Thursday, October 27, 2016

U.S. House Predictions Part 9

12 Days Until Election Day

Louisiana

1. Steve Scalise R (Romney 71%) Safe R
2. Cedric Richmond D (Obama 76%) Safe D/Safe Richmond
3. Open (Charles Boustany R)- (Romney 66%) Safe R/Likely Angelle
4. Open (John Fleming R)- (Romney 59%) Safe R/Tossup (Johnson)
5. Ralph Abraham R (Romney 61%) Safe R/Safe Abraham
6. Garrett Graves R (Romney 66%) Safe R/Likely Graves

LA current: 1 D, 5 R
LA predicted: 1 D, 5 R

Current total: 84 D, 95 R

Predicted:

84 D (64 Safe, 17 Likely, 3 Leans)
95 R (66 Safe, 14 Likely, 10 Leans, 5 Tossup)
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Maine

1.  Chellie Pingree D (Obama 59%) Safe D
2. Bruce Poliquin R (Obama 53%) Tossup (R)

ME current: 1 D, 1 R
ME predicted: 1 D, 1 R

Current total: 85 D, 96 R

Predicted:

85 D (65 Safe, 17 Likely, 3 Leans)
96 R (66 Safe, 14 Likely, 10 Leans, 6 Tossup)
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Maryland

1. Andy Harris R (Romney 61%) Safe R
2. Dutch Ruppersberger D (Obama 63%) Safe D
3. John Sarbanes D (Obama 61%) Safe D
4. Open (Donna Edwards D)- (Obama 78%) Safe D
5. Steny Hoyer D (Obama 66%) Safe D
6. John Delaney D (Obama 55%) Likely D
7. Elijah Cummings D (Obama 76%) Safe D
8. Open (Chris Van Hollen D)- (Obama 62%) Safe D

MD current: 7 D, 1 R
MD predicted: 7 D, 1 R

Current total: 92 D, 97 R

Predicted:

92 D (71 Safe, 18 Likely, 3 Leans)
97 R (67 Safe, 14 Likely, 10 Leans, 6 Tossup)
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Massachusetts

1. Richard Neal D (Obama 64%) Safe D
2. Jim McGovern D (Obama 59%) Safe D
3. Niki Tsongas D (Obama 57%) Safe D
4. Joe Kennedy D (Obama 57%) Safe D
5. Katherine Clark D (Obama 65%) Safe D
6. Seth Moulton D (Obama 55%) Safe D
7. Mike Capuano D (Obama 82%) Safe D
8. Stephen Lynch D (Obama 58%) Safe D
9. Bill Keating D (Obama 55%) Safe D

MA current: 9 D, 0 R
MA predicted: 9 D, 0 R

Current total: 101 D, 97 R

Predicted:

101 D (80 Safe, 18 Likely, 3 Leans)
97 R (67 Safe, 14 Likely, 10 Leans, 6 Tossup)