Saturday, October 29, 2022

U.S. House Predictions: Ohio- Pennsylvania

10 Days Until Election Day

Ohio

1. Greg Landsman D vs.Steve Chabot R (Biden 54%)- Tossup (D)
2. Samantha Meadows D vs. Brad Wenstrup R (Trump 72%)- Safe R
3. Joyce Beatty D vs. Lee Stahley R (Biden 71%)-  Safe D
4. Tamie Wilson D vs. Jim Jordan R (Trump 67%)- Safe R
5. Craig Swartz D vs. Bob Latta R (Trump 63%)- Safe R
6. Lou Lyras D vs. Bill Johnson R (Trump 64%)- Safe R
7. Matthew Diemer D vs. Max Miller R (Trump 54%)- Likely R
8. Vanessa Enoch D vs. Warren Davidson R (Trump 60%)- Safe R
9. Marcy Kaptur D vs. J.R. Majewski R (Trump 51%)- Leans D
10. David Esrati R vs. Mike Turner R (Trump 51%)- Likely R
11. Shontel Brown D vs. Eric Brewer R (Biden 78%)- Safe D
12. Amy Rippel-Elton D vs. Troy Balderson R (Trump 65%)- Safe R
13. Emilia Sykes D vs. Madison Gesiotto Gilbert R (Biden 51%)- Tossup (R)
14. Matt Kilboy D vs. Dave Joyce R (Trump 57%)- Likely R
15. Gary Josephson D vs Mike Carey R  (Trump 53%)- Likely R

OH current: 4 D, 12 R
OH predicted: 4 D, 11 R

Current total: 174 D, 140 R

Predicted:

164 D  (106 Safe, 27 Likely, 20 Lean, 11 Tossup)
149 R   (87 Safe, 31 Likely, 17 Lean, 14 Tossup)
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Oklahoma
 
1. Adam Martin D vs. Kevin Hern R (Trump 59%)- Safe R
2. Naomi Andrews D vs. Josh Brecheen R (Trump 76%)- Safe R
3. Jeremiah Ross D vs. Frank Lucas R (Trump 71%)- Safe R
4. Mary Brannon D vs. Tom Cole R (Trump 65%)- Safe R
5. Joshua Harris-Till D vs. Stephanie Bice R (Trump 57%)- Safe R

OK current: 0 D, 5 R
OK predicted: 0 D, 5 R

Current total: 174 D, 145 R

Predicted:

164 D  (106 Safe, 27 Likely, 20 Lean, 11 Tossup)
154 R   (92 Safe, 31 Likely, 17 Lean, 14 Tossup)
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Oregon
 
1. Suzanne Bonamici D vs. Chris Mann R (Biden 68%)- Safe D
2. Joe Yetter D vs. Cliff Bentz R (Trump 61%)- Safe R
3. Eric Blumenauer D vs. Joanna Harbour R (Biden 73%)- Safe D
4. Val Hoyle D vs. Alek Skarlatos R (Biden 55%)-  Leans D
5.  Jamie McLoed-Skinner D vs. Lori Chavez-DeRemer R (Biden 53%)- Tossup (R)
6. Andrea Salinas D vs. Mike Erickson R (Biden 55%)- Tossup (D)

OR current: 4 D, 1 R
OR predicted: 4 D, 2 R

Current total: 178 D, 146 R

Predicted:

168 D  (108 Safe, 27 Likely, 21 Lean, 12 Tossup)
156 R   (93 Safe, 31 Likely, 17 Lean, 15 Tossup)
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Pennsylvania
 
1. Ashley Ehasz D vs. Brian Fitzpatrick R (Biden 52%)- Leans R
2. Brendan Boyle D vs. Aaron Bashir R (Biden 71%)- Safe D
3. Dwight Evans D (Biden 90%)- Safe D
4. Madeleine Dean D vs. Christian Nascimento R (Biden 59%)- Likely D
5. Mary Gay Scanlon D vs. Dave Galluch R (Biden 66%)- Likely D
6. Chrissy Houlahan D vs. Guy Ciarrocchi R (Biden 57%)- Likely D
7. Susan Wild D vs. Lisa Scheller R (Biden 50%)- Tossup (R)
8. Matt Cartwright D vs. Jim Bognet R (Trump 51%)- Tossup (D)
9. Amanda Waldman D vs. Dan Meuser R (Trump 68%)- Safe R
10. Shamaine Daniels D vs. Scott Perry R (Trump 51%)- Leans R
11. Bob Hollister D vs. Lloyd Smucker R (Trump 60%)- Likely R
12. Summer Lee D vs. Mike Doyle R (Biden 59%)- Likely D
13. Beth Farnham (Write-In) D vs. John Joyce R (Trump 72%)- Safe R
14. Guy Reschenthaler R (Trump 65%)- Safe R
15. Glenn Thompson R (Trump 68%)- Safe R
16. Dan Pastore D vs. Mike Kelly R (Trump 60%)- Likely R
17. Chris Deluzio D vs. Jeremy Shaffer R (Biden 52%)- Tossup (D)

PA current: 9 D, 9 R
PA predicted: 8 D, 9 R

Current total: 187 D, 155 R

Predicted:

176 D  (110 Safe, 31 Likely, 21 Lean, 14 Tossup)
165 R   (97 Safe, 33 Likely, 19 Lean, 16 Tossup)