Monday, October 31, 2016

U.S. House Predictions Part 12

8 Days Until Election Day

New Hampshire

1. Frank Guinta R (Obama 50%) Leans D
2. Annie Kuster D (Obama 54%) Likely D

NH current: 1 D, 1 R
NH predicted: 2 D, 0 R

Current total: 117 D, 125 R

Predicted:

121 D (91 Safe, 21 Likely, 8 Leans, 1 Tossup)
121 R  (80 Safe, 21 Likely, 14 Leans, 6 Tossup)
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New Jersey

1. Donald Norcross D (Obama 65%) Safe D
2. Frank LoBiondo R (Obama 54%) Likely R
3. Tom MacArthur R (Obama 52%) Safe R
4. Chris Smith R (Romney 54%) Safe R
5. Scott Garrett R (Romney 51%) Tossup (D)
6. Frank Pallone D (Obama 61%) Safe D
7. Leonard Lance R (Romney 52%) Likely R
8. Albio Sires D (Obama 79%) Safe D
9. Bill Pascrell D (Obama 68%) Safe D
10. Donald Payne Jr. D (Obama 86%) Safe D
11. Rodney Frelinghuysen R (Romney 52%) Safe R
12. Bonnie Watson Coleman D (Obama 66%) Safe D

NJ current: 6 D, 6 R
NJ predicted: 7 D, 5 R

Current total: 123 D, 131 R

Predicted:

128 D (97 Safe, 21 Likely, 8 Leans, 2 Tossup)
126 R (83 Safe, 23 Likely, 14 Leans, 6 Tossup)
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New Mexico

1. Michelle Lujan Grisham D (Obama 55%) Safe D
2. Steve Pearce R (Romney 52%) Likely R
3. Ben Ray Lujan D (Obama 58%) Safe D

NM current: 2 D, 1 R
NM predicted: 2 D, 1 R

Current total: 125 D, 132 R

Predicted:

130 D (99 Safe, 21 Likely, 8 Leans, 2 Tossup)
127 R (83 Safe, 24 Likely, 14 Leans, 6 Tossup)