Thursday, November 03, 2016

U.S. House Predictions Part 14

5 Days Until Election Day

North Carolina
(where Chicago Cubs World Series MVP Ben Zobrist was once a Durham Bull)

There are new districts this cycle in the state and I hope the Presidential results from the source I found are correct. However, all I am finding is the breakdown of the two-party vote and thus these numbers are not being presented the same way as the other states. Oh well.

1. G.K. Butterfield D (Obama 69%) Safe D
2. George Holding R (running in new district)- (Romney 57%) Safe R
3. Walter Jones Jr. R (Romney 59%) Safe R
4. David Price D (Obama 65%) Safe D
5. Virginia Foxx R (Romney 57%) Likely R
6. Mark Walker R (Romney 56%) Safe R
7. David Rouzer R (Romney 56%) Safe R
8. Richard Hudson R (Romney 55%) Safe R
9. Robert Pittenger R (Romney 56%) Safe R
10. Patrick McHenry R (Romney 59%) Safe R
11. Mark Meadows R (Romney 60%) Safe R
12. Alma Adams D (Obama 68%) Safe D
13. Open (George Holding R running in different district) - (Romney 53%) Likely R

NC current: 3 D, 10 R
NC predicted: 3 D, 10 R

Current total: 146 D, 151 R

Predicted:

152 D (117 Safe, 23 Likely, 9 Leans, 3 Tossup)
145 R (92 Safe, 31 Likely, 15 Leans, 7 Tossup)
___________________________________________________________________

North Dakota

(lots of Cubs fans there I am sure)

1. Kevin Cramer R (Romney 58%) Safe R

ND current: 0 D, 1 R
ND predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 146 D, 152 R

Predicted:

152 D (117 Safe, 23 Likely, 9 Leans, 3 Tossup)
146 R (93 Safe, 31 Likely, 15 Leans, 7 Tossup)