Monday, October 15, 2018

2018 Gubernatorial Predictions- Updated

22 Days Until Election Day

All current Governors: 16 D, 1 I, 33 R 

Alabama- Safe R
Alaska- Likely R - change from Tossup (R)
Arizona- Likely R- change from Leans R
Arkansas- Safe R
California- Safe D
Colorado- Leans D- change from Tossup (D)
Connecticut- Likely D- change from Tossup (D)
Florida- Tossup (D)- change from Leans D
Georgia- Tossup (R)- change from Leans R
Hawai'i- Safe D
Idaho- Likely R
Illinois- Likely D
Iowa- Tossup (R)- change from Leans R
Kansas- Tossup (D)
Maine- Leans D
Maryland- Safe R- change from Likely R
Massachusetts- Safe R- change from Likely R
Michigan- Leans D
Minnesota- Likely D- change from Leans D
Nebraska- Likely R
Nevada- Tossup (R)
New Hampshire- Likely R
New Mexico- Likely D- change from Leans D
New York- Safe D- change from Likely D
Ohio- Tossup (R)- change from Leans R
Oklahoma- Leans R
Oregon- Tossup (D)- change from Leans D
Pennsylvania- Likely D
Rhode Island- Likely D- change from Leans D
South Carolina- Likely R
South Dakota- Leans R
Tennessee- Likely R
Texas- Safe R- change from Likely R
Vermont- Likely R
Wisconsin- Leans D
Wyoming- Safe R


Predictions:
23 D (7 holdovers, 3 Safe, 6 Likely, 4 Leans, 3 Tossup)
27 R (7 holdovers, 6 Safe, 8 Likely, 2 Leans, 4 Tossup)

Democrat net gain of 7
Republican net loss of 6