Tuesday, February 06, 2018

Super Bowl LII Result

Minneapolis, Minnesota

New England Patriots (15-3) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (15-3) W 1

Patriots finish 15-4

Eagles win the Super Bowl and finish 16-3

Congrats to Philly! It was an exciting game, although not much defense was played. I can certainly understand how Eagles fans have long waited for this day to come.

The quick turnaround for the Eagles with a new offensive minded coach and a highly drafted QB should give hope to the Chicago Bears in the next few years (although it was backup Nick Foles who had to take the reins at QB and won Super Bowl MVP in what was certainly an interesting story)

Super Bowl Result: 1-0 (100%)
Overall non-prediction results: 121-146 (45%)

Now, it is on to Baseball season!


Monday, January 29, 2018

Super Bowl LII

Overall Results: 120-146 (not predictions) (45%)

Minneapolis, Minnesota

New England Patriots (15-3) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (15-3)

Thirteen years ago, I was rooting for the Patriots to beat the Eagles, but I cannot do that again. Despite the fact that Philly sports fans may be the worst in all of sports, life will just be slightly more satisfying if the Patriots lose in this Donald Trump vs. Bill Cosby fan show-down.

I'd root for any NFL team against the Patriots.. except the Packers. Then I would root for the Patriots.

I am just not at all excited about this matchup, but oh well, I will not be "boycotting" and in spite of  my hope for a New England loss, they will probably of course win.


Tuesday, January 23, 2018

NFL Conference Final Results


AFC Championship

Jacksonville Jaguars (12-6) at New England Patriots (14-3) L 1

NFC Championship

Minnesota Vikings (14-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (14-3) L 2

Championship Results: 0-2 (0%)
Overall Results: 120-146 (not predictions) (45%)


Jaguars finish 12-7
Vikings finish 14-4

Friday, January 19, 2018

NFL Conference Finals

Overall Results: 120-144 (45%)- Not Predictions


AFC Championship

Jacksonville Jaguars (12-6) at New England Patriots (14-3)

I expect New England to win though, setting themselves up for the villain role in yet another Super Bowl appearance.

NFC Championship

Minnesota Vikings (14-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (14-3)

Can a Bears fan root for the NFC North Vikings? Why not. I don't want to root for Philadelphia, but I will if they play the Patriots. Seeing the Vikings basically "host" a Super Bowl would be unprecedented and interesting. I think Minnesota probably wins on Sunday.


Monday, January 15, 2018

NFL Conference Semifinal Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Falcons (11-6) at Eagles (13-3) L 1
2. Titans (10-7) at Patriots (13-3) L 2
3. Jaguars (11-6) at Steelers (13-3) W 1
4. Saints (12-5) at Vikings (13-3) L 3

Conference Semifinal Results: 1-3 (25%)
Overall Results: 120-144 (45%)

Titans finish 10-8
Falcons finish 11-7
Saints finish 12-6
Steelers finish 13-4

Sunday, January 14, 2018

2017-2018 College Football Bowl Games Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Celebration Bowl Atlanta, GA W 1

Grambling State Tigers vs. North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State Aggies

2. New Orleans Bowl L 1
New Orleans, LA

Troy Trojans vs. North Texas Mean Green

3. Cure Bowl
Orlando, FL

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Georgia State Panthers L 2

4. Las Vegas Bowl W 2
Whitney, NV

# 25 Boise State Broncos vs. Oregon Ducks

5. New Mexico Bowl L 3
Albuquerque, NM

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Colorado State Rams

6.  Camellia Bowl W 3
Montgomery, AL

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves


7.  Boca Raton Bowl W 4
Boca Raton, FL

Akron Zips vs. Florida Atlantic Owls

8. Frisco Bowl L 4
Frisco, TX

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs

9. Gasparilla Bowl L 5
St. Petersburg, FL

Temple Owls vs. Florida International Panthers

10. Bahamas Bowl L 6
Nassau, Bahamas

Alabama at Birmingham Blazers vs. Ohio Bobcats

11. Potato Bowl W 5
Boise, ID

Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Wyoming Cowboys

12. Birmingham Bowl L 7
Birmingham, AL

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. # 23 South Florida Bulls

13. Armed Forces Bowl W 6
Fort Worth, TX

San Diego State Aztecs vs. United States Military Academy at West Point Black Knights

14. Dollar General Bowl L 8
Mobile, AL

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Toledo Rockets

15. Hawai'i Bowl L 9
Halawa, HI

California State, Fresno Bulldogs vs. Houston Cougars

16. Heart of Dallas Bowl W 7
Dallas, TX

Utah Utes vs. West Virginia Mountaineers

17. Quick Lane Bowl L 10
Detroit, MI

Duke Blue Devils vs. Northern Illinois Huskies

18. Cactus Bowl W 8
Phoenix AZ

Kansas State Wildcats vs. California, Los Angeles Bruins

19. Independence Bowl L 11
Shreveport, LA

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs. Florida State Seminoles

20. Pinstripe Bowl W 9
Bronx, NY

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Boston College Eagles

21. Foster Farms Bowl W 10
Santa Clara, CA

Arizona Wildcats vs. Purdue Boilermakers

22. Texas Bowl W 11
Houston, TX

Texas at Austin Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigers

23. Military Bowl W 12
Annapolis, MD

Virginia Cavaliers vs. United States Naval Academy Midshipmen

24. Camping World Bowl L 12
Orlando, FL

# 22 Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Hokies vs. # 17 Oklahoma State Cowboys

25. Alamo Bowl W 13
San Antonio, TX

# 15 Leland Stanford Junior Cardinal vs. # 13 Texas Christian Horned Frogs

26. Holiday Bowl W 14
San Diego, CA

# 21 Washington State Cougars vs. # 18 Michigan State Spartans

27. Belk Bowl L 13
Charlotte, NC

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Texas A&M Aggies

28. Sun Bowl L 14
El Paso, TX

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Arizona State Sun Devils

29. Music City Bowl W 15
Nashville, TN

Kentucky Wildcats vs. # 20 Northwestern Wildcats

30. Arizona Bowl L 15
Tucson, AZ

Utah State Aggies vs. New Mexico State Aggies

31. Cotton Bowl W 16
Arlington, TX

# 8 Southern California Trojans vs. # 5 Ohio State Buckeyes

32. TaxSlayer Bowl W 17
Jacksonville, FL

Louisville Cardinals vs. # 24 Mississippi State University of Agriculture and Applied Science Bulldogs

33. Liberty Bowl W 18
Memphis, TN

Iowa State University of Science and Technology Cyclones vs. # 19 Memphis Tigers

34. Fiesta Bowl W 19
Glendale, AZ

# 12 Washington Huskies vs. # 9 Pennsylvania State Nittany Lions

35. Orange Bowl L 16
Miami Gardens, FL

# 11 Miami Hurricanes vs. # 6 Wisconsin-Madison Badgers

36. Outback Bowl L 17
Tampa, FL

Michigan Wolverines vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

37. Peach Bowl L 18
Atlanta, GA

# 10 Central Florida Knights vs.  # 7 Auburn Tigers

38. Citrus Bowl W 20
Orlando, FL

# 14 Notre Dame du Lac Fighting Irish vs. # 16 Louisiana State University and Agricultural and Mechanical College Tigers

39. Rose Bowl L 19
Pasadena, CA

# 3 Georgia Bulldogs vs. # 2 Oklahoma Sooners

40. Sugar Bowl L 20
New Orleans, LA

# 4 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. # 1 Clemson Tigers

41. National Championship Game L 21
Atlanta, GA

# 3 Georgia Bulldogs vs. # 4 Alabama Crimson Tide



Results: 20-21 (49%)

Friday, January 12, 2018

NFL Conference Semifinals

NOT PREDICTIONS- I just am going to be rooting for the underdogs (or road teams) in these games.

Overall Results: 119-141 (46%)

I hope everybody in all four stadiums stands for the Star Spangled Banner, in appreciation of what America is and what it has represented for so many around for the world throughout our history, and that the flag that we salute goes far beyond and will eternally outlast the current moral depravity that occupies our highest office.

1. Falcons (11-6) at Eagles (13-3)
2. Titans (10-7) at Patriots (13-3)
3. Jaguars (11-6) at Steelers (13-3)
4. Saints (12-5) at Vikings (13-3)

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

NFL Wildcard Weekend Results

NOT PREDICTIONS-(I thought Chiefs and Jaguars would win)

1. Titans (9-7) at Chiefs (10-6) L 1
2. Falcons (10-6) at Rams (11-5) W 1
3. Bills (9-7) at Jaguars (10-6) L 2
4. Panthers (11-5) at Saints (11-5) W 2

Wildcard Weekend Results: 2-2 (50%)
Overall Results: 119-141 (46%)

Bills finish 9-8
Chiefs finish 10-7
Rams finish 11-6
Panthers finish 11-6

Friday, January 05, 2018

NFL Wildcard Weekend

NOT PREDICTIONS- though I predict I will get 3 out of 4

Final Regular Season Results: 117-139 (46%)

1. Titans (9-7) at Chiefs (10-6)
2. Falcons (10-6) at Rams (11-5)
3. Bills (9-7) at Jaguars (10-6)
4. Panthers (11-5) at Saints (11-5)

Monday, January 01, 2018

NFL Week 17 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Redskins (7-8) at Giants (2-13) L 1
2. Jets (5-10) at Patriots (12-3) L 2
3. Bears (5-10) at Vikings (12-3) L 3
4. Packers (7-8) at Lions (8-7) W 1
5. Texans (4-11) at Colts (3-12) L 4
6. Browns (0-15) at Steelers (12-3) W 2
7. Cowboys (8-7) at Eagles (13-2) W 3
8. 49ers (5-10) at Rams (11-4) L 5
9. Raiders (6-9) at Chargers (8-7) W 4
10. Chiefs (9-6) at Broncos (5-10) W 5
11. Jaguars (10-5) at Titans (8-7) W 6
12. Saints (11-4) at Buccaneers (4-11) L 6
13. Bills (8-7) at Dolphins (6-9) W 7
14. Cardinals (7-8) at Seahawks (9-6) W 8
15. Panthers (11-4) at Falcons (9-6) L 7
16. Bengals (6-9) at Ravens (9-6) W 9

Week 17 Results: 9-7 (56%)
Final Regular Season Results: 117-139 (46%)
___________________________________________________________________________

Browns finish 0-16
Giants finish 3-13
Texans finish 4-12
Colts finish 4-12
Bears finish 5-11- two more wins than last season!
Buccaneers finish 5-11
Jets finish 5-11
Broncos finish 5-11
49ers finish 6-10
Dolphins finish 6-10
Raiders finish 6-10
Redskins finish 7-9
Packers finish 7-9
Bengals finish 7-9
Cardinals finish 8-8
Cowboys finish 9-7
Seahawks finish 9-7
Chargers finish 9-7
Ravens finish 9-7
Lions finish 9-7

Wednesday, December 27, 2017

NFL Week 17

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 108-132 (45%)

1. Redskins (7-8) at Giants (2-13)
2. Jets (5-10) at Patriots (12-3)
3. Bears (5-10) at Vikings (12-3)
4. Packers (7-8) at Lions (8-7)
5. Texans (4-11) at Colts (3-12)
6. Browns (0-15) at Steelers (12-3)
7. Cowboys (8-7) at Eagles (13-2)
8. 49ers (5-10) at Rams (11-4)
9. Raiders (6-9) at Chargers (8-7)
10. Chiefs (9-6) at Broncos (5-10)
11. Jaguars (10-5) at Titans (8-7)
12. Saints (11-4) at Buccaneers (4-11)
13. Bills (8-7) at Dolphins (6-9)
14. Cardinals (7-8) at Seahawks (9-6)
15. Panthers (11-4) at Falcons (9-6)
16. Bengals (6-9) at Ravens (9-6)


Tuesday, December 26, 2017

NFL Week 16 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Colts (3-11) at Ravens (8-6) L 1
2. Vikings (11-3) at Packers (7-7) W 1
3. Lions (8-6) at Bengals (5-9) W 2
4. Dolphins (6-8) at Chiefs (8-6) W 3
5. Bills (8-6) at Patriots (11-3) L 2
6. Browns (0-14) at Bears (4-10) W 4
7. Buccaneers (4-10) at Panthers (10-4) W 5
8. Falcons (9-5) at Saints (10-4) W 6
9. Broncos (5-9) at Redskins (6-8) L 3
10. Rams (10-4) at Titans (8-6) L 4
11. Chargers (7-7) at Jets (5-9) W 7
12. Jaguars (10-4) at 49ers (4-10) L 5
13. Seahawks (8-6) at Cowboys (8-6) W 8
14. Giants (2-12) at Cardinals (6-8) W 9
15. Steelers (11-3) at Texans (4-10) L 6
16. Raiders (6-8) at Eagles (12-2) L 7

Week 16 Results: 9-7 (56%)
Overall Results: 108-132 (45%)

Saturday, December 23, 2017

Alabama U.S. Senate Special Election Result

Happy Holidays!

This post is primary a perfunctory one as I always take responsibility for an incorrect electoral prediction. On the eve before the special Senate election in Alabama, I classified the race as Tossup but with a slight edge to the Republican, with it being Alabama and all. I was wrong though and Democrat Doug Jones won by about a point and a half, and with a plurality just slightly under 50 percent. Clearly, write-in votes cast by Republicans might have made the difference. Of course, a lot of Republicans just stayed home rather than pick between a liberal Democrat and the toxic Roy Moore, the controversial Republican nominee.

As for me, I was extremely glad to have a somewhat rare incorrect call on a race, but for the first time ever, I was glad to see a Democrat win. It was quite an interesting and different experience on Election Night, actively rooting for a Democrat, with no guilt (whereas I found myself last year reduced to hoping Clinton found a way to beat Trump on Election Night, but with a lot of guilt involved.) Moore lead for most of the night, and despite some favorable exit polls for the Democrat, it looked like they would fall just short. Alas though, their strongholds (as much as they exist in Alabama) came in late and Jones won. Of course, Moore is refusing to concede, but the race is over.

Many Democrats rejoiced while others felt a bit bad that they would not have Roy Moore around to kick around anymore or link to Republicans. Minnesota Democrat Al Franken better keep his word and resign now too.

So, it was an interesting experience to watch this Election Night unfold on television as an outside. Fox News was the first to call it for Jones, and that must have been an interesting moment inside the White House. Special elections always depend on turnout and can produce unusual results, and Jones winning in Alabama is right up there with past victories such as Scott Brown once winning Ted Kennedy's seat for the Republicans in Massachusetts.

Basically, the GOP threw away a race and will go into 2018 with their majority reduced to 51-49. They may still be favored to keep their majority there, but with less room for error. A wave election or continued unforced errors will put the Senate at risk, as the House currently is, as Democrats appear motivated to vote against anyone belonging to the party of Donald Trump.

The momentum of the race in Alabama tells an interesting story. The Republican was favored of course, although Moore's controversial nature had the race closer than it should be. Then, the child molestation allegations surfaced, and the polls looked like he was a sure loser. Then, as that story started to fade, a conservative backlash against a Democrat winning there emerged, and Moore looked like the favorite again. With the White House and Trump going all in for Moore though, a blacklash against the backlash might have possibly taken root in the final hours, as African-American voters in Alabama turned out in heavy numbers (with lots of Republicans staying home) and that delivered the victory to Jones. While not every future GOP nominee will be an accused child predator, all of this should be a warning sign for Republicans entering the midterms. Trump of course would insist afterwards that he never thought Moore could win anyway and that he played no part in the loss.

Time will tell if Republicans from the White House to the run of the mill primary voter will now side with the Mitch McConnell "establishment" wing of the party in picking potential candidates and issues or with the Steve Bannon/Breitbart insurgents who felt that nominating and supporting a  sick joke like Roy Moore was a good idea. Clearly, the divisions in the GOP remain and a lot of in the line in next year's primaries from coast to coast.

For now, Mitch McConnell and most of his Senate colleagues have breathed a sigh of relief about this outcome, even if it reduced their majority to dangerous political levels.

Wednesday, December 20, 2017

NFL Week 16

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 99-125 (44%)

1. Colts (3-11) at Ravens (8-6)
2. Vikings (11-3) at Packers (7-7)
3. Lions (8-6) at Bengals (5-9)
4. Dolphins (6-8) at Chiefs (8-6)
5. Bills (8-6) at Patriots (11-3)
6. Browns (0-14) at Bears (4-10)
7. Buccaneers (4-10) at Panthers (10-4)
8. Falcons (9-5) at Saints (10-4)
9. Broncos (5-9) at Redskins (6-8)
10. Rams (10-4) at Titans (8-6)
11. Chargers (7-7) at Jets (5-9)
12. Jaguars (10-4) at 49ers (4-10)
13. Seahawks (8-6) at Cowboys (8-6)
14. Giants (2-12) at Cardinals (6-8)
15. Steelers (11-3) at Texans (4-10)
16. Raiders (6-8) at Eagles (12-2)

Tuesday, December 19, 2017

NFL Week 15 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Broncos (4-9) at Colts (3-10) W 1
2. Bears (4-9) at Lions (7-6) L 1
3. Chargers (7-6) at Chiefs (7-6) W 2
4. Texans (4-9) at Jaguars (9-4) L 2
5. Ravens (7-6) at Browns (0-13) L 3
6. Packers (7-6) at Panthers (9-4) W 3
7. Dolphins (6-7) at Bills (7-6) W 4
8. Bengals (5-8) at Vikings (10-3) L 4
9. Cardinals (6-7) at Redskins (5-8) L 5
10. Eagles (11-2) at Giants (2-11) L 6
11. Jets (5-8) at Saints (9-4) W 5
12. Rams (9-4) at Seahawks (8-5) L 7
13. Titans (8-5) at 49ers (3-10) L 8
14. Patriots (10-3) at Steelers (11-2) L 9
15. Cowboys (7-6) at Raiders (6-7) W 6
16. Falcons (8-5) at Buccaneers (4-9) W 7

Week 15 Results: 7-9 (44%)
Overall Results: 99-125 (44%)

Friday, December 15, 2017

2017-2018 College Football Bowl Games

That time of year is upon us again. Tomorrow morning, will see the first set of Bowl games. Here is a list of all the games in the order they are said to occur. The teams highlighted in bold are not necessarily predictions, but who I will root for to win. Even with those distinctions, I just hope the games are entertaining (especially if I am able to watch them). I do not have strong rooting interest in most of the games, but at least, my alma mater is back in the picture after a year off. They will be spending their Xmas in The Motor City. As always, the rankings will not be that of the College Football Playoff Committee but of the Associated Press.

1. Celebration Bowl Atlanta, GA

Grambling State Tigers vs. North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State Aggies

2. New Orleans Bowl
New Orleans, LA

Troy Trojans vs. North Texas Mean Green

3. Cure Bowl
Orlando, FL

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Georgia State Panthers

4. Las Vegas Bowl
Whitney, NV

# 25 Boise State Broncos vs. Oregon Ducks

5. New Mexico Bowl
Albuquerque, NM

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Colorado State Rams

6.  Camellia Bowl
Montgomery, AL

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves


7.  Boca Raton Bowl
Boca Raton, FL

Akron Zips vs. Florida Atlantic Owls

8. Frisco Bowl
Frisco, TX

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs

9. Gasparilla Bowl
St. Petersburg, FL

Temple Owls vs. Florida International Panthers

10. Bahamas Bowl
Nassau, Bahamas

Alabama at Birmingham Blazers vs. Ohio Bobcats

11. Potato Bowl
Boise, ID

Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Wyoming Cowboys

12. Birmingham Bowl
Birmingham, AL

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. # 23 South Florida Bulls

13. Armed Forces Bowl
Fort Worth, TX

San Diego State Aztecs vs. United States Military Academy at West Point Black Knights

14. Dollar General Bowl
Mobile, AL

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Toledo Rockets

15. Hawai'i Bowl
Halawa, HI

California State, Fresno Bulldogs vs. Houston Cougars

16. Heart of Dallas Bowl
Dallas, TX

Utah Utes vs. West Virginia Mountaineers

17. Quick Lane Bowl
Detroit, MI

Duke Blue Devils vs. Northern Illinois Huskies

18. Cactus Bowl
Phoenix AZ

Kansas State Wildcats vs. California, Los Angeles Bruins

19. Independence Bowl
Shreveport, LA

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs. Florida State Seminoles

20. Pinstripe Bowl
Bronx, NY

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Boston College Eagles

21. Foster Farms Bowl
Santa Clara, CA

Arizona Wildcats vs. Purdue Boilermakers

22. Texas Bowl
Houston, TX

Texas at Austin Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigers

23. Military Bowl
Annapolis, MD

Virginia Cavaliers vs. United States Naval Academy Midshipmen

24. Camping World Bowl
Orlando, FL

# 22 Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Hokies vs. # 17 Oklahoma State Cowboys

25. Alamo Bowl
San Antonio, TX

# 15 Leland Stanford Junior Cardinal vs. # 13 Texas Christian Horned Frogs

26. Holiday Bowl
San Diego, CA

# 21 Washington State Cougars vs. # 18 Michigan State Spartans

27. Belk Bowl
Charlotte, NC

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Texas A&M Aggies

28. Sun Bowl
El Paso, TX

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Arizona State Sun Devils

29. Music City Bowl
Nashville, TN

Kentucky Wildcats vs. # 20 Northwestern Wildcats

30. Arizona Bowl
Tucson, AZ

Utah State Aggies vs. New Mexico State Aggies

31. Cotton Bowl
Arlington, TX

# 8 Southern California Trojans vs. # 5 Ohio State Buckeyes

32. TaxSlayer Bowl
Jacksonville, FL

Louisville Cardinals vs. # 24 Mississippi State University of Agriculture and Applied Science Bulldogs

33. Liberty Bowl
Memphis, TN

Iowa State University of Science and Technology Cyclones vs. # 19 Memphis Tigers

34. Fiesta Bowl
Glendale, AZ

# 12 Washington Huskies vs. # 9 Pennsylvania State Nittany Lions

35. Orange Bowl
Miami Gardens, FL

# 11 Miami Hurricanes vs. # 6 Wisconsin-Madison Badgers

36. Outback Bowl
Tampa, FL

Michigan Wolverines vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

37. Peach Bowl
Atlanta, GA

# 10 Central Florida Knights vs.  # 7 Auburn Tigers

38. Citrus Bowl
Orlando, FL

# 14 Notre Dame du Lac Fighting Irish vs. # 16 Louisiana State University and Agricultural and Mechanical College Tigers

39. Rose Bowl
Pasadena, CA

# 3 Georgia Bulldogs vs. # 2 Oklahoma Sooners

40. Sugar Bowl
New Orleans, LA

# 4 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. # 1 Clemson Tigers

41. National Championship Game
Atlanta, GA

Rose Bowl winner vs. Sugar Bowl winner

Georgia over Alabama
Oklahoma over Alabama
Clemson over Georgia
Clemson over Oklahoma

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

NFL Week 15

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 92-116 (44%)

1. Broncos (4-9) at Colts (3-10)
2. Bears (4-9) at Lions (7-6)
3. Chargers (7-6) at Chiefs (7-6)
4. Texans (4-9) at Jaguars (9-4)
5. Ravens (7-6) at Browns (0-13)
6. Packers (7-6) at Panthers (9-4)
7. Dolphins (6-7) at Bills (7-6)
8. Bengals (5-8) at Vikings (10-3)
9. Cardinals (6-7) at Redskins (5-8)
10. Eagles (11-2) at Giants (2-11)
11. Jets (5-8) at Saints (9-4)
12. Rams (9-4) at Seahawks (8-5)
13. Titans (8-5) at 49ers (3-10)
14. Patriots (10-3) at Steelers (11-2)
15. Cowboys (7-6) at Raiders (6-7)
16. Falcons (8-5) at Buccaneers (4-9)

Tuesday, December 12, 2017

NFL Week 14 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS


1. Saints (9-3) at Falcons (7-5) L 1
2. Colts (3-9) at Bills (6-6) W 1
3. Lions (6-6) at Buccaneers (4-8) L 2
4. Raiders (6-6) at Chiefs (6-6) W 2
5. 49ers (2-10) at Texans (4-8) L 3
6. Packers (6-6) at Browns (0-12) L 4
7. Bears (3-9) at Bengals (5-7) W 3
8. Vikings (10-2) at Panthers (8-4) W 4
9.  Cowboys (6-6) at Giants (2-10) L 5
10 Redskins (5-7) at Chargers (6-6) W 5
11. Jets (5-7) at Broncos (3-9) W 6
12. Titans (8-4) at Cardinals (5-7) L 6
13. Eagles (10-2) at Rams (9-3) L 7
14. Seahawks (8-4) at Jaguars (8-4) W 7
15. Ravens (7-5) at Steelers (10-2) W 8
16. Patriots (10-2) at Dolphins (5-7)W 9

Week 14 Results: 9-7 (56%)
Overall Results: 92-116 (44%)

Monday, December 11, 2017

Alabama U.S. Senate Special Election

Status: Republican Open
2016 Presidential Result: Red State (South)

Outlook: Tossup (R)

There is quite a tawdry political soap opera playing down in Dixie. Those who follow politics and current events anywhere else in the U.S. or throughout the world for that matter have not been immune to this story. Tomorrow, the voters will have their say on a race that has tremendous amounts of background information from several facets, but that may not be the end of the story.

To me, discussion of this race, has to begin over 25 years ago. That year, when current GOP Senate nominee Roy Moore was leaving his ancestral party of the Democrats to become a Republican, Bill Clinton, a Southern Democrat in his own right was elected President, despite numerous questions about his honesty and character, especially as they related to his relationships with women other than his wife. As a young teenage Republican, I was backing the incumbent President and the theme of the party that "character matters." However, in times of economic uncertainty, enough voters decided that a politician's private life or past life was largely irrelevant as long as they liked where he stood on the issue. Alas, Clinton was elected, and for most of the eight years of his Presidency, the economy seemed to be improving, and thus his defenders stood by him, even as even more serious allegations involving rape and sexual assault emerged. It was easy for Clinton fans to dismiss the women as opportunistic liars who had no right to get in the way of a politician who was just doing his job. Clinton settled a sexual harassment lawsuit but only after his testimony in that matter brought about an impeachment from Congress related to a consensual Oval Office affair he had with a very young White House intern. Sure, Clinton was the subject of numerous jokes but was looked upon by many as a harmless charmer with a libido problem. His character was secondary to how the economy performed as he was President, while people like me shook their heads and wondered how he could get away with it.

Last year, the tables turned, as Bill Clinton's wife, who was perceived as being involved as his chief enabler in the "bimbo eruption" matters was narrowly defeated in her bid for the Presidency by Donald Trump, a man (formerly friends with the Clintons) with his very own checkered past, including allegations made against him by women of sexual assault. Towards the latter part of the campaign, the infamous Access Hollywood tape surfaced, and many thought that was the end of Trump. However, he managed to dismiss it as "locker room talk" with a rare semi-apology and pivoted to the matter of Bill Clinton, by bringing the former President's most serious accusers to be his guests at the debate. For decades, Clinton supporters and media figures, who discounted or dismissed the allegations of Paula Jones, Kathleen Willey, and Juanita Broaddrick, suddenly found themselves in an awkward position. One also has to wonder why those women, assuming they had really been through what they claimed, would be willing to be used politically by a person like Trump, who incidentally had been among the voices attacking them as acccusers during the Clinton years.

Alas, Trump won the Presidency as enough voters in conservative leaning areas looked at matters of economic anxiety and others issues and decided that the policies of "Make America Great Again" that his campaign was pushing mattered more than questions about his past or about what kind of person many of them realized he continued to be. Once again, character did not matter, and as an older, now disillusioned Republican, I was once again shaking my head.

Quickly, Trump named his first Senate endorser, the very conservative Jeff Sessions of Alabama, to be U.S. Attorney General, necessitating a need for a special election, that was likely to occur during the 2018 midterms. Sessions has certainly had his own issues with Trump since becoming Attorney General related to his appropriate self-recusal in the Russian investigation. At times, it looked like Trump was prepared to fire Sessions, but the AG has stuck around, although he might at times wished he never left the Senate seat he was first elected to in 1996.

Numerous ambitious Republicans were considered to fill the temporary Senate vacancy, and the decision was left to GOP Governor Robert Bentley of Alabama. A once popular figure, (who happened to refuse to support Donald Trump in 2016, in spite of the Republican nominee solidly winning the state) Bentley was engaged in his own extra-marital scandal and subsequent abuse of office allegations that would eventually have him pleading guilty in a criminal proceeding and resigning office in front of an inevitable Republican led impeachment in Montgomery.

Before leaving office though, Bentley selected Attorney General Luther Strange as Alabama's next Senator. Strange, who was considered a top contender for the Governorship in 2018, just so happened to be the person who had recommended the Republican legislature slow-walking impeachment proceedings against Bentley. Many denounced this appointment as a quid pro quo, but Strange was off to Washington, where he would be the tallest ever U.S. Senator.

Once Bentley resigned the Governorship though, the office fell to Republican Kay Ivey, a somewhat grandmotherly like figure in the Republican Party (though she never married or had children). She then moved up the date of the special election to 2017, perhaps wanting the voters to not feel like they had no voice in the controversial decision made by Bentley in appointing Strange and perhaps because of pressure exerted by her own backers or by various other Republican politicians regarding the desire to separate that Republican primary process from that of the Gubernatorial cycle in 2018. Whatever the reason was, Republicans in Alabama and elsewhere would regret this decision and sure wish that the Senate matter was next year. There were calls made recently to Ivey and election officials in this GOP dominated state to cancel or postpone the special election to next year, and while they might have been able to get away with it, it would have been seen as very dirty politics.

With Strange running as the incumbent now for the 2017 nomination, his chief Republican opponent was expected to be Tea Party aligned Congressman Mo Brooks. However, the race was shaken up by the surprise entrance of Roy Moore, a longtime controversial figure in the state and party. Moore had twice been removed as Alabama's statewide elected Supreme Court Chief Justice after disobeying court orders related to a very large Ten Commandments monument he had in his courtroom. That made him a hero of many social conservatives and Moore certainly took some steps to run for President in the past as both a Republican and and as a conservative Independent.  He had significantly under performed GOP strength though against a no-name Democrat in his last statewide race and many Republicans wondered if he was the only potential person in the party who might actually put the Senate seat at risk, especially with some of his very right-wing pronouncements on gays and lesbians, Sharia law, and weird positions that seemed to be not exactly be consistent with the U.S. constitution.

As things developed, Strange found himself under fire from all angles, and the distaste over his appointment by Bentley did not die down. This was in spite of the fact that the Republican establishment was completely behind Strange and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell spent a lot of money running ads trying to discredit Mo Brooks. President Trump himself weighed in with an endorsement of Strange, that divided many of his staunchest supporters, with the thought that he did not really mean it and that McConnell conned him into doing so. Polls showed that Strange was in real danger of not even making the run-off there, but that even if he did, would have a tough time against Moore, who was showing surprising strength.

The support of Trump and fear of Moore winning did help Strange a bit and certainly hurt Brooks the most.in a crowded field with various other candidates also running. Brooks was attacked by establishment Republican types as having been opposed to Trump during the primaries, when he had backed Ted Cruz for the nomination. Brooks tried to play up his pro-Trump bona fides and Strange went even further in professing his love for the President. It was at this point, where I, although I am certainly not an Alabama voter, decided that I could not bring myself to root for any of the three main contenders there on the Republican side.

The August primary results did produce, as expected, a first place finish for Moore, but the incumbent Strange easily managed to take the second spot and advance into a runoff. One would think though that the Brooks vote was still angry at Strange and the Congressman refused to endorse either opponent who had defeated him but saved his harshest words for Strange. Despite the continued Trump endorsement, Moore won the September runoff by nearly 10 points. Trump took to Twitter to throw Strange under the bus and say the race would not have been as close if not for him. He offered a virtual endorsement of Moore at that time.  Republicans across the country felt some tinges of panic but ultimately concluded that Alabama was such a Republican state that even Moore was likely to win. What he would do in the Senate to embarrass the party was another matter though. I still think that in despite of Moore's solid right-wing base, the questions about Bentley's appointment of Strange were enough to cost him the nomination for a full-term.

As for the Democrats, a party that had been rendered to the back-benches in Alabama politics, they nominated Doug Jones, a former U.S. Attorney who had received great plaudits for having prosecuted (decades later) the Klansmen who took part in the horrific 1963 Birmingham church bombing that killed four black little girls and injured many others.While Jones would easily win the primary, there was some concern in the party that lack of interest in the race and his under the radar campaign could produce a victory for an even more invisible candidate, an African-American who happened to have the name of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

With the Jones vs. Moore matchup set, I decided, as someone who has never voted for a Democrat in a partisan race in my life (but did refuse to vote for Trump), that if I lived in Alabama I actually would cast a ballot for the Democrat Jones, solely as a protest against Moore (and Trump.) I figured though that even with all of the controversy surrounding Moore, it really would not matter, as he was the solid favorite.

In discussing this race, it is worth nothing that Jones is pretty darn liberal. From issues like abortin down the line, Jones is very much aligned with the national party and that makes it impossible for so many voters to support him. With all that would eventually transpire, I think there is little doubt that Alabama Democrats picked someone who is not their strongest potential candidate and that any sort of vintage Blue Dog, who tried to at least appear to be socially moderate would be a solid favorite right now. Jones, while coming across a a nice guy, is perhaps too nice in this race to deal with someone like Moore, and he seems to be lacking in the charisma department. Could a forceful African-American minister be doing better? Democrats certainly need to gin up as many black votes as possible in this race.

With his status as the favorite, Moore had steadfastly refused to debate Jones or appear before anything other than very friendly crowds. The race took on a major twist last month, (right after the Democrats' big win in the Virginia Governor race) when the Washington Post reported that four women were accusing Moore of sexual misconduct against them, decades ago, when he was an unmarried assistant district attorney in his thirties and they were teenagers.

The allegations were horrific, as the youngest accuser was but 14 at the time, although many Moore supporters were quick to dismiss them as "lies from the liberal media." Moore denied any misconduct but seemed to struggle in putting the story away in regards to whether he had ever dated teenage girls at that time. Many believed the allegations were credible and that Moore's denials were not. Apparently, this sort of behavior from Moore's past had been whispered in Alabama circles for many years and there were stories of him having been banned from the mall at the time for creeping on teenage girls.

One could write an entire book or Dateline NBC special about about all of these allegations and how people tried to defend Moore, but this greatly hurt his campaign, as all sorts of Congressional Republicans called on him to drop out of the race. Talk of write in campaigns intensified (although a formal one by a major name never really got off the ground) as well as various things that could be done to cancel or postpone the special election until 2018. Could Strange resign early causing a new special election? Things of that nature. Moore's supporters in the state seemed to rally around him though and with it clear he would never depart the race, that sort of thing died down. Governor Ivey said that she tended to believe his accusers but that Moore's vote in the Senate in regards to judges and whatnot was too important. Again, the theme of character being secondary to issues is at the forefront. For his part, Alabama's senior Senator Richard Shelby is being very vocal in saying that Moore is unfit for the Senate and that he wrote in a Republican candidate.

Truth be told, while write-in efforts, including those on behalf of retired military officer Lee Busby may hurt Moore and help Jones in effect, the most logical thing for Alabamians to do is to hold their nose and vote for Jones because Moore is so horrible. That is what I hope happens. However, my sense is that many Democrats want Moore to win, just because they want to hang him as an albatross around the necks of Republicans around the country. Let there be no doubt though that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and many of his fellow Republicans do want the Democrat to win and beat Moore, even as it may affect the balance of power race in 2018. They feel this Alabama seat can be won back easily in 2020 by someone else.

While the NRSC pulled out of a deal to support Moore, the actions of Trump and the RNC he controls have been different. After first looking like he wanted Moore out, Trump has now gone all in on supporting Moore and the RNC has rejoined the field battle in Alabama. Of course, this has caused all sorts of controversy as well with some Republicans completely dismayed by this action. Trump of course has his own accusers of sexual misconduct.

For a while, it looked like this story could cost Moore the election as polls showed a sharp shift to Jones. Perhaps though, the story came out too early as most polls show a shift back to Moore as Republican voters are saying they tend to not believe the charges or are willing to discount them because they are from decades ago, or just because nothing is worth the cost of putting a liberal Democrat in office. A side note is that in this season of the "Me Too" movement, Democrats lost a lot of credibility by refusing to quickly call for the resignation of Senator Al Franken in Minnesota or Congressman John Conyers in Michigan after they faced credible accusers. Due to backlash, Democrats eventually turned on both politicians. Conyers has resigned and Franken last week, to great fanfare, said he would resign in the "coming weeks" while making note of the allegations against Moore and Trump in his Senate floor announcement, where he basically said his female accusers were liars. Fair politics or not, Democrats missed a golden opportunity on all this as it relates to Alabama, as their tribalism has only emboldened the apologists for Moore and Trump.

With the election tomorrow, polls show anything from a nine point Moore lead to a 10 point Jones lead. Partisans on both sides say that polls could be fake and be used simply to try to hurt the other candidates chances. I believe that a development last Friday might really hurt the Democrats as one of the accusers, who said that Moore sexually assaulted her when she was 16, and who was aligned with liberal celebrity attorney Gloria Allred, admitting that she added some writing to the yearbook she said Moore signed thirty years ago. This makes it that much easier for his defenders to say that it was all a forgery and a smear campaign against him for political purposes.

Turnout in special elections is always hard to gauge and will of course play a big part in the result tomorrow. Three weeks ago, I would have predicted a Jones win, and then momentum shifted back towards Moore's defenders finding a way to excuse voting for him to keep the seat Republican. Earlier today, I was prepared to say that the race was "Leans Republican" but the Fox News poll showing a 10 point Jones lead will lead me to say it is a Tossup.

My hunch is that Moore wins tomorrow, and could perhaps even win solidly. That will make me sad, as someone who has ever actually wanted a Democrat to win an election before. I very much hope Doug Jones wins, just because Roy Moore is so bad, even if none of the claims of him being a pedophile or child predator were accurate or had been made. The Republican Party I was once proud of and wish I could be proud of again should have no place for Moore, especially since so many believed he probably did abuse those young girls. I find all that horrible, but I was unable to abide a candidate who said that he does not have to follow the Constitution or that refusal to stand for the National Anthem (which I find very distasteful) is somehow illegal. I consider myself a staunch conservative, but believe that all of my fellow Americans are entitled to the same Constitutional rights I am, including gays, lesbians, and Muslims. Roy Moore does not share those views, and perhaps worst of all, has said that the U.S. deserved the terrorist attacks of 9/11/01.

So, when I watch the results come in tomorrow, I will hope the Democrat wins, and that Republicans are saved from themselves, as should have happened by rejecting Trump. My sense though is that Moore will win and his supporters will be gleeful and partisan Democrat hacks will not exactly be upset either. The tribal game of politics rolls on.

What will happen then? Most agree that Moore will have to get sworn in but Republicans for weeks have said that he should immediately be referred to the Ethics Committee to investigate the allegations of sexual abuse against underage girls and that he might become the first Senator to be expelled from the body since the Civil War. Democrats tend to say they doubt Republicans will follow up with that, but I think it is very much a possibility and I hope they do the right thing. (in spite of the wishes of the voters in an election that should not have even taken place until next year) for the Senate, the Republican Party, and most importantly for the country.

Moving forward, may both parties, and those who cannot identify with either party, understand that issues and positions are important things to consider when voting, but that character  and what kind of person a candidate is should always matter above all else.

Never Moore.

Wednesday, December 06, 2017

NFL Week 14

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 83-109 (43%)

1. Saints (9-3) at Falcons (7-5)
2. Colts (3-9) at Bills (6-6)
3. Lions (6-6) at Buccaneers (4-8)
4. Raiders (6-6) at Chiefs (6-6)
5. 49ers (2-10) at Texans (4-8)
6. Packers (6-6) at Browns (0-12)
7. Bears (3-9) at Bengals (5-7)
8. Vikings (10-2) at Panthers (8-4)
9.  Cowboys (6-6) at Giants (2-10)
10 Redskins (5-7) at Chargers (6-6)
11. Jets (5-7) at Broncos (3-9)
12. Titans (8-4) at Cardinals (5-7)
13. Eagles (10-2) at Rams (9-3)
14. Seahawks (8-4) at Jaguars (8-4)
15. Ravens (7-5) at Steelers (10-2)
16. Patriots (10-2) at Dolphins (5-7)

Tuesday, December 05, 2017

NFL Week 13 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Redskins (5-6) at Cowboys (5-6) L 1
2. Vikings (9-2) at Falcons (7-4) W 1
3. Texans (4-7) at Titans (7-4) W 2
4. Chiefs (6-5) at Jets (4-7) L 2
5. Broncos (3-8) at Dolphins (4-7) W 3
6. Colts (3-8) at Jaguars (7-4) W 4
7. Buccaneers (4-7) at Packers (5-6) L 3
8. Lions (6-5) at Ravens (6-5) W 5
9. Patriots (9-2) at Bills (6-5) L 4
10. 49ers (1-10) at Bears (3-8) L 5
11. Browns (0-11) at Chargers (5-6) W 6
12. Giants (2-9) at Raiders (5-6) W 7
13. Panthers (8-3) at Saints (8-3) W 8
14. Rams (8-3) at Cardinals (5-6) L 6
15. Eagles (10-1) at Seahawks (7-4) L 7
16. Steelers (9-2) at Bengals (5-6) L 8

Week 16 Results: 8-8 (50%)
Overall Results: 83-109 (43%)

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

NFL Week 13

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 75-101 (43%)

1. Redskins (5-6) at Cowboys (5-6)
2. Vikings (9-2) at Falcons (7-4)
3. Texans (4-7) at Titans (7-4)
4. Chiefs (6-5) at Jets (4-7)
5. Broncos (3-8) at Dolphins (4-7)
6. Colts (3-8) at Jaguars (7-4)
7. Buccaneers (4-7) at Packers (5-6)
8. Lions (6-5) at Ravens (6-5)
9. Patriots (9-2) at Bills (6-5)
10. 49ers (1-10) at Bears (3-8)
11. Browns (0-11) at Chargers (5-6)
12. Giants (2-9) at Raiders (5-6)
13. Panthers (8-3) at Saints (8-3)
14. Rams (8-3) at Cardinals (5-6)
15. Eagles (10-1) at Seahawks (7-4)
16. Steelers (9-2) at Bengals (5-6)

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

NFL Week 12 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS


1. Vikings (8-2) at Lions (6-4) L 1
2. Chargers (4-6) at Cowboys (5-5) W 1
3. Giants (2-8) at Redskins (4-6) L 2
4. Bills (5-5) at Chiefs (6-4) W 2
5. Titans (6-4) at Colts (3-7) W 3
6. Browns (0-10) at Bengals (4-6) W 4
7. Buccaneers (4-6) at Falcons (6-4) L 3
8. Dolphins (4-6) at Patriots (8-2) L 4
9. Bears (3-7) at Eagles (9-1) L 5
10. Panthers (7-3) at Jets (4-6) L 6
11. Seahawks (6-4) at 49ers (1-9) L 4
12. Saints (8-2) at Rams (7-3) W 5
13. Jaguars (7-3) at Cardinals (4-6) L 8
14. Broncos (3-7) at Raiders (4-6) L 9
15. Packers (5-5) at Steelers (8-2) W 6
16. Texans (4-6) at Ravens (5-5) L 10

Week 12 Results: 6-10 (38%)
Overall Results: 75-101 (43%)

Wednesday, November 22, 2017

NFL Week 12

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 69-91 (43%)

1. Vikings (8-2) at Lions (6-4)
2. Chargers (4-6) at Cowboys (5-5)
3. Giants (2-8) at Redskins (4-6)
4. Bills (5-5) at Chiefs (6-4)
5. Titans (6-4) at Colts (3-7)
6. Browns (0-10) at Bengals (4-6)
7. Buccaneers (4-6) at Falcons (6-4)
8. Dolphins (4-6) at Patriots (8-2)
9. Bears (3-7) at Eagles (9-1)
10. Panthers (7-3) at Jets (4-6)
11. Seahawks (6-4) at 49ers (1-9)
12. Saints (8-2) at Rams (7-3)
13. Jaguars (7-3) at Cardinals (4-6)
14. Broncos (3-7) at Raiders (4-6)
15. Packers (5-5) at Steelers (8-2)
16. Texans (4-6) at Ravens (5-5)

Tuesday, November 21, 2017

NFL Week 11 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Titans (6-3) at Steelers (7-2) L 1
2. Lions (5-4) at Bears (3-6) L 2
3. Jaguars (6-3) at Browns (0-9) W 1
4. Ravens (4-5) at Packers (5-4) W 2
5. Cardinals (4-5) at Texans (3-6) W 3
6. Buccaneers (3-6) at Dolphins (4-5) L 3
7. Rams (7-2) at Vikings (7-2) L 4
8. Chiefs (6-3) at Giants (1-8) L 5
9. Redskins (4-5) at Saints (7-2) L 6
10. Bills (5-4) at Chargers (3-6) L 7
11. Bengals (3-6) at Broncos (3-6) W 4
12. Patriots (7-2) vs. Raiders (4-5) in Mexico City L 8
13. Eagles (8-1) at Cowboys (5-4) L 9
14. Falcons (5-4) at Seahawks (6-3) W 5

Week 11 Results 5-9 (36%)
Overall Results: 69-91 (43%)

Wednesday, November 15, 2017

NFL Week 11

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 64-82 (44%)

1. Titans (6-3) at Steelers (7-2)
2. Lions (5-4) at Bears (3-6)
3. Jaguars (6-3) at Browns (0-9)
4. Ravens (4-5) at Packers (5-4)
5. Cardinals (4-5) at Texans (3-6)
6. Buccaneers (3-6) at Dolphins (4-5)
7. Rams (7-2) at Vikings (7-2)
8. Chiefs (6-3) at Giants (1-8)
9. Redskins (4-5) at Saints (7-2)
10. Bills (5-4) at Chargers (3-6)
11. Bengals (3-6) at Broncos (3-6)
12. Patriots (7-2) vs. Raiders (4-5) in Mexico City
13. Eagles (8-1) at Cowboys (5-4)
14. Falcons (5-4) at Seahawks (6-3)

Tuesday, November 14, 2017

NFL Week 10 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Seahawks (5-3) at Cardinals (4-4) L 1
2. Packers (4-4) at Bears (3-5) L 2
3. Browns (0-8) at Lions (4-4) L 3
4. Steelers (6-2) at Colts (3-6) W 1
5. Chargers (3-5) at Jaguars (5-3) W 2
6. Saints (6-2) at Bills (5-3) L 4
7. Jets (4-5) at Buccaneers (2-6) L 5
8. Vikings (6-2) at Redskins (4-4) L 6
9. Bengals (3-5) at Titans (5-3) W 3
10. Texans (3-5) at Rams (6-2) L 7
11. Cowboys (5-3) at Falcons (4-4) W 4
12. Giants (1-7) at 49ers (0-9) W 5
13. Patriots (6-2) at Broncos (3-5) L 8
14. Dolphins (4-4) at Panthers (6-3) L 9

Week 10 Results: 5-9 (36%)
Overall Results: 64-82 (44%)

Wednesday, November 08, 2017

NFL Week 10

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 59-73 (45%)

1. Seahawks (5-3) at Cardinals (4-4)
2. Packers (4-4) at Bears (3-5)
3. Browns (0-8) at Lions (4-4)
4. Steelers (6-2) at Colts (3-6)
5. Chargers (3-5) at Jaguars (5-3)
6. Saints (6-2) at Bills (5-3)
7. Jets (4-5) at Buccaneers (2-6)
8. Vikings (6-2) at Redskins (4-4)
9. Bengals (3-5) at Titans (5-3)
10. Texans (3-5) at Rams (6-2)
11. Cowboys (5-3) at Falcons (4-4)
12. Giants (1-7) at 49ers (0-9)
13. Patriots (6-2) at Broncos (3-5)
14. Dolphins (4-4) at Panthers (6-3)

Tuesday, November 07, 2017

NFL Week 9 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Bills (5-2) at Jets (3-5) L 1
2. Colts (2-6) at Texans (3-4) L 2
3. Bengals (3-4) at Jaguars (4-3) L 3
4. Buccaneers (2-5) at Saints (5-2) L 4
5. Rams (5-2) at Giants (1-6) L 5
6. Falcons (4-3) at Panthers (5-3) L 6
7. Broncos (3-4) at Eagles (7-1) L 7
8. Ravens (4-4) at Titans (4-3) W 1
9. Cardinals (3-4) at 49ers (0-8) L 8
10. Redskins (3-4) at Seahawks (5-2) W 2
11. Chiefs (6-2) at Cowboys (4-3) L 9
12. Raiders (3-5) at Dolphins (4-3) L 10
13. Lions (3-4) at Packers (4-3) W 3

Week 9 Results: 3-10 (23%)
Overall Results: 59-73 (45%)

Monday, November 06, 2017

Virginia Governor Election

Status: Democrat Open
2016 Presidential Result: Blue State (South)

Outlook: Tossup (D)

I have taken advantage of the ability to wait until the eve of this election to make my final prediction, as the race has been considered to be very fluid in recent days. There is certainly much on the line in this contest to be decided tomorrow, both in terms of whom the people of the Commonwealth of Virginia will elect to be their Governor, as well as indications of the shape of the two major political parties, exactly one year after an historic Presidential election and exactly one year before a pivotal midterm election.

In truth, every four years, the Virginia Gubernatorial race gets more attention than it probably deserves as one of just two contests for Governor to take part in the first odd year after the last Presidential election. Like New Jersey, the party that wins the White House, almost always winds up up on the losing end for Governor. That was the case in 2001 when the Republican nominee fell several points short in a state that George W. Bush had easily carried the year before and while the incumbent President was in possession of as much political capital as any President in American history.

That streak did end four years ago, when Democrat Terry McAuliffe was elected in Virginia, an increasingly blue state, recently carried by Barack Obama, that had become less culturally conservative. McAuliffe prevailed in a race over a very conservative Republican in a contest where both major party nominees were seen as polarizing and unlikable. In many ways, that was a pretext for the 2016 Presidential contest, where Democrats Hillary Clinton and home state Senator Tim Kaine won Virginia by nearly six points over Donald Trump, while the unconventional Republican nominee won enough of the other battleground states to take the White House. It is worth nothing that McAuliffe had a large lead in the final polls in 2013, and was expected to win by a landslide, but only prevailed by less than three points at the end. A bit of a "moral victory" for Republicans, but still a loss nonetheless.

Now, in the only state in America where an incumbent Governor cannot seek a second term, there is some evidence to suggest that McAuliffe's mixed popularity could lead to an opening for a Republican, but the historical trends seem to suggest that this contest should be one that favors the Democrats. The fact that Donald Trump has the lowest approval ratings of any President, one year after his election, than any in the history of polling, also should favor the Democrat in this purplish blue state.

For most of the year, the Democrats were considered to have a solid edge in holding this office, but the race has seemed to change dramatically over the past month, with momentum seemingly on the side of the Republican candidate. The final round of polls out though over the past couple of days have pushed back to an extent, with them all showing a slight lead again for the Democrat, perhaps throwing some cold water on the hopes of Republicans and Trump supporters (an uneasy coalition in many cases) around the country.

This race could truly go either way and and an odd year election adds more uncertainty about turnout. If this were a midterm, I would say this race was "Leans Democrat" and for a long time, that is what I would have called this race. However, this has to be looked at as a Tossup until the votes start being counted. I am slightly less confident of an upset than I would have been about a week ago though, as I think historical trends and the political nature of the state, including divisions among non-Democrats, is more likely to cause a Republican loss, with the Democrat winning by a plurality. This year, Libertarian nominee attorney Cliff Hyra just might be spoiler.

As the saying goes though, Democrats need to win this contest more than Republicans do, with all the factors considered. While the 2018 midterms will have their own state by state dynamics, a loss in Clinton carried Virginia could and should have significant psychological scarring to Democrats, amid continued recriminations and recent finger pointing about the loss to Trump, as well as having fallen short on all of the special Congressional races the party had targeted in 2017.

In regards to the major party nominees for Governor of Virginia this year, the establishment won out over the populist movements of Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump. This has led both parties to be very concerned in this general election about turning out their base and getting unenthusiastic voters to the polls.

The Democrats' nominee, and once solid general election frontrunner is Ralph Northam, a physician and current Lt. Governor. A native Virginian, Northam served in the Army and considered himself a Republican before entering politics. While he has admitted to having supported Republicans such as former President George W. Bush, he now says he regrets those votes. Despite his recent statewide victory for Lt. Governor and strong support from the state party establishment, he faced a competitive primary from former Congressman Tom Perriello, who as a young House freshman, was thought of as a moderate from a pro-Republican area. That area turned out to be so pro-Republican though that Perriello was booted out of office after one term in the 2010 midterms. By the time he ran for Governor, the ex-Congressman was describing himself as a progressive ally of Bernie Sanders fighting against the party establishment. He had some significant liberal backing from Democrats around the country, but when the June votes were cast in the primary, Northam prevailed by a surprisingly large 12 points. Perriello immediately expressed support for the candidate who defeated him.

The Republican primary contest was quite different. The establishment favorite and solid frontrunner was Ed Gillespie, a New Jersey born transplant who had been raised in a family of Democrats. Gillespie though made a name for himself in Washington D.C. as one of the GOP's top movers and shakers, eventually becoming a senior official in the George W. Bush White House and after that, President Bush's choice to Chair the Republican National Committee. During the Obama years, Gillespie worked as a lobbyist and stayed active in Republican politics, including a top level role in the 2012 Mitt Romney campaign. In 2014, he ran for the U.S. Senate against popular incumbent Mark Warner in Virginia. Long thought of as a severe underdog who was mostly doing his service to the party, Election Night saw Gillespie come shockingly close to pulling off what would have been the biggest upset in the country that year. Had national Republicans provided him with more resources, he might be in the U.S. Senate today, but he fell just short, but was immediately considered a very strong candidate for Governor in 2017.

Gillespie would not have the primary field to himself however. He was challenged by State Senator Frank Wagner who would go on to finish a distant third, but chiefly by Corey Stewart, the four term Chairman of the Prince George's County Board of Supervisors. Stewart had failed in a bid to be the Republican nominee for Lt. Governor in 2013.

While Stewart had achieved political success locally, by this race, he was primarily known as a controversial and unabashed proponent of Donald Trump. In fact, the Trump campaign had fired him in Virginia because was seen as too much of a "loose cannon." Nonetheless, Stewart had strongly embraced the populist appeal of Trump and of the Tea Party. A native Minnesotan, Stewart based his Gubernatorial primary candidacy on the issue of Confederate identity and had some tenuous ties to the white nationalist movement. That proved to be especially controversial after the primary with the deadly violence that occurred in Charlottesville. Now, a candidate for U.S. Senate, Stewart made headlines by aligning himself with Trump's blame on "both sides."

Before that though, with the issue of Confederate monuments and statues playing a large role in the Republican primary, as well as the belief among many that Gillespie was beholden to a fledgling Republican establishment or being part of the Beltway "swamp", Stewart came much closer than expected, only losing to Gillespie by less than 5,000 votes and about one percent of the total vote. Let me take a moment to say that if Stewart had actually won that primary, that I, as a lifelong Republican (named Corey) would openly be supporting Northam over him in this race.

Alas though, Gillespie prevailed, narrowly, and Stewart claimed he would never preach party unity and it seemed unlikely that he or many of his supporters could ever get behind the man who had defeated them. The contrast between the two parties and the primary results and the way that the candidates behaved afterwards could not have been more stark. While most political observers conceded that Gillespie was a credible candidate, it looked like would simply have no chance of winning against the Democrats.

Throughout the summer though, while Northam led in the polls, Gillespie kept things reasonably close. This was kind of deja vu in a way with the Clinton vs. Trump race, as Northam was seen as perhaps trying to coast to victory on a lead. In many ways, his campaign messaging and lack of charisma on the trail has been compared to that of Clinton, and some Democrats have been vocal in recent days of how much that scares them.

Along the way as well, Gillespie has somehow managed to do what is pretty difficult in politics. He has maintained his establishment support, including among many voters who rejected Donald Trump, and has made major inroads with Trump supporters and Tea Party types. As one of those establishment Republicans, who has been a fan of Gillespie for years, I find myself admiring his political skill, but being somewhat uneasy about what he has had to do. He has kept Trump at arm's length, and despite the President's endorsement, never brought him in to campaign for him, but has definitely not done anything that would be seen as an outright rejection of Trump or his policies. In spite of everything that happened in Charlottesville, Gillespie, has gotten well to the right of Northam on the issue of Confederate monuments and talked about how it would be wrong to whitewash history. A lot of people in the Commonwealth seemingly agree with him on the issue.

The ads on both sides have been absolutely brutal in recent weeks as Gillespie and his allies tie Northam to crimes committed by gangbangers and support for illegal immigrants through Sanctuary Cities, which do not currently even exist in Virginia. This has clearly proven to be a problem for the Democrats, as Northam has recently flip flopped on that issue. In doing so, a left-wing grassroots group pulled their support for Northam, which is something his campaign very much did not need.

Gillespie still had not managed to get many of the non-Democrats in his corner, but might have gotten a break when a pro-Northam independent group ran a controversial ad recently in which a white driver in a pickup truck adorned with both Confederate flags and Gillespie for Governor bumper stickers (which I think would have been pretty unlikely, at least until very recently) was depicted as trying to run down (or perhaps round up for deportation) minority children on the street, until it was all a dream. The ad was declared by many as way over the top and Republicans on blogs thought it was a major error that would cost Northam the election, especially after it was pulled in the wake of last week's truck terrorist attack in New York City. I am a bit more circumspect about if that ad was ever really going to be a gamechanger in the race, but I do think it is very possible that it will have been all the motivation needed for many Gillespie-skeptic voters on the right to cast a ballot for him. After his initial spouting off, even Corey Stewart is seen as tacitly in support, though no formal endorsement has been made, and the possibility that if there was one, it might do as much harm as good.

The bottom line is though that Gillespie now has Bush-Romney Republicans as well as Trump-Bannon populists all on his side, and that is why he might have a real chance of winning. Again, as someone who has long liked Gillespie and who would enjoy seeing cocky Democrats freak out about another loss, I would like him to win tomorrow. However, if his win would be a referendum on the Confederacy after all this, I really do not care who wins. That is where I am at in politics these days, as someone who is most certainly not a Democrat, but who will never be supportive of the direction Donald Trump and his allies want to take the Republican Party and the country.

The polls now seem to point to a lead for Northam of about 3-5 points. The polls though have been wrong before recently quite a bit, including understatement of Northam's support in the recent primary, and overstatement of Gillespie's lead that same day, but more so as they relate to under support of Republicans in general, including the 2013 Gubernatorial race, Gillespie's narrow loss for the Senate the year later, and Trump coming a few points closer there in 2016 than many thought he would.

My hunch is that all the talk of momentum for Gillespie has scared enough unenthusastic Democrats in the state into backing Northam and that he will win closely, with perhaps as little as 48 percent of the vote, matching Hillary Clinton's national total from a year ago. There is no Electoral College in a Gubernatorial race though, and that means Gillespie will lose a second consecutive close statewide election. If that happens, many will claim that he would never have come as close as he did without Trump and Trump supporters, while others, such as myself would say, that he would have probably won for certain had Trump lost last year and that he was dragged down by Trump's unpopularity with moderate voters.

This is one prediction I will be more than fine with being wrong with though. If Gillespie wins, he proved his political mettle when it mattered in a way that few politicians can claim to have done and Democrats will have to do a whole lot of soul searching.

Wednesday, November 01, 2017

NFL Week 9

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 56-63 (47%)

1. Bills (5-2) at Jets (3-5)
2. Colts (2-6) at Texans (3-4)
3. Bengals (3-4) at Jaguars (4-3)
4. Buccaneers (2-5) at Saints (5-2)
5. Rams (5-2) at Giants (1-6)
6. Falcons (4-3) at Panthers (5-3)
7. Broncos (3-4) at Eagles (7-1)
8. Ravens (4-4) at Titans (4-3)
9. Cardinals (3-4) at 49ers (0-8)
10. Redskins (3-4) at Seahawks (5-2)
11. Chiefs (6-2) at Cowboys (4-3)
12. Raiders (3-5) at Dolphins (4-3)
13. Lions (3-4) at Packers (4-3)

Tuesday, October 31, 2017

NFL Week 8 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS


1. Dolphins (4-2) at Ravens (3-4) L 1
2. Vikings (5-2) vs. Browns (0-7) in Twickenham, England L 2
3. Falcons (3-3) at Jets (3-4) L 3
4. Panthers (4-3) at Buccaneers (2-4) L 4
5. 49ers (0-7) at Eagles (6-1) L 5
6. Bears (3-4) at Saints (4-2) L 6
7. Chargers (3-4) at Patriots (5-2) L 7
8. Raiders (3-4) at Bills (4-2) W 1
9. Colts (2-5) at Bengals (2-4) W 2
10. Texans (3-3) at Seahawks (4-2) L 8
11. Cowboys (3-3) at Redskins (3-3) L 9
12. Steelers (5-2) at Lions (3-3) W 3
13. Broncos (3-3) at Chiefs (5-2) W 4

Week 8 Results: 4-9 (31%)
Overall Results: 56-63 (47%)

Friday, October 27, 2017

New Jersey Governor Election

Status: Republican Open
2016 Presidential Result: Blue State (East)

Outlook: Likely Democrat

The year after a Presidential election brings about off year contests for Governor in two states. The race this year in New Jersey is easily considered to be the less competitive of the two.

Typically, the Garden State takes the opportunity to elect a Governor from the opposite party that has just won the White House. It is now more than a 30 year trend. Considering a divisive Republican won the election last year, and New Jersey, a state where Donald Trump has faced business failures, happens to be one that often leans towards Democrats, it seems pretty certain that the Governorship will revert back to that party after eight years of GOP control, mostly during the Obama years.

The current Governor Chris Christie is nationally known but has seen his political fortunes, both nationwide and locally take some major hits. After a successful first term, he was easily reelected in 2013 and seen as one of the frontrunners for the 2016 Republican Presidential nomination. Questions though arose about the activities of his staff during that campaign including the infamous "Bridgegate" episode that produced embarrassing headlines for Christie and legal problems for some of his top aides. His relationship with the legislature in the state deteriorated further during his second term and the always combative Governor saw his popularity drop as more people viewed him as too much of a loud mouthed bully.

Still though, Christie had his fans who appreciated his ability to have won office in a Democrat heavy state. He launched a campaign for President, but beyond some plaudits for his bare knuckles primary debate style towards such opponents as Marco Rubio, his support never materialized. After finishing way back in the pack of New Hampshire, Christie quit the race. He shocked many by endorsing long-time friend Donald Trump, becoming the first establishment figure to do so. Many thought Christie was on the verge of becoming Trump's running-mate, but he was not picked and like he was after he was passed over by Mitt Romney in 2012, was reportedly quite peeved. Nonetheless, Christie was a Trump surrogate and after the surprising Presidential win, he was thought of as a potential Attorney General or other high position. The Governor had run afoul of Trump, perhaps at some point on Election Night, reportedly regarding a dirty cell phone, or during the brief time was led the Trump Transition team before being moved out of that role. After all that, Christie was not offered any position and he would be stuck serving his final year as New Jersey's lame duck Governor.

For the past year, polls have shown Christie as perhaps one of the most unpopular Governors in the history of American politics. It has definitely been quite a fall and the state is definitely in the mood for a new Governor. None of this is good news for the current Republican nominee, who happens to have served as Christie's Lt. Governor (the first the state has ever had) during the past eight years.

Republican Kim Gaudagno, who also serves as Secretary of State, benefited from her partnership with Christie when the Administration was new, but now, he is more of a very large political anchor. In spite of this, she solidly won this year's Republican primary over opponents who ran to her right, and who were far more willing to embrace Donald Trump, than the Lt. Governor, who unlike her boss in Trenton, refused to support Trump in 2016. State Assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli finished roughly 16 points behind. Nobody in the GOP field ran as an ally of Christie.

At this point though, Trump is more popular in New Jersey than Christie is, and Gaudagno has found it more necessary to keep her distance from the Governor she twice ran with and touted. Christie has seemed to understand her need for space. He admitted he voted for her in the primary, despite the heavy criticism she has been giving him recently, including when he shut the state's beaches down this past summer, only to be seen lounging with his family on the closed waterfronts. While she has been seen in the past as a talented politician with cross party appeal, Gaudagno is seriously hampered in New Jersey this year by both Trump and Christie. Had Christie been given a position in the federal government, or had he just resigned early, the Lt. Governor would have taken over and become the incumbent, and would likely be in at least a somewhat better position in this race.

The Democrat primary for this open seat was expected to be more competitive than that held by Republicans, but in actuality, the result was slightly more lopsided, as 48 percent voted to nominate Phil Murphy, a very wealthy Goldman Sachs executive who served as Ambassador to Germany during the first four years of the Obama Administration. Goldman Sachs is often derided by the left-wing of the party, but Murphy followed the template of former New Jersey Senator and Governor Jon Corzine, of past Wall Street success, and torpedoed his political opponents with loads of money. Finishing second in the primary, about 26 points behind was Jim Johnson, an African-American former Treasury Department official. In a close third place was State Assemblyman and former state party Chairman John Wisniewski. The populist pitches against Murphy and his Goldman Sachs ties clearly did not work.

Immediately, Murphy was seen as the strong frontrunner over Gaudagno and not much has changed. He has had a persistent large lead in the polls, although Murphy is not exactly seen as a beloved political figure, allowing the Republican to have semi-respectable showing in some surveys. Both candidates had to pick running-mates for Lt. Governor after securing the nomination and both placed emphasis on racial and gender diversity. Murphy picked Sheila Oliver, an African-American Assemblywoman who had served as Speaker while Gaudagno picked the lesser known Carlos Rendo, the Cuban born Mayor of Woodcliff Lake.

One intriguing aspect of this race is that the winner may soon have to pick a U.S. Senator. Democrat Robert Mendendez is currently on trial in federal court and most expect he will be a guest at a federal institution before too long. The decision will likely happen though before New Jersey's next Governor is sworn in or even perhaps elected in less than two weeks. Could incumbent Governor Christie attempt to appoint a Republican to serve through the 2018 election? That would create a firestorm and Democrats would be insistent that the newly elected Governor name the replacement, similar to the brouhaha over replacing Antonin Scalia on the U.S. Supreme Court.

There does not seem to be much drama in the race with Murphy seemingly holding a lead in the polls of about 15 percent, as well as a huge financial advantage. Democrats will be happy to celebrate any victory they can get and they can likely expect one here. There does not seem to be much Gaudagno can do, as she tries to separate herself from both Trump and Christie, while also trying to appeal to their conservative and/or populist supporters on issues like crime, taxes, and sanctuary cities.

She has to wonder just how different things might be, had Hillary Clinton won the Presidency last year, or if Chris Christie had not fallen into such disfavor.

Wednesday, October 25, 2017

NFL Week 8

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 52-54 (49%)

1. Dolphins (4-2) at Ravens (3-4)
2. Vikings (5-2) vs. Browns (0-7) in Twickenham, England
3. Falcons (3-3) at Jets (3-4)
4. Panthers (4-3) at Buccaneers (2-4)
5. 49ers (0-7) at Eagles (6-1)
6. Bears (3-4) at Saints (4-2)
7. Chargers (3-4) at Patriots (5-2)
8. Raiders (3-4) at Bills (4-2)
9. Colts (2-5) at Bengals (2-4)
10. Texans (3-3) at Seahawks (4-2)
11. Cowboys (3-3) at Redskins (3-3)
12. Steelers (5-2) at Lions (3-3)
13. Broncos (3-3) at Chiefs (5-2)

Tuesday, October 24, 2017

NFL Week 7 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS


1. Chiefs (5-1) at Raiders (2-4) L 1
2. Buccaneers (2-3) at Bills (3-2) W 1
3. Ravens (3-3) at Vikings (4-2) L 2
4. Jets (3-3) at Dolphins (3-2) W 2
5. Cardinals (3-3) vs. Rams (4-2) in Twickenham, England  L3
6. Jaguars (3-3) at Colts (2-4) L 4
7. Saints (3-2) at Packers (4-2) W 3
8. Panthers (4-2) at Bears (2-4) W 4
9. Titans (3-3) at Browns (0-6) W 5
10. Cowboys (2-3) at 49ers (0-6) L 5
11. Broncos (3-2) at Chargers (2-4) L 6
12. Bengals (2-3) at Steelers (4-2) L 7
13. Seahawks (3-2) at Giants (1-5) L 8
14. Falcons (3-2) at Patriots (4-2) W 6
15. Redskins (3-2) at Eagles (5-1) L 9

Week 7 Results: 6-9 (40%)
Overall Results: 52-54 (49%)

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

NFL Week 7

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 46-45 (51%)


1. Chiefs (5-1) at Raiders (2-4)
2. Buccaneers (2-3) at Bills (3-2)
3. Ravens (3-3) at Vikings (4-2)
4. Jets (3-3) at Dolphins (3-2)
5. Cardinals (3-3) vs. Rams (4-2) in Twickenham, England
6. Jaguars (3-3) at Colts (2-4)
7. Saints (3-2) at Packers (4-2)
8. Panthers (4-2) at Bears (2-4)
9. Titans (3-3) at Browns (0-6)
10. Cowboys (2-3) at 49ers (0-6)
11. Broncos (3-2) at Chargers (2-4)
12. Bengals (2-3) at Steelers (4-2)
13. Seahawks (3-2) at Giants (1-5)
14. Falcons (3-2) at Patriots (4-2)
15. Redskins (3-2) at Eagles (5-1)

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

NFL Week 6 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS


1. Eagles (4-1) at Panthers (4-1) L 1
2. Bears (1-4) at Ravens (3-2) W 1
3. Browns (0-5) at Texans (2-3) W 2
4. Packers (4-1) at Vikings (3-2) W 3
5. Lions (3-2) at Saints (2-2) W 4
6. Dolphins (2-2) at Falcons (3-1) W 5
7. Patriots (3-2) at Jets (3-2) L 2
8. 49ers (0-5) at Redskins (2-2) L 3
9. Buccaneers (2-2) at Cardinals (2-3) W 6
10. Rams (3-2) at Jaguars (3-2) L 4
11. Steelers (3-2) at Chiefs (5-0) L 5
12. Chargers (1-4) at Raiders (2-3) W 7
13. Giants (0-5) at Broncos (3-1) L 6
14. Colts (2-3) at Titans (2-3) W 8

Week 6 Results: 8-6 (57%)

Overall Results: 46-45 (51%)

Monday, October 16, 2017

2017 Liberty Medal Ceremony remarks

"To fear the world we have organized and led for three-quarters of a century, to abandon the ideals we have advanced around the globe, to refuse the obligations of international leadership and our duty to remain “the last best hope of earth” for the sake of some half-baked, spurious nationalism cooked up by people who would rather find scapegoats than solve problems is as unpatriotic as an attachment to any other tired dogma of the past that Americans consigned to the ash heap of history.

We live in a land made of ideals, not blood and soil. We are the custodians of those ideals at home, and their champion abroad. We have done great good in the world. That leadership has had its costs, but we have become incomparably powerful and wealthy as we did. We have a moral obligation to continue in our just cause, and we would bring more than shame on ourselves if we don’t. We will not thrive in a world where our leadership and ideals are absent. We wouldn’t deserve to."

Senator John McCain
October 16, 2017

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

NFL Week 6

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results:38-39 (49%)

1. Eagles (4-1) at Panthers (4-1)
2. Bears (1-4) at Ravens (3-2)
3. Browns (0-5) at Texans (2-3)
4. Packers (4-1) at Vikings (3-2)
5. Lions (3-2) at Saints (2-2)
6. Dolphins (2-2) at Falcons (3-1)
7. Patriots (3-2) at Jets (3-2)
8. 49ers (0-5) at Redskins (2-2)
9. Buccaneers (2-2) at Cardinals (2-3)
10. Rams (3-2) at Jaguars (3-2)
11. Steelers (3-2) at Chiefs (5-0)
12. Chargers (1-4) at Raiders (2-3)
13. Giants (0-5) at Broncos (3-1)
14. Colts (2-3) at Titans (2-3)

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

NFL Week 5 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Patriots (2-2) at Buccaneers (2-1) W 1
2. Jets (2-2) at Browns (0-4) L 1
3. Panthers (3-1) at Lions (3-1) W 2
4. 49ers (0-4) at Colts (1-3) W 3
5. Titans (2-2) at Dolphins (1-2) L 2
6. Bills (3-1) at Bengals (1-3) L 3
7. Chargers (0-4) at Giants (0-4) W 4
8. Jaguars (2-2) at Steelers (3-1) L 4
9. Cardinals (2-2) at Eagles (3-1) L 5
10. Seahawks (2-2) at Rams (3-1) W 5
11. Ravens (2-2) at Raiders (2-2) W 6
12. Packers (3-1) at Cowboys (2-2) L 6
13. Chiefs (4-0) at Texans (2-2) W 7
14. Vikings (2-2) at Bears (1-3) L 7

Week 5 Results: 7-7 (50%)
Overall Results: 38-39 (49%)

Sunday, October 08, 2017

2017 U.S. House Special Election

Next month will see one final U.S. House special election. There will be at least one, and likely two, early in 2018, and predictions will be made at that time.

Utah 3
vacant upon the resignation of Jason Chaffetz (R)
won by Trump with 47% of the vote

Safe R

Wednesday, October 04, 2017

NFL Week 5

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 31-32 (49%)

1. Patriots (2-2) at Buccaneers (2-1)
2. Jets (2-2) at Browns (0-4)
3. Panthers (3-1) at Lions (3-1)
4. 49ers (0-4) at Colts (1-3)
5. Titans (2-2) at Dolphins (1-2)
6. Bills (3-1) at Bengals (1-3)
7. Chargers (0-4) at Giants (0-4)
8. Jaguars (2-2) at Steelers (3-1)
9. Cardinals (2-2) at Eagles (3-1)
10. Seahawks (2-2) at Rams (3-1)
11. Ravens (2-2) at Raiders (2-2)
12. Packers (3-1) at Cowboys (2-2)
13. Chiefs (4-0) at Texans (2-2)
14. Vikings (2-2) at Bears (1-3)

Tuesday, October 03, 2017

NFL Week 4 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Bears (1-2) at Packers (2-1) L 1
2. Saints (1-2) vs. Dolphins (1-1) in London, England L 2
3. Titans (2-1) at Texans (1-2) L 3
4. Jaguars (2-1) at Jets (1-2) L 4
5. Panthers (2-1) at Patriots (2-1) L 5
6. Lions (2-1) at Vikings (2-1) W 1
7. Bills (2-1) at Falcons (3-0) W 2
8. Steelers (2-1) at Ravens (2-1) W 3
9. Bengals (0-3) at Browns (0-3) W 4
10. Rams (2-1) at Cowboys (2-1) L 6
11. Eagles (2-1) at Chargers (0-3) L 7
12. Giants (0-3) at Buccaneers (1-1) L 8
13. 49ers (0-3) at Cardinals (1-2) L 9
14. Raiders (2-1) at Broncos (2-1) W 5
15. Colts (1-2) at Seahawks (1-2) L 10
16. Redskins (2-1) at Chiefs (3-0) W 6

Week 4 Results: 6-10 (38%)

Overall Results: 31-32 (49%)

Wednesday, September 27, 2017

NFL Week 4

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 25-22 (53%)

1. Bears (1-2) at Packers (2-1)
2. Saints (1-2) vs. Dolphins (1-1) in London, England
3. Titans (2-1) at Texans (1-2)
4. Jaguars (2-1) at Jets (1-2)
5. Panthers (2-1) at Patriots (2-1)
6. Lions (2-1) at Vikings (2-1)
7. Bills (2-1) at Falcons (3-0)
8. Steelers (2-1) at Ravens (2-1)
9. Bengals (0-3) at Browns (0-3)
10. Rams (2-1) at Cowboys (2-1)
11. Eagles (2-1) at Chargers (0-3)
12. Giants (0-3) at Buccaneers (1-1)
13. 49ers (0-3) at Cardinals (1-2)
14. Raiders (2-1) at Broncos (2-1)
15. Colts (1-2) at Seahawks (1-2)
16. Redskins (2-1) at Chiefs (3-0)

Tuesday, September 26, 2017

NFL Week 3 Results

A couple results of the week are that the players and owners showed they are united and the nation has showed it is divided. Colin Kaepernick, whom I have felt has looked quite foolish in his "protests" and his reasonings for them, now has a lot more fans and will probably be on an NFL roster soon. We have our President to thank for that.

I hope that all the people who say they are done with the NFL truly keep their word, if they expect us to believe it. In the meantime, I hope that everyone at NFL stadiums, including players, show the national anthem of the country where the game is being played, the respect it deserves, for the sake of the people who pay money to attend games in their country. Before or after the anthem, if someone wants to non-violently protest Donald Trump, that is a right protected by the flag to which we ought to pledge allegience.

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Rams (1-1) at 49ers (0-2) L 1
2. Ravens (2-0) vs. Jaguars (1-1) in London, England W 1
3. Browns (0-2) at Colts (0-2) W 2
4. Giants (0-2) at Eagles (1-1) L 2
5. Dolphins (1-0) at Jets (0-2) L 3
6. Broncos (2-0) at Bills (1-1) W 3
7. Saints (0-2) at Panthers (2-0) W 4
8. Steelers (2-0) at Bears (0-2) W 5
9. Falcons (2-0) at Lions (2-0) W 6
10. Buccaneers (1-0) at Vikings (1-1) W 7
11. Texans (1-1) at Patriots (1-1) L 4
12. Seahawks (1-1) at Titans (1-1) W 8
13. Bengals (0-2) at Packers (1-1) L 5
14. Chiefs (2-0) at Chargers (0-2) W 9
15. Raiders (2-0) at Redskins (1-1) L 6
16. Cowboys (1-1) at Cardinals (1-1) L 7

Week 3 Results: 9-7 (56%)
Overall Results: 25-22 (53%)

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

NFL Week 3

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 16-15 (52%)

1. Rams (1-1) at 49ers (0-2)
2. Ravens (2-0) vs. Jaguars (1-1) in London, England
3. Browns (0-2) at Colts (0-2)
4. Giants (0-2) at Eagles (1-1)
5. Dolphins (1-0) at Jets (0-2)
6. Broncos (2-0) at Bills (1-1)
7. Saints (0-2) at Panthers (2-0)
8. Steelers (2-0) at Bears (0-2)
9. Falcons (2-0) at Lions (2-0)
10. Buccaneers (1-0) at Vikings (1-1)
11. Texans (1-1) at Patriots (1-1)
12. Seahawks (1-1) at Titans (1-1)
13. Bengals (0-2) at Packers (1-1)
14. Chiefs (2-0) at Chargers (0-2)
15. Raiders (2-0) at Redskins (1-1)
16. Cowboys (1-1) at Cardinals (1-1)

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

NFL Week 2 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

1. Texans (0-1) at Bengals (0-1) L 1
2. Browns (0-1) at Ravens (1-0) W 1
3. Bears (0-1) at Buccaneers (0-0) L 2
4. Vikings (1-0) at Steelers (1-0) W 2
5. Patriots (0-1) at Saints (0-1) W 3
6. Eagles (1-0) at Chiefs (1-0) W 4
7. Titans (0-1) at Jaguars (1-0) W 5
8. Cardinals (0-1) at Colts (0-1) L 3
9. Bills (1-0) at Panthers (1-0) L 4
10. Jets (0-1) at Raiders (1-0) L 5
11. Dolphins (0-0) at Chargers (0-1) W 6
12. 49ers (0-1) at Seahawks (0-1) W 7
13. Redskins (0-1) at Rams (1-0) W 8
14. Cowboys (1-0) at Broncos (1-0) W 9
15. Packers (1-0) at Falcons (1-0) W 10
16. Lions (1-0) at Giants (0-1) L 6

Week 2 Results: 10-6 (63%)
Overall Results: 16-15 (52%)

Wednesday, September 13, 2017

NFL Week 2

NOT PREDICTIONS

Overall Results: 6-9 (40%)

1. Texans (0-1) at Bengals (0-1)
2. Browns (0-1) at Ravens (1-0)
3. Bears (0-1) at Buccaneers (0-0)
4. Vikings (1-0) at Steelers (1-0)
5. Patriots (0-1) at Saints (0-1)
6. Eagles (1-0) at Chiefs (1-0)
7. Titans (0-1) at Jaguars (1-0)
8. Cardinals (0-1) at Colts (0-1)
9. Bills (1-0) at Panthers (1-0)
10. Jets (0-1) at Raiders (1-0)
11. Dolphins (0-0) at Chargers (0-1)
12. 49ers (0-1) at Seahawks (0-1)
13. Redskins (0-1) at Rams (1-0)
14. Cowboys (1-0) at Broncos (1-0)
15. Packers (1-0) at Falcons (1-0)
16. Lions (1-0) at Giants (0-1)

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

NFL Week 1 Results

NOT PREDICTIONS

Week 1
 
1. Chiefs (0-0) at Patriots (0-0)

1. Chiefs (0-0) at Patriots (0-0) W 1
2. Jets (0-0) at Bills (0-0) W 2
3. Eagles (0-0) at Redskins (0-0) L 1
4. Raiders (0-0) at Titans (0-0) L 2
5. Buccaneers (0-0) at Dolphins (0-0)-postponed until Week 11 due to Irma
6. Jaguars (0-0) at Texans (0-0) L 3
7. Cardinals (0-0) at Lions (0-0) L 4
8. Falcons (0-0) at Bears (0-0)  L 5
9. Ravens (0-0) at Bengals (0-0) L 6
10. Steelers (0-0) at Browns (0-0) W 3
11. Colts (0-0) at Rams (0-0) L 7
12. Seahawks (0-0) at Packers (0-0) L 8
13. Panthers (0-0) at 49ers (0-0) W 4
14. Giants (0-0) at Cowboys (0-0) W 5
15. Saints (0-0) at Vikings (0-0) L 9
16. Chargers (0-0) at Broncos (0-0) W 6

Week 1 and Overall Results: 6-9 (40%)

Monday, September 04, 2017

NFL Week 1

Later this week, a new season of the National Football League will kick off, as usual, with the defending Super Bowl champions playing on Thursday night.

Last year's season felt like a blur to me, with the craziness of the Presidential election, but especially with the overwhelmingly intense run to a World Series championship by the Chicago Cubs. As fall begins, football will once again, not my be my major focus sports-wise, but I still hope to be entertained. Of course my team, the Chicago Bears, were horrible last year, and with their record came a very high draft pick, and the hope that Mitch (or Mitchell) Trubisky will be the long awaited savior at Quarterback. He will begin his rookie season on the bench though, even as the Bears are expected to have an at least slightly better record than last year's 3-13 showing. The Trubisky Watch is clearly on though, as it seems to be just a matter of time, this season, before he eventually makes his debut as a starter.

As always, these are not predictions, but simply a listing of which teams I want to win each game. While I have no high expectations for the Bears this season, as always, I will root, as applicable, for what is in their best interest in regards to the season.

Week 1

Results this far: 0-0 (0%)

1. Chiefs (0-0) at Patriots (0-0)
2. Jets (0-0) at Bills (0-0)
3. Eagles (0-0) at Redskins (0-0)
4. Raiders (0-0) at Titans (0-0)
5. Buccaneers (0-0) at Dolphins (0-0)
6. Jaguars (0-0) at Texans (0-0)
7. Cardinals (0-0) at Lions (0-0)
8. Falcons (0-0) at Bears (0-0)
9. Ravens (0-0) at Bengals (0-0)
10. Steelers (0-0) at Browns (0-0)
11. Colts (0-0) at Rams (0-0)
12. Seahawks (0-0) at Packers (0-0)
13. Panthers (0-0) at 49ers (0-0)
14. Giants (0-0) at Cowboys (0-0)
15. Saints (0-0) at Vikings (0-0)
16. Chargers (0-0) at Broncos (0-0)

Sunday, August 27, 2017

Why Trump is Not a Republican

John C. Danforth was a Republican U.S. senator from Missouri from 1976 to 1995. 

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/trump-is-exactly-what-republicans-are-not/2017/08/24/9909a320-8832-11e7-a50f-e0d4e6ec070a_story.html?utm_term=.088fb8bab94a


Many have said that President Trump isn’t a Republican. They are correct, but for a reason more fundamental than those usually given. Some focus on Trump’s differences from mainstream GOP policies, but the party is broad enough to embrace different views, and Trump agrees with most Republicans on many issues. Others point to the insults he regularly directs at party members and leaders, but Trump is not the first to promote self above party. The fundamental reason Trump isn’t a Republican is far bigger than words or policies. He stands in opposition to the founding principle of our party — that of a united country.
We are the party of Abraham Lincoln, and our founding principle is our commitment to holding the nation together. This brought us into being just before the Civil War. The first resolution of the platform at the party’s first national convention states in part that “the union of the States must and shall be preserved.” The issue then was whether we were one nation called the United States or an assortment of sovereign states, each free to go its own way. Lincoln believed that we were one nation, and he led us in a war to preserve the Union.
That founding principle of the party is also a founding principle of the United States. Even when we were a tiny fraction of our present size and breadth, the framers of our Constitution understood the need for holding ourselves together, whatever our differences. They created a constitutional structure and a Bill of Rights that would accommodate within one nation all manner of interests and opinions. Americans honor that principle in the national motto on the presidential seal: “e pluribus unum” — “out of many, one.” Today, the United States is far more diverse than when we were a nation of 3 million people , but the principle remains the same: We are of many different backgrounds, beliefs, races and creeds, and we are one.

The Republican Party has a long history of standing for a united country. Theodore Roosevelt raised up the ordinary people of his day and championed their cause against abusive trusts. Dwight Eisenhower used the army to integrate a Little Rock high school. George H.W. Bush signed the most important civil rights legislation in more than a quarter-century, a bill authored by Republican senators. George W. Bush stood before Congress and the nation and defended Muslims after 9/11. Our record hasn’t been perfect. When we have pushed the agenda of the Christian right, we have seemed to exclude people who don’t share our religious beliefs. We have seemed unfriendly to gay Americans. But our long history has been to uphold the dignity of all of God’s people and to build a country welcoming to all.
Now comes Trump, who is exactly what Republicans are not, who is exactly what we have opposed in our 160-year history. We are the party of the Union, and he is the most divisive president in our history. There hasn’t been a more divisive person in national politics since George Wallace.
It isn’t a matter of occasional asides, or indiscreet slips of the tongue uttered at unguarded moments. Trump is always eager to tell people that they don’t belong here, whether it’s Mexicans, Muslims, transgender people or another group. His message is, “You are not one of us,” the opposite of “e pluribus unum.” And when he has the opportunity to unite Americans, to inspire us, to call out the most hateful among us, the KKK and the neo-Nazis, he refuses.
To my fellow Republicans: We cannot allow Donald Trump to redefine the Republican Party. That is what he is doing, as long as we give the impression by our silence that his words are our words and his actions are our actions. We cannot allow that impression to go unchallenged.
As has been true since our beginning, we Republicans are the party of Lincoln, the party of the Union. We believe in our founding principle. We are proud of our illustrious history. We believe that we are an essential part of present-day American politics. Our country needs a responsibly conservative party. But our party has been corrupted by this hateful man, and it is now in peril.
In honor of our past and in belief in our future, for the sake of our party and our nation, we Republicans must disassociate ourselves from Trump by expressing our opposition to his divisive tactics and by clearly and strongly insisting that he does not represent what it means to be a Republican.


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