Thursday, October 23, 2014

U.S. House Predictions- Part VII

12 Days Until Election Day

Nebraska

1. Jeff Fortenberry R (Romney 57%)- Safe R
2. Lee Terry R (Romney 53%)- Tossup (R)
3. Adrian Smith R (Romney 70%)- Safe R

NE current: 0 D, 3 R
NE predicted: 0 D, 3 R

Current total: 119 D, 117 R
Predicted:
114 D (80 Safe, 20 Likely, 10 Leans, 4 Tossup)
122 R (80 Safe, 29 Likely, 5 Leans, 8 Tossup)
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Nevada 

1. Dina Titus D (Obama 66%)- Likely D
2. Mark Amodei R (Romney 53%)- Safe R
3. Joe Heck R (Obama 50%)- Likely R
4. Steven Horsford D (Obama 54%)- Leans D

NV current: 2 D, 2 R
NV predicted: 2 D, 2 R

Current total: 121 D, 119 R
Predicted: 
116 D (80 Safe, 21 Likely, 11 Leans, 4 Tossup)
124 R (81 Safe, 30 Likely, 5 Leans, 8 Tossup)
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New Hampshire

1. Carol Shea-Porter D (Obama 50%)- Tossup (R)
2. Ann McLane Kuster D (Obama 54%)- Tossup (D)

NH current: 2 D, 0 R
NH predicted: 1 D, 1 R

Current total: 123 D, 119 R
Predicted:
117 D (80 Safe, 21 Likely, 11 Leans, 5 Tossup)
125 R (81 Safe, 30 Likely, 5 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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New Jersey

1. Vacant (Robert Andrews D)- (Obama 65%)- Safe D (Regular and Special)
2. Frank LoBiondo R (Obama 54%)- Leans R
3. Open (Jon Runyan R)- (Obama 52%)- Leans R
4. Christopher Smith R (Romney 54%)- Safe R
5. Scott Garrett R (Romney 51%)- Likely R
6. Frank Pallone D (Obama 61%)- Safe D
7. Leonard Lance R (Romney 52%)- Likely R
8. Albio Sires D (Obama 79%)- Safe D
9. Bill Pascrell D (Obama 68%)- Safe D
10. Donald Payne Jr. D (Obama 86%)- Safe D
11. Rodney Frelinghuysen R (Romney 52%)- Likely R
12. Open (Rush Holt D)- (Obama 66%)- Safe D

NJ current: 6 D, 6 R
NJ predicted: 6 D, 6 R

Current total: 129 D, 125 R
Predicted:
123 D (86 Safe, 21 Likely, 11 Leans, 5 Tossup)
131 R (82 Safe, 33 Likely, 7 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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New Mexico

1. Michelle Lujan Grisham D (Obama 55%)- Safe D
2. Steve Pearce R (Romney 52%)- Safe R
3. Ben Ray Lujan D (Obama 58%)- Safe D

NM current: 2 D, 1 R
NM predicted: 2 D, 1 R

Current total: 131 D, 126 R
Predicted:
125 D (88 Safe, 21 Likely, 11 Leans, 5 Tossup)
132 R (83 Safe, 33 Likely, 7 Leans, 9 Tossup)