 D, 6 R

Current total: 122 D, 109 R
 
Predicted:

126 D (82 Safe, 24 Likely, 11 Leans, 9 Tossup)
105 R (64 Safe, 20 Likely, 12 Leans, 9 Tossup)