U.S. House Predictions: Mississippi- New Mexico

12 Days Until Election Day

Mississippi

 

1. Dianne Dodson Black D vs. Trent Kelly R  (Trump 65%)- Safe R

2. Bennie Thompson D vs. Brian Flowers R (Biden 63%)- Safe D

3. Shuwaski Young D vs. Michael Guest R (Trump 62%)- Safe R

4. Johnny DuPree D vs. Mike Ezell R (Trump 68%)- Safe R

MS current: 1 D, 3 R

MS predicted: 1 D, 3 R

Current total: 127 D, 97 R

Predicted:

118 D  (84 Safe, 16 Likely, 12 Lean, 6 Tossup)

105 R  (70 Safe, 15 Likely, 12 Lean, 8 Tossup)

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Missouri

1. Cori Bush D vs. Andrew Jones R (Biden 78%)- Safe D

2. Trish Gunby D vs. Ann Wagner R (Trump 53%)- Likely R

3. Bethany Mann D vs. Blaine Luetkemeyer R (Trump 62%)- Safe R

4. Jack Truman D vs. Mark Alford R (Trump 69%)- Safe R

5. Emanuel Cleaver D vs. Jacob Turk R (Biden 62%)- Safe D

6. Henry Martin D vs. Sam Graves R (Trump 68%)- Safe R

7. Kristen Radaker Sheafer D vs. Eric Burlison R (Trump 70%)- Safe R

8. Randi McCallian D vs. Jason Smith R (Trump 75%)- Safe R

MO current: 2 D, 6 R

MO predicted: 2 D, 6 R

Current total: 129 D, 103 R

Predicted:

120 D  (86 Safe, 16 Likely, 12 Lean, 6 Tossup)

111 R  (75 Safe, 16 Likely, 12 Lean, 8 Tossup)

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Montana

 

1. Monica Tranel D vs. Ryan Zinke R (Trump 52%)-  Leans R

2. Penny Ronning D vs. Gary Buchanan I vs. Matt Rosendale R (Trump 62%)- Likely R

MT current: 0 D, 1 R

MT predicted: 0 D, 2 R

Current total: 129 D, 104 R

Predicted:

120 D  (86 Safe, 16 Likely, 12 Lean, 6 Tossup)

113 R  (75 Safe, 17 Likely, 13 Lean, 8 Tossup)

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Nebraska

1. Patty Pansing Brooks D vs. Mike Flood R (Trump 54%)- Leans R

2. Tony Vargas D vs. Don Bacon R (Biden 52%)- Tossup (R)

3. Dave Else D vs. Adrian Smith R (Trump 75%)- Safe R

NE current: 0 D, 3 R

NE predicted: 0 D, 3 R

Current total: 129 D, 107 R

Predicted:

120 D  (86 Safe, 16 Likely, 12 Lean, 6 Tossup)

116 R  (76 Safe, 17 Likely, 14 Lean, 9 Tossup)

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Nevada

 

1. Dina Titus D vs. Mark Robertson R (Biden 53%)- Tossup (D)

2. Mercedes Krause D vs. Mark Amodei R (Trump 54%)- Likely R

3. Susie Lee D vs. April Becker R (Biden 52%)- Tossup (R)

4. Steven Horsford D vs. Sam Peters R (Biden 53%)- Leans D

NV current: 3 D, 1 R

NV predicted: 2 D, 2 R

Current total: 132 D, 108 R

Predicted:

122 D  (86 Safe, 16 Likely, 13 Lean, 7 Tossup)

118 R  (76 Safe, 18 Likely, 14 Lean, 10 Tossup)

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New Hampshire

 

1. Chris Pappas D vs. Karoline Leavitt R (Biden 52%)- Tossup (D)

2. Annie Kuster D vs. Robert Burns R (Biden 54%)- Likely D

NH current: 2 D, 0 R

NH predicted: 2 D, 0 R

Current total: 134 D, 108 R

Predicted:

124 D  (86 Safe, 17 Likely, 13 Lean, 8 Tossup)

118 R  (76 Safe, 18 Likely, 14 Lean, 10 Tossup)

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New Jersey

1. Donald Norcross D vs. Claire Gustafson R (Biden 62%)- Safe D

2. Tim Alexander D vs. Jeff Van Drew R (Trump 52%)- Likely R

3. Andy Kim D vs. Bob Healey R (Biden 56%)- Likely D

4. Matt Jenkins D vs. Chris Smith R (Trump 61%)- Safe R

5. Josh Gottheimer D vs. Frank Pallotta R (Biden 56%)- Likely D

6. Frank Pallone D vs. Sue Kiley R (Biden 59%)- Likely D

7. Tom Malinowski D vs. Tom Kean Jr. R (Biden 51%)- Leans R

8. Rob Menendez D vs. Marcos Arroyo R (Biden 72%)- Safe D

9. Bill Pascrell D vs. Billy Prempeh R (Biden 59%)- Safe D

10. Donald Payne Jr. D vs. David Pinckney R (Biden 81%)- Safe D

11. Mike Sherrill D vs. Paul DeGroot R (Biden 58%)- Likely D

12. Bonnie Watson Coleman D vs. Darius Mayfield R (Biden 67%)- Safe D

NJ current: 10 D, 2 R

NJ predicted: 9 D, 3 R

Current total: 144 D, 110 R

Predicted:

133 D  (91 Safe, 21 Likely, 13 Lean, 8 Tossup)

121 R  (77 Safe, 19 Likely, 15 Lean, 10 Tossup)

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New Mexico

1. Melanie Stansbury D vs. Michelle Garcia Holmes R (Biden 56%)- Likely D

2. Gabe Vasquez D vs. Yvette Herrell R (Biden 52%)- Tossup (R)

3. Teresa Leger Fernandez D vs. Alexis Martinez Johnson R (Biden 54%)- Leans D

NM current: 2 D, 1 R

NM predicted: 2 D, 1 R

 

 

Current total: 146 D, 111 R

Predicted:

135 D  (91 Safe, 22 Likely, 14 Lean, 8 Tossup)

122 R  (77 Safe, 19 Likely, 15 Lean, 11 Tossup)