Monday, October 24, 2022

U.S. House Predictions: Indiana- Louisiana

15 Days Until Election Day

Indiana

1. Frank Mrvan Jr. D vs. Jennifer-Ruth Green R (Biden 53%)-  Tossup (D)
2. Special Election (vacant upon death of Jackie Walorski R) (Trump 59%)- Safe R
2. Paul Steury D vs. Rudy Yakym R (Trump 60%)- Safe R
3. Gary Snyder D vs. Jim Banks R (Trump 64%)- Safe R
4. Roger Day D vs. Jim Baird R (Trump 63%)- Safe R
5. Jeanine Lee Lake D vs. Victoria Spartz R (Trump 57%)- Safe R
6. Cinde Wirth D vs. Greg Pence R (Trump 65%)- Safe R
7. Andre Carson D vs. Angela Grabovsky R (Biden 70%)- Safe D
8. Ray McCormick D vs. Larry Bucshon R (Trump 66%)- Safe R
9. Matt Fyfe D vs. Eric Houchin R  (Trump 63%)- Safe R

IN current: 2 D, 7 R
IN predicted: 2 D, 7 R

 
Current total: 93 D, 66 R

Predicted:

85 D (62 Safe, 13 Likely, 7 Lean, 3 Tossup)
74 R (50 Safe, 9 Likely, 9 Lean, 6 Tossup)
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Iowa

1. Christina Bohannan D vs. Mariannette Miller-Meeks R (Trump 51%)- Leans R
2. Liz Mathis D vs. Ashley Hinson R (Trump 51%)- Tossup (R)
3. Cindy Axne D vs. Zach Nunn R (Trump 49%)- Tossup (R)
4. Ryan Melton D vs. Randy Feenstra R (Trump 62%)- Safe R

IA current: 1 D, 3 R
IA predicted: 0 D, 4 R

Current total: 94 D, 69 R

Predicted:

85 D (62 Safe, 13 Likely, 7 Lean, 3 Tossup)
78 R (51 Safe, 9 Likely, 10 Lean, 8 Tossup)
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Kansas
 
1. Jimmy Beard D vs Tracey Mann R (Trump 64%)- Safe R
2. Patrick Schmidt D vs. Jake LaTurner R (Trump 57%)- Likely R
3. Sharice Davids D vs. Amanda Adkins R (Biden 51%)- Tossup (D)
4. Bob Hernandez D vs. Ron Estes R (Trump 60%)- Safe R

KS current: 1 D, 3 R
KS predicted: 1 D, 3 R

Current total: 95 D, 72 R

Predicted:

86 D (62 Safe, 13 Likely, 7 Lean, 4 Tossup)
81 R (53 Safe, 10 Likely, 10 Lean, 8 Tossup)
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Kentucky
  
1. Jimmy Ausbrooks D vs. James Comer R (Trump 71%)- Safe R
2. Hank Linderman D vs. Brett Guthrie R (Trump 68%)- Safe R
3. Morgan McGarvey D vs. Stuart Ray R (Biden 60%)- Leans D
4. Matt Lehman D vs. Thomas Massie R (Trump 65%)- Likely R
5. Conor Halbleib D vs. Hal Rogers R (Trump 79%)- Safe R
6. Geoff Young D vs. Andy Barr R (Trump 55%)- Safe R

KY current: 1 D, 5 R
KY predicted: 1 D, 5 R

Current total: 96 D, 77 R

Predicted:

87 D (62 Safe, 13 Likely, 8 Lean, 4 Tossup)
86 R (57 Safe, 11 Likely, 10 Lean, 8 Tossup)
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Louisiana
 
1. Katie Darling D vs. Steve Scalise R (Trump 69%)- Safe R
2. Troy Carter D vs. Dan Lux R (Biden 75%)- Safe D
3. Lessie LeBlanc D vs. Tia LeBrun D vs. Clay Higgins R vs. Holden Hoggatt R vs. Lane Payne R vs. Jake Shaheen R (Trump 68%)- Safe R (Leans Higgins)
4. Mike Johnson R (Trump 61%) - Safe R
5. Oscar Dantzler D vs. Earl Huff D vs. Allen Guillory R vs. Julia Letlow R vs. Hunter Pullen R (Trump 64%) - Safe R (Safe Letlow)
6. Brian Belzer R vs. Garret Graves R (Trump 64%)- Safe R (Safe Graves)

LA current: 1 D, 5 R
LA predicted: 1 D, 5 R

Current total: 97 D, 82 R

Predicted:

88 D (63 Safe, 13 Likely, 8 Lean, 4 Tossup)
91 R (62 Safe, 11 Likely, 10 Lean, 8 Tossup)