Sunday, October 19, 2014

U.S. House Predictions- Part IV

16 Days Until Election Day

Georgia

1. Open (Jack Kingston R)- (Romney 56%)- Safe R
2. Sanford Bishop D (Obama 59%)- Safe D
3. Lynn Westmoreland R (Romney 66%)- Safe R
4. Hank Johnson D (Obama 74%)- Safe D
5. John Lewis D (Obama 83%)- Safe D
6. Tom Price R (Romney 61%)- Safe R
7. Rob Woodall R (Romney 60%)- Safe R
8. Austin Scott R (Romney 62%)- Safe R
9. Doug Collins R (Romney 78%)- Safe R
10. Open (Paul Broun R)- (Romney 62%)- Likely R
11. Open (Phil Gingrey R)- (Romney 67%)- Safe R
12. John Barrow D (Romney 55%)- Leans D
13. David Scott D (Obama 69%)- Safe D
14. Tom Graves R (Romney 73%)- Safe R

GA current: 5 D, 9 R
GA predicted: 5 D, 9 R

Current total: 68 D, 60 R
Predicted:
65 D (45 Safe, 15 Likely, 4 Leans, 1 Tossup)
63 R (45 Safe, 11 Likely, 3 Leans, 4 Tossup)
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Hawai'i

1.  Open (Colleen Hanabusa D)- (Obama 70%)- Leans D
2. Tulsi Gabbard D (Obama 71%)- Safe D

HI current: 2 D, 0 R
HI predicted: 2 D, 0 R

Current total: 70 D, 60 R
Predicted: 
67 D (46 Safe, 15 Likely, 5 Leans, 1 Tossup)
63 R (45 Safe, 11 Likely, 3 Leans, 4 Tossup)
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Idaho

1. Raul Labrador R (Romney 65%)- Safe R
2. Mike Simpson R (Romney 64)- Safe R

ID current: 0D, 2 R
ID predicted: 0 D, 2 R

Current total: 70 D, 62 R
Predicted:
67 D (46 Safe, 15 Likely, 5 Leans, 1 Tossup)
65 R (47 Safe, 11 Likely, 3 Leans, 4 Tossup)
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Illinois

1. Bobby Rush D (Obama 79%)- Safe D
2. Robin Kelly D (Obama 81%)- Safe D
3. Daniel Lipinksi D (Obama 56%)- Safe D
4. Luis Gutierrez D (Obama 81%)- Safe D
5. Mike Quigley D (Obama 66%)- Safe D
6. Peter Roskam R (Romney 53%)- Safe R
7. Danny Davis D (Obama 87%)- Safe D
8. Tammy Duckworth D (Obama 57%)- Likely D
9. Jan Schakowsky D (Obama 65%)- Safe D
10. Brad Schneider D (Obama 58%)- Tossup (R)
11. Bill Foster D (Obama 58%)- Tossup (D)
12. Bill Enyart D (Obama 50%)- Tossup (R)
13. Rodney Davis R (Romney 49%)- Likely R
14. Randy Hultgren R (Romney 54%)- Safe R
15. John Shimkus R (Romney 64%)- Safe R
16. Adam Kinzinger R (Romney 53%)- Safe R
17. Cheri Bustos D (Obama 58%)- Leans D
18. Aaron Schock R (Romney 61%)- Safe R

IL current: 12 D, 6 R
IL predicted: 10 D, 8 R

Current total: 82 D, 68 R
Predicted:
77 D (53 Safe, 16 Likely, 6 Leans, 2 Tossup)
73 R (52 Safe, 12 Likely, 3 Leans, 6 Tossup)
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Indiana

1. Peter Visclosky D (Obama 61%)- Safe D
2. Jackie Walorski R (Romney 56%)- Likely R
3. Marlin Stutzman R (Romney 63%)- Safe R
4. Todd Rokita R (Romney 61%)- Safe R
5. Susan Brooks R (Romney 57%)- Safe R
6. Luke Messer R (Romney 60%)- Safe R
7. Andre Carson D (Obama 63%)- Safe D
8. Larry Bucshon R (Romney 58%)- Likely R
9. Todd Young R (Romney 57%)- Likely R

IN current: 2 D, 7 R
IN predicted: 2 D, 7 R

Current total: 84 D, 75 R
Predicted:
79 D (55 Safe, 16 Likely, 6 Leans, 2 Tossup)
80 R (56 Safe, 15 Likely, 3 Leans, 6 Tossup)
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Iowa

1. Open (Bruce Braley D)- (Obama 56%)- Leans D
2. Dave Loebsack D  (Obama 56%)- Likely D
3. Open (Tom Latham R)- (Obama 51%)- Tossup (D)
4. Steve King R (Romney 53%)- Likely R

IA current: 2 D, 2 R
IA predicted: 3 D, 1 R

Current total: 86 D, 77 R
Predicted:
82 D (55 Safe, 17 Likely, 7 Leans, 3 Tossup)
81 R (56 Safe, 16 Likely, 3 Leans, 6 Tossup)