Sunday, October 26, 2014

U.S. House Predictions- Part X

9 Days Until Election Day

Pennsylvania

1. Robert Brady D (Obama 82%)- Safe D
2. Chaka Fattah D (Obama 90%)- Safe D
3. Mike Kelly R (Romney 56%)- Safe R
4. Scott Perry R (Romney 57%)- Safe R
5. Glenn Thompson R (Romney 57%)- Safe R
6. Open (Jim Gerlach R)- (Romney 51%)- Likely R
7. Patrick Meehan R (Romney 50%)- Safe R
8. Michael Fitzpatrick R (Romney 49%)- Likely R
9. Bill Shuster R (Romney 63%)- Safe R
10. Tom Marino R (Romney 60%)- Safe R
11. Lou Barletta R (Romney 54%)- Safe R
12. Keith Rothfus R (Romney 58%)- Safe R
13. Open (Allyson Schwartz D)- (Obama 66%)- Safe D
14. Mike Doyle D (Obama 68%)- Safe D
15. Charlie Dent R (Romney 51%)- Safe R
16. Joe Pitts R (Romney 53%)- Safe R
17. Matt Cartwright D (Obama 55%)- Likely D
18. Tim Murphy R (Romney 58%)- Safe R

PA current: 5 D, 13 R
PA predicted: 5 D, 13 R

Current total: 169 D, 173 R
Predicted:
160 D (115 Safe, 27 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
182 R (120 Safe, 44 Likely, 7 Leans, 11 Tossup)
___________________________________________________________________________

Rhode Island

1. David Cicilline D (Obama 66%)- Likely D
2. Jim Langevin D (Obama 60%)- Safe D

RI current: 2 D, 0 R
RI predicted: 2 D, 0 R

Current total: 171 D, 173 R
Predicted:
162 D (116 Safe, 28 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
182 R (120 Safe, 44 Likely, 7 Leans, 11 Tossup)
____________________________________________________________________________

South Carolina

1. Mark Sanford R (Romney 57%)- Safe R
2. Joe Wilson R (Romney 59%)- Safe R
3. Jeff Duncan R (Romney 65%)- Safe R
4. Trey Gowdy R (Romney 62%)- Safe R
5. Mick Mulvaney R (Romney 55%)- Safe R
6. James Clyburn D (Obama 69%)- Safe D
7. Tom Rice R (Romney 54%)- Safe R

SC current: 1 D, 6 R
SC predicted: 1 D, 6 R

Current total: 172 D, 179 R
Predicted:
163 D (117 Safe, 28 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
188 R (126 Safe, 44 Likely, 7 Leans, 11 Tossup)
 ______________________________________________________________________________

South Dakota

1.  Kristi Noem R (Romney 58%)- Safe R

SD current: 0 D, 1 R
SD predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 172 D, 180 R
Predicted:
163 D (117 Safe, 28 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
189 R (127 Safe, 44 Likely, 7 Leans, 11 Tossup)
_____________________________________________________________________________

Tennessee

1. Phil Roe R (Romney 73%)- Safe R
2. Jimmy Duncan R (Romney 67%)- Safe R
3. Chuck Fleischmann R (Romney 63%)- Safe R
4. Scott DesJarlais R (Romney 65%)- Likely R
5. Jim Cooper D (Obama 56%)- Likely D
6. Diane Black R (Romney 69%)- Safe R
7. Marsha Blackburn R (Romney 66%)- Safe R
8. Stephen Fincher R (Romney 66%)- Safe R
9. Steve Cohen D (Obama 78%)- Safe D

TN current: 2 D, 7 R
TN predicted: 2 D, 7 R

Current total: 174 D, 187 R
Predicted:
165 D (118 Safe, 29 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
196 R (133 Safe, 45 Likely, 7 Leans, 11 Tossup)