U.S. House Special Elections

It always feels a bit weird to do these posts, but I want to continue my history of predicting "every" U.S. House election. It seems like there are more this year than usual, and one will officially be decided tomorrow. I want to get all of these currently vacant districts out of the way now, so I will not have to interrupt my "Race of the Day" for Gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races which will begin later this summer.

The first race is one that I officially predicted back on April 3, but I got a detail wrong, because the candidates running in the current district, which will be changed for November, are not even planning to run for a full term. The Republican (whom I did correctly predict would advance) will be of those short term Members of Congress for serious trivia competitors to remember.

 

Of course, most of the focus tomorrow for California and a handful of other states will be for the regular primaries.

California

22. (vacant upon resignation of Devin Nunes R)

won by Trump with 52% of the vote

 

Likely R

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Texas

34. (vacant upon resignation of Filemon Vela D)

won by Biden with 52%) of the vote

Tossup (R) - Tossup (Flores)

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Nebraska

1. (vacant upon resignation of Jeff Fortenberry R)

won by Trump with 56% of the vote won by Trump with 54% of the vote- new district

 

Likely R

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Minnesota

1. (vacant upon death of Jim Hagedorn R)

won by Trump with 54% of the vote

Likely R

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Alaska

1. (vacant upon death of Don Young R)

won by Trump with 53% of the vote)

Leans R (Tossup Begich)

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New York

19. (vacant upon resignation of Antonio Delgado D)

won by Biden with 50% of the vote

Tossup (R)

23. (vacant upon resignation of Tom Reed R)

won by Trump with 54% of the vote

Likely R (Tossup Sempolinski)