Friday, October 25, 2024

U.S. House Predictions: Pennsylvania-Tennessee

 11 Days Until Election Day

Pennsylvania

1. Brian Fitzpatrick R (Biden 52%)- Leans R
2. Brendan Boyle D (Biden 71%)- Safe D
3. Dwight Evans D (Biden 90%)- Safe D
4. Madeleine Dean D (Biden 59%)- Likely D
5. Mary Gay Scanlon D (Biden 66%)- Safe D
6. Chrissy Houlahan D (Biden 57%)- Likely D
7. Susan Wild D (Biden 50%)- Tossup (D)
8. Matt Cartwright D (Trump 51%)- Leans D
9. Dan Meuser R (Trump 68%)- Safe R
10. Scott Perry R (Trump 51%)- Tossup (D)
11. Lloyd Smucker R (Trump 60%)- Safe R
12. Summer Lee D (Biden 59%)- Likely D
13. John Joyce R (Trump 72%)- Safe R
14. Guy Reschenthaler R (Trump 65%)- Safe R
15. Glenn Thompson R (Trump 68%)- Safe R
16. Mike Kelly R (Trump 60%)- Likely R
17. Chris Deluzio D (Biden 52%)- Leans D

PA current: 9 D, 8 R
PA predicted: 10 D, 7 R

Current total : 180 D, 161 R

Predicted:

187 D (110 Safe, 36 Likely, 26 Leans, 15 Tossup)
154 R ( 92 Safe, 35 Likely, 15 Leans, 12 Tossup)
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Rhode Island

1. Gabe Amo D (Biden 64%)- Safe D
2. Seth Magaziner D (Biden 56%)- Likely D

RI total: 2 D, 0 R
RI predicted: 2 D, 0 R

Current total: 182 D, 161 R

Predicted:

189 D (111 Safe, 37 Likely, 26 Leans, 15 Tossup)
154 R ( 92 Safe, 35 Likely, 15 Leans, 12 Tossup)
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South Carolina

1. Nancy Mace R (Trump 53%)- Leans R
2. Joe Wilson R (Trump 54%)- Likely R
3. Open (Jeff Duncan R)- (Trump 68%)- Safe R
4. William Timmons R (Trump 58%)- Likely R
5. Ralph Norman R (Trump 58%)- Safe R
6. Jim Clyburn D (Biden 65%)- Likely D
7. Ruissell Fry R (Trump 59%)- Likely R

SC current: 1 D, 6 R
SC predicted: 1 D, 6 R

Current total: 183 D, 167 R

Predicted:

190 D (111 Safe, 38 Likely, 26 Leans, 15 Tossup)
160 R ( 94 Safe, 38 Likely, 16 Leans, 12 Tossup)
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South Dakota
 
1. Dusty Johnson R (Trump 62%)- Safe R

SD current: 0 D, 1 R
SD predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 183 D, 168 R

Predicted:

190 D (111 Safe, 38 Likely, 26 Leans, 15 Tossup)
161 R ( 95 Safe, 38 Likely, 16 Leans, 12 Tossup)
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Tennessee
 
1. Diana Harshbarger R (Trump 76%)- Safe R
2. Tim Burchett R (Trump 64%)- Safe R
3. Chuck Fleischmann R (Trump 65%)- Safe R
4. Scott DesJarlais R (Trump 68%)- Safe R
5. Andy Ogles R (Trump 55%)- Likely R
6. John Rose R (Trump 64%)- Safe R
7. Mark Green R (Trump 56%)- Likely R
8. David Kustoff R (Trump 68%)- Safe R
9. Steve Cohen D (Biden 73%)- Safe D

TN current: 1 D, 8 R
TN predicted: 1 D, 8 R

Current total: 184 D, 176 R

Predicted:

191 D (112 Safe, 38 Likely, 26 Leans, 15 Tossup)
169 R (101 Safe, 40 Likely, 16 Leans, 12 Tossup)