Thursday, October 04, 2012

U.S. House Predictions- Part IV

33 Days Until Election Day

Florida

1. Jim Bryan D vs. Jeff Miller R (McCain 67%)- Safe R
2. Al Lawson D vs. Steve Southerland R (McCain 52%)- Likely R
3. J.R. Gaillot D vs. Ted Yoho R (McCain 59%)- Safe R
4. Andrer Cresnshaw R (McCain 63%)- Safe R
5. Corrine Brown D vs. LeAnne Kolb R (Obama 71%)- Likely D
6. Heather Beaven D vs. Ron DeSantis R (McCain 53%)- Likely R
7. Jason Kendall D vs. John Mica R (McCain 50%)- Safe R
8. Shannon Roberts D vs. Bill Posey R (McCain 55%)- Likely R
9. Alan Grayson D vs. Todd Long R (Obama 60%)- Likely D
10. Val Demings D vs. Daniel Webster R (McCain 52%)- Leans R
11. David Werder D vs. Rich Nugent R (McCain 56%)- Safe R
12. Jonathan Snow D vs. Gus Bilirakis R (McCain 52%)- Safe R
13. Jessica Ehrlich D vs. Bill Young R (Obama 51%)- Likely R
14. Kathy Castor D vs. E.J. Otero R (Obama 65%)- Likely D
15. Dennis Ross R (McCain 53%)- Safe R
16. Keith Fitzgerald D vs. Vern Buchanan R (McCain 51%)- Likely R
17. Will Bronson D vs. Tom Rooney R (McCain 56%)- Safe R
18. Patrick Murphy D vs. Allen West R (Obama 51%)- Tossup (R)
19. James Roach D vs. Trey Radel R (McCain 57%)- Safe R
20. Alcee Hastings D (Obama 80%)- Safe D
21. Ted Deutch D vs. Cesar Henao I (Obama 64%)- Safe D
22. Lois Frankel D vs. Adam Hasner R (Obama 57%)- Tossup (D)
23. Debbie Wasserman Schultz D vs. Karen Harrington R (Obama 62%)- Likely D
24. Frederica Wilson D (Obama 86%)- Safe D
25. Mario Diaz-Balart R (McCain 54%)- Safe R
26. Joe Garcia D vs. David Rivera R (McCain 50%)- Leans D
27. Manny Yevancey D vs. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen R (McCain 51%)- Safe R

FL current:  6 D, 19 R
FL predicted: 9 D, 18 R

Current total: 54 D, 57 R
Predicted:
58 D (36 Safe, 10 Likely, 10 Leans, 2 Tossup)
56 R (30 Safe, 15 Likely, 6 Leans, 5 Tossup)