Sunday, October 04, 2020

U.S. House Predictions- Illinois-Iowa

30 Days Until Election Day

Illinois

1. Bobby Rush D (Clinton 75%) Safe D
2. Robin Kelly D (Clinton 77%) Safe D
3. Open (Dan Lipinksi D) (Clinton 55%)  Likely D
4. Chuy Garcia D (Clinton 81%) Safe D
5. Mike Quigley D (Clinton 70%) Safe D
6. Sean Casten D (Clinton 49%) Leans D
7. Danny Davis D (Clinton 87%) Safe D
8. Raja Krisnhamoorthi D (Clinton 58%) Safe D
9. Jan Schakowsky D (Clinton 69%) Safe D
10. Brad Schneider D (Clinton 61%) Likely D
11. Bill Foster D (Clinton 58%) Safe D
12. Mike Bost R (Trump 54%) Likely R
13. Rodney Davis R (Trump 49%) Tossup (R)
14. Lauren Underwood D (Trump 48%) Leans D
15. Open (John Shimkus R) (Trump 70%) Safe R
16. Adam Kinzinger R (Trump 55%) Likely R
17. Cheri Bustos D (Trump 47%) Likely D
18. Darin LaHood R (Trump 60%) Safe R

IL current: 13 D,  5 R
IL predicted: 13 D, 5 R

Current total: 94 D, 56 R
Predicted:
96 D (70 Safe, 15 Likely, 6 Leans, 5 Tossup)
54 R (32 Safe, 13 Likely, 6 Leans, 3 Tossup)
_________________________________________________________________________

Indiana

1. Open (Pete Visclosky D) (Clinton 53%) Safe D
2. Jackie Walorski R (Trump 58%) Likely R
3. Jim Banks R (Trump 64%) Safe R
4. Jim Baird R (Trump 64%) Safe R
5. Open (Susan Brooks R) (Trump 52%) Tossup (R)
6. Greg Pence R (Trump 67%) Safe R
7. Andre Carson D (Clinton 58%) Safe D
8. Larry Bucshon R (Trump 64%) Safe R
9. Trey Hollingsworth R (Trump 60%) Likely R

IN current: 2 D, 7 R
IN predicted: 2 D, 7 R

Current total: 96 D, 63 R
Predicted: 
98 D (72 Safe, 15 Likely, 6 Leans, 5 Tossup)
61 R (36 Safe, 15 Likely, 6 Leans, 4 Tossup)
______________________________________________________________________________

Iowa

1. Abby Finkenauer D (Trump 48%) Tossup (D)
2. Open (Dave Loebsack D) (Trump 49%) Tossup (R)
3. Cindy Axne D (Trump 48%) Leans D
4. Open (Steve King R) (Trump 60%) Likely R

IA current: 3 D, 1 R
IA predicted: 2 D, 2 R

Current total: 99 D, 64 R
Predicted: 
100 D (72 Safe, 15 Likely, 7 Leans, 6 Tossup)
 63 R  (36 Safe, 16 Likely, 6 Leans, 5 Tossup)