Friday, October 05, 2012

U.S. House Predictions- Part V

32 Days Until Election Day

Georgia-Idaho

Georgia

1. Lesli Messinger D vs. Jack Kingston R (McCain 55%)- Safe R
2. Sanford Bishop D vs. John House R (Obama 58%)- Likely D
3. Lynn Westmoreland R (McCain 65%)- Safe R
4. Cynthia McKinney I vs. Hank Johnson D vs. Chris Vaughn R (Obama 73%)- Safe D
5. John Lewis D vs. Howard Stopeck R (Obama 84%)- Safe D
6. Jeff Kazanow D vs. Tom Price R (McCain 59%)- Safe R
7. Steve Reilly D vs. Rob Woodall R (McCain 60%)- Safe R
8. Austin Scott R (McCain 62%)- Safe R
9. Jody Cooley D vs. Doug Collins R (McCain 75%)- Safe R
10. Paul Broun Jr. R (McCain 60%)- Safe R
11. Patrick Thompson D vs. Phil Gingrey R (McCain 64%)- Safe R
12. John Barrow D vs. Lee Anderson R (McCain 56%)- Leans R
13. David Scott D vs. Shahid Malik R (Obama 67%)- Safe D
14. Danny Grant D vs. Tom Graves R (McCain 71%)- Safe R

GA current: 5 D, 8 R
GA predicted: 4 D, 10 R

Current total: 59 D, 65 R
Predicted:
62 D (39 Safe, 11 Likely, 10 Leans, 2 Tossup)
66 R (39 Safe, 15 Likely, 7 Leans, 5 Tossup)
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Hawai'i

1. Colleen Hanabusa D vs. Charles Djou R (Obama 70%)- Likely D
2. Tulsi Gabbard D vs. Kawika Crowley R (Obama 73%)- Safe D

HI current: 2 D, 0 R
HI predicted: 2 D, 0 R

Current total: 61 D, 65 R
Predicted:
64 D (40 Safe, 12 Likely, 10 Leans, 2 Tossup)
66 R (39 Safe, 15 Likely, 7 Leans, 5 Tossup)
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Idaho

1. Jimmy Farris D vs. Raul Labrador R (McCain 63%)- Safe R
2. Nicole LeFavour D vs. Mike Simpson R (McCain 61%)- Safe R

ID current: 0 D, 2 R
ID predicted: 0 D, 2 R

Current total: 61 D, 67 R

Predicted:
64 D (40 Safe, 12 Likely, 10 Leans, 2 Tossup)
68 R (41 Safe, 15 Likely, 7 Leans, 5 Tossup)