Friday, October 24, 2014

U.S. House Predictions- Part VIII

11 Days Until Election Day

New York

1. Timothy Bishop D (Obama 50%)- Leans D
2. Peter King R (Obama 52%)- Safe R
3. Steve Israel D (Obama 51%)- Likely D
4. Open (Carolyn McCarthy D)- (Obama 56%)- Likely D
5. Gregory Meeks D (Obama 90%)- Safe D
6. Grace Meng D (Obama 68%)- Safe D
7. Nydia Velazquez D (Obama 88%)- Safe D
8. Hakeem Jeffries D (Obama 89%)- Safe D
9. Yvette Clarke D (Obama 85%)- Safe D
10. Jerrold Nadler D (Obama 74%)- Safe D
11. Michael Grimm R (Obama 52%)- Tossup (R)
12. Carolyn Maloney D (Obama 77%)- Safe D
13. Charles Rangel D (Obama 95%)- Safe D
14. Joseph Crowley D (Obama 81%)- Safe D
15. Jose Serrano D (Obama 97%)- Safe D
16. Eliot Engel D (Obama 74%)- Safe D
17. Nita Lowey D (Obama 57%)- Likely D
18. Sean Patrick Maloney D (Obama 51%)- Tossup (R)
19. Chris Gibson R (Obama 52%)- Likely R
20. Paul Tonko D (Obama 59%)- Safe D
21. Open (Bill Owens D)- (Obama 52%)- Likely R
22. Richard Hanna R (Romney 49%)- Safe R
23. Tom Reed R (Romney 50%)- Likely R
24. Dan Maffei D (Obama 57%)- Leans D
25. Louise Slaughter D (Obama 59%)- Safe D
26. Brian Higgins D (Obama 64%)- Safe D
27. Chris Collins R (Romney 55%)- Safe R

NY current: 21 D, 6 R
NY predicted: 19 D, 8 R

Current total: 152 D, 132 R
Predicted:
144 D (102 Safe, 24 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
140 R (86 Safe, 36 Likely, 7 Leans, 11 Tossup)
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North Carolina

1. G.K. Butterfield D (Obama 71%)- Safe D
2. Renee Ellmers R (Romney 57%)- Likely R
3. Walter Jones R (Romney 58%)- Safe R
4. David Price D (Obama 71%)- Safe D
5. Virginia Foxx R (Romney 59%)- Safe R
6. Open (Howard Coble R)- (Romney 58%)- Likely R
7. Open (Mike McIntyre D)- (Romney 59%)- Likely R
8. Richard Hudson R (Romney 58%)- Safe R
9. Robert Pittenger R (Romney 56%)- Safe R
10. Patrick McHenry R (Romney 58%)- Safe R
11. Mark Meadows R (Romney 61%)- Safe R
12. Vacant (Melvin Watt D)- (Obama 78%)- Safe D/Regular and Special
13. George Holding R (Romney 55%)- Safe R

NC current: 4 D, 9 R
NC predicted: 3 D, 10 R

Current total: 156 D, 141 R
Predicted:
147 D (105 Safe, 24 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
150 R (93 Safe, 39 Likely, 7 Leans, 11 Tossup)
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North Dakota

1.  Kevin Cramer R (Romney 58%)- Likely R

ND current: 0 D, 1 R
ND predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 156 D, 142 R
Predicted:
147 D (105 Safe, 24 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
151 R (93 Safe, 40 Likely, 7 Leans, 11 Tossup)