U.S. House Special Election

I always predict every U.S. House election, which occasionally makes it necessary to do these posts. I last did so in October.where I should note that a Safe D win in Texas did have me picking (via tossup) the wrong specific candidate among the two Democrats running, but since I got the party right of course, it does not count as a loss.

 

Anyways, there will two more special U.S. House elections coming in May and June, and I will get to those eventually, but Georgia is holding a very crowded election this coming Tuesday. If one candidate receives a majority, they are on their way to Washington D.C. Thus, I have to do this critical prediction before Tuesday! However, there is a virtual guarantee that there will be a runoff between the top two contenders a month from now. If needed, I will revise my call at that time.

 

Georgia

 

14. vacant upon resignation of Marjorie Taylor Greene R

 (won by Trump with 68 percent of the vote)

 

Likely R/Leans Fuller