Sunday, September 30, 2012

U.S. House Predictions-Part II

37 Days Until Election Day

California

1. Jim Reed D vs. Doug LaMalfa R (McCain 53%)- Likely R
2. Jared Huffman D vs. Dan Roberts R (Obama 71%)- Safe D
3. John Garamendi D vs. Kim Vann R (Obama 55%)- Leans D
4. Jack Uppal D vs. Tom McClintock R (McCain 54%)- Safe R
5. Mike Thompson D vs. Randy Loftin R (Obama 70%)- Safe D
6. Doris Matsui D vs. Joseph McCray R (Obama 68%)- Safe D
7. Ami Bera D vs. Dan Lungren R (Obama 51%)- Tossup (R)
8. Paul Cook R vs. Gregg Imus R (McCain 55%)- Safe R/Leans Cook
9. Jerry McNerney D vs. Ricky Gill R (Obama 56%)- Leans D
10. Jose Hernandez D vs. Jeff Denham R (Obama 50%)- Leans R
11. George Miller D vs. Virginia Fuller R (Obama 69%)- Safe D
12. Nancy Pelosi D vs. John Dennis R (Obama 84%)- Safe D
13. Barbara Lee D vs. Marilyn Singleton I (Obama 87%)- Safe D
14. Jackie Speier D vs. Debbie Bacigalupi R (Obama 73%)- Safe D
15. Pete Stark D vs. Eric Swalwell D (Obama 67%)- Safe D/Lean Swalwell
16. Jim Costa D vs. Brian Whelan R (Obama 57%)- Likely D
17. Mike Honda D vs Evelyn Li R (Obama 69%)- Safe D
18. Anna Eshoo D vs. Dave Chapman R (Obama 70%)- Safe D
19. Zoe Lofgren D vs. Robert Murray R (Obama 68%)- Safe D
20. Sam Farr D vs. Jeff Taylor R (Obama 71%)- Safe D
21. John Hernandez D vs. David Valadao R (Obama 52%)- Leans R
22. Otto Lee D vs. Devin Nunes R (McCain 55%)- Likely R
23. Terry Phillips I vs. Kevin McCarthy R (McCain 61%)- Safe R
24. Lois Capps D vs. Abel Maldanado R (Obama 56%)- Leans D
25. Lee Rogers D vs. Buck McKeon R (Obama 49%)- Likely R
26. Julia Brownley D vs. Tony Strickland R (Obama 56%)- Leans D
27. Judy Chu D vs. Jack Orswell R (Obama 61%)- Safe D
28. Adam Schiff D vs. Phil Jennerjahn R (Obama 70%)- Safe D
29. Tony Cardenas D vs. David Hernandez I (Obama 74%)- Safe D
30. Brad Sherman D vs. Howard Berman D (Obama 66%)- Safe D/Leans Sherman
31. Bob Dutton R vs. Gary Miller R (Obama 56%)- Safe R/Tossup (Miller)
32. Grace Napolitano D vs. David Miller R (Obama 62%)- Safe D
33. Henry Waxman D vs. Bill Bloomfield I (Obama 64%)- Safe D
34. Xavier Becerra D vs. Stephen Smith R (Obama 77%)- Safe D
35. Gloria Negrete McLeod D vs. Joe Baca D (Obama 64%)- Safe D/Leans Baca
36. Raul Ruiz D vs. Mary Bono Mack R (Obama 50%)- Leans R
37. Karen Bass D vs. Morgan Osborne R (Obama 84%)- Safe D
38. Linda Sanchez D vs. Benjamin Campos R (Obama 61%)- Safe D
39. Jay Chen D vs. Ed Royce R (McCain 49%)- Likely R
40. David John Sanchez D vs. Lucille Roybal-Allard D (Obama 77%)- Safe D/Safe Roybal-Allard
41. Mark Takano D vs. John Tavaglione R (Obama 59%)- Leans D
42. Michael Williamson D vs. Ken Calvert R (McCain 54%)- Safe R
43. Maxine Waters D vs. Bob Flores D (Obama 75%)- Safe D/Likely Waters
44. Laura Richardson D vs. Janice Hahn D (Obama 81%)- Safe D/Likely Hahn
45. Sukhee Kang D vs. John Campbell R (McCain 51%)- Lean R
46. Loretta Sanchez D vs. Jerry Hayden R (Obama 58%)- Likely D
47. Alan Lowenthal D vs. Gary DeLong R (Obama 58%)- Leans D
48. Ron Varasteh D vs. Dana Rohrabacher R (McCain 51%)- Safe R
49. Jerry Tetalman D vs. Darrell Issa R (Obama 49%)- Likely R
50. David Secor D vs. Duncan D. Hunter R (McCain 58%)- Safe R
51. Juan Vargas D vs. Michael Crimmins R (Obama 65%)- Safe D
52. Scott Peters D vs. Brian Bilbray R (Obama 55%)- Tossup (R)
53. Susan Davis D. Nick Popaditch R (Obama 61%)- Likely D

CA current: 34 D, 19 R
CA predicted: 35 D, 18 R

Current total: 39 D, 34 R
Predicted:
40 D (29 Safe, 3 Likely, 8 Leans)
34 R (18 Safe, 9 Likely, 4 Leans, 3 Tossup)