Friday, October 26, 2018

U.S. House Predictions- Maryland- Mississippi

11 Days Until Election Day

Maryland

1.  Andy Harris R (Trump 61%) Likely R
2.   Dutch Ruppersberger D (Clinton 59%) Safe D
3.  John Sarbanes D (Clinton 62%) Safe D
4.  Anthony Brown D (Clinton 77%) Safe D
5.  Steny Hoyer D (Clinton 63%) Safe D
6.  Open (John Delaney D) (Clinton 55%) Likely D
7.  Elijah Cummings D (Clinton 74%) Safe D
8.  Jamie Raskin D (Clinton 63%) Safe D

MD current: 7 D, 1 R
MD predicted: 7 D, 1 R

Current total: 94 D, 95 R
Predicted:
106 D (77 Safe, 16 Likely, 6 Leans, 7 Tossup)
 83 R  (51 Safe, 16 Likely, 8 Leans, 8 Tossup)
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Massachusetts

1.  Richard Neal D (Clinton 56%) Safe D
2.  Jim McGovern D (Clinton 55%) Safe D
3.  Open (Niki Tsongas D) (Clinton 57%) Safe D
4.  Joe Kennedy III D (Clinton 58%) Safe D
5.  Katherine Clark D (Clinton 68% ) Safe D
6.  Seth Moulton D (Clinton 55%) Safe D
7.  Open (Mike Capuano D) (Clinton 83%) Safe D
8.  Stephen Lynch D (Clinton 60%) Safe D
9.  Bill Keating D (Clinton 52%) Likely D

MA current: 9 D, 0 R
MA predicted: 9 D, 0 R

Current total: 103 D, 95 R
Predicted:
115 D (85 Safe, 17 Likely, 6 Leans, 7 Tossup)
  83 R (51 Safe, 16 Likely, 8 Leans, 8 Tossup)
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Michigan

1.  Jack Bergman R (Trump 58%) Likely R
2.  Bill Huizenga R (Trump 55%) Safe R
3.  Justin Amash R (Trump 51%) Likely R
4.  John Moolenaar R (Trump 59%) Safe R
5.  Dan Kildee D (Clinton 49%) Safe D
6.  Fred Upton R (Trump 51%) Leans R
7.  Tim Walberg R (Trump 55%) Leans R
8.  Mike Bishop R (Trump 50%) Tossup (R)
9.  Open (Sander Levin D) (Clinton 51%) Safe D
10. Paul Mitchell R (Trump 64%) Safe R
11. Open (Dave Trott R) (Trump 49%) Leans D
12. Debbie Dingell D (Clinton 60%) Safe D
13. Vacant (John Conyers D) (Clinton 78%) Safe D- Regular & Special
14.  Brenda Lawrence D (Clinton 79%) Safe D

MI current: 5 D, 9 R
MI support: 6 D, 8 R

Current total: 108 D, 104 R
Predicted:
121 D (90 Safe, 17 Likely, 7 Leans, 7 Tossup)
  91 R (54 Safe, 18 Likely, 10 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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 Minnesota

1.  Open (Tim Walz D) (Trump 53%) Tossup (D)
2.  Jason Lewis R (Trump 46%) Leans D
3.  Erik Paulsen R (Clinton 50%) Leans D
4.  Betty McCollum D (Clinton 61%) Safe D
5.  Open (Keith Ellison D) (Clinton 73%) Safe D
6.  Tom Emmer R (Trump 59%) Safe R
7.  Collin Peterson D (Trump 61%) Leans D
8.  Open (Rick Nolan D) (Trump 54%) Leans R

MN current: 5 D, 3 R
MN predicted: 6 D, 2 R

Current total: 113 D, 107 R
Predicted:
127 D (92 Safe, 17 Likely, 10 Leans, 8 Tossup)
  93 R (55 Safe, 18 Likely, 11 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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 Mississippi

1.  Trent Kelly R (Trump 65%) Safe R
2.  Bennie Thompson D (Clinton 64%) Safe D
3.  Open (Gregg Harper R) (Trump 61%) Safe R
4.  Steven Palazzo R (Trump 69%) Likely R

MS current: 1 D, 3 R
MS predicted: 1 D, 3 R

Current total: 114 D, 110 R
Predicted:
128 D (93 Safe, 17 Likely, 10 Leans, 8 Tossup)
  96 R (57 Safe, 19 Likely, 11 Leans, 9 Tossup)