Monday, October 24, 2016

U.S. House Predictions Part 8

15 Days Until Election Day

Indiana

1. Peter Visclosky D (Obama 61%) Safe D
2. Jackie Walorski R (Romney 56%) Safe R
3. Open (Marlin Stutzman R)- (Romney 63%) Safe R
4. Todd Rokita R (Romney 61%) Safe R
5. Susan Brooks R (Romney 58%) Safe R
6. Luke Messer R (Romney 60%) Safe R
7. Andre Carson D (Obama 63%) Safe D
8. Larry Bucshon R (Romney 58%) Safe R
9. Open (Todd Young R)- (Romney 57%) Leans R

IN current: 2 D, 7 R
IN predicted: 2 D, 7 R

Current total: 81 D, 78 R
Predicted:

81 D (62 Safe, 16 Likely, 3 Leans)

78 R (53 Safe, 13 Likely, 8 Leans, 4 Tossup)
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Iowa

1. Rod Blum R (Obama 56%) Leans R
2. Dave Loebsack D (Obama 56%) Likely D
3. David Young R (Obama 51%) Leans R
4. Steve King R (Romney 53%) Likely R

IA current: 1 D, 3 R
IA predicted: 1 D, 3 R

Current total: 82 D, 81 R
Predicted:

82 D (62 Safe, 17 Likely, 3 Leans)
81 R (53 Safe, 14 Likely, 10 Leans, 4 Tossup)
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Kansas

1. Open (Tim Hueslkamp R)- (Romney 70%) Safe R
2. Lynn Jenkins R (Romney 55%) Safe R
3. Kevin Yoder R (Romney 54%) Tossup (R)
4. Mike Pompeo R (Romney 62%) Safe R

KS current: 0 D, 4 R
KS predicted: 0 D, 4 R

Current total: 82 D, 85 R
Predicted:

82 D (62 Safe, 17 Likely, 3 Leans)
85 R (56 Safe, 14 Likely, 10 Leans, 5 Tossup)
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Kentucky

1. Vacant (Ed Whitfield R) - (Romney 66%) Safe R (regular and Special)
2. Brett Guthrie R (Romney 63%) Safe R
3. John Yarmuth D (Obama 56%) Safe D
4. Thomas Massie R (Romney 63%) Safe R
5. Harold Rogers R (Romney 75%) Safe R
6. Andy Barr R (Romney 56%) Safe R

KY current: 1 D, 5 R
KY predicted: 1 D, 5 R

Current total: 83 D, 90 R

Predicted:

83 D (63 Safe, 17 Likely, 3 Leans)
90 R (61 Safe, 14 Likely, 10 Leans, 5 Tossup)