Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Complete Gubernatorial Predictions

Below are my revised rankings and predictions for all Gubernatorial contests this year. If I decide to change any, I will include them in a separate post before the election.

Current pre-election Gubernatorial totals: 26 D, 24 R (including Crist of FL among Republicans)

2010 Races:

AL- Likely R
AK- Likely R
AZ- Likely R
AR- Likely D
CA- Tossup (D)- change from Tossup (R)
CO- Lean D
CT- Lean D
FL- Tossup (D)- change from Tossup (R)
GA- Lean R
HI- Tossup (R)- change from Leans D
ID- Safe R
IL- Leans R
IA- Likely R
KS- Safe R
ME- Leans R
MD- Leans D- change from Tossup (R)
MA- Tossup (D)
MI- Likely R
MN- Tossup (D)- change from Tossup (R)
NE- Safe R
NV- Likely R
NH- Leans D- change from Likely D
NM- Likely R- change from Leans R
NY- Likely D
OH- Leans R
OK- Likely R
OR- Tossup (R)- change from Leans R
PA- Leans R-change from Likely R
RI- Tossup (I)
SC- Leans R- change from Likely R
SD- Safe R
TN- Likely R
TX- Likely R
UT- Safe R
VT- Tossup (R)
WI- Leans R
WY- Safe R

New Totals:

17 Democrats (7 Holdover, 0 Safe, 2 Likely, 4 Leans, 4 Tossup)
1 Independent (1 Tossup)
32 Republicans (6 Holdover, 6 Safe, 10 Likely, 7 Leans, 3 Tossup)

Democrat net loss of 9, Republican net gain of 8