Friday, October 26, 2012

U.S. House Predictions- Part XVII

11 Days Until Election Day

Texas

1. Shirley McKellar D vs. Louie Gomhert R (McCain 69%)- Safe R
2. Jim Dougherty D vs. Ted Poe R (McCain 62%)- Safe R
3. Sam Johnson R (McCain 61%)- Safe R
4. VaLinda Hathcox D vs. Ralph Hall R (McCain 70%)- Safe R
5. Linda Mrosko D vs. Jeb Hensarling R (McCain 62%)- Safe R
6. Kenneth Sanders D vs. Joe Barton R (McCain 57%)- Safe R
7. James Cargas D vs. John Culberson R (McCain 59%)- Safe R
8. Neil Burns D vs. Kevin Brady R (McCain 73%)- Safe R
9. Al Green D vs. Steve Mueller R (Obama 76%)- Safe D
10. Tawanda Cadien D vs. Michael McCaul R (McCain 56%)- Safe R
11. Jim Riley D vs. Mike Conaway R (McCain 76%)- Safe R
12. Dave Robinson D vs. Kay Granger R (McCain 64%)- Safe R
13. Mac Thornberry R (McCain 77%)- Safe R
14. Nick Lampson D vs. Randy Weber R (McCain 57%)- Leans R
15. Ruben Hinojosa D vs. Dale Brueggemann R (Obama 57%)- Likely D
16. Beto O'Rourke D vs. Barbara Carrasco R (Obama 64%)- Likely D
17. Bill Flores R (McCain 58%)- Safe R
18. Sheila Jackson Lee D vs. Sean Seibert R (Obama 77%)- Likely D
19. Randy Neugebauer R (McCain 71%)- Safe R
20. Joaquin Castro D vs. David Rosa R (Obama 58%)- Likely D
21. Candace Duval D vs. Lamar Smith R (McCain 56%)- Safe R
22. Kesha Rogers D vs. Pete Olson R (McCain 60%)- Safe R
23. Pete Gallego D vs. Quico Canseco R (Obama 50%)- Leans R
24. Tim Rusk D vs. Kenny Marchant R (McCain 58%)- Safe R
25. Elaine Henderson D vs. Roger Williams R (McCain 56%)- Safe R
26. David Sanchez D vs. Michael Burgess R (McCain 64%)- Safe R
27. Rose Meza Harrison D vs. Blake Farenthold R (McCain 59%)- Likely R
28. Henry Cuellar D vs. William Hayward R (Obama 58%)- Safe D
29. Gene Green D (Obama 62%)- Safe D
30. Eddie Bernice Johnson D vs. Travis Washington R (Obama 78%)- Safe D
31. Stephen Wyman D vs. John Carter R (McCain 56%)- Safe R
32. Katherine Savers McGovern D vs. Pete Sessions R (McCain 55%)- Likely R
33. Marc Veasey D vs. Chuck Bradley R (Obama 69%)- Safe D
34. Filemon Vela D vs. Jessica Puente Bradshaw R (Obama 60%)- Likely D
35. Lloyd Doggett D vs. Susan Narvaiz R (Obama 63%)- Likely D
36. Max Martin D vs. Steve Stockman R (McCain 69%)- Likely R

TX current: 9 D, 23 R
TX predicted: 11 D, 25 R

Current total: 179 D, 220 R
Predicted: 
174 D (95 Safe, 54 Likely, 18 Leans, 7 Tossup)
223 R (123 Safe, 64 Likely, 20 Leans, 16 Tossup)