U.S. House Predictions- Part XI
22 Days Until Election Day
New York
1. Tim Bishop D vs. Randy Altschuler R (Obama 51%)- Leans D
2. Vivianne Falcone D vs. Pete King R (Obama 51%)- Safe R
3. Steve Israel D vs. Stephen Labate R (Obama 54%)- Likely D
4. Carolyn McCarthy D vs. Fran Becker R (Obama 55%)- Likely D
5. Gregory Meeks D vs. Allan Jennings R (Obama 86%)- Safe D
6. Grace Meng D vs. Dan Halloran R (Obama 63%)- Likely D
7. Nydia Velazquez D (Obama 84%)- Safe D
8. Hakeem Jeffries D vs. Alan Bellone R (Obama 86%)- Safe D
9. Yvette Clarke D vs. Daniel Cavanagh R (Obama 84%)- Safe D
10. Jerry Nadler D vs. Michael Chan R (Obama 76%)- Safe D
11. Mark Murphy D vs. Michael Grimm R (McCain 51%)- Leans R
12. Carolyn Maloney D vs. Christopher Wight R (Obama 80%)- Likely D
13. Charlie Rangel D vs. Craig Schley R (Obama 93%)- Safe D
14. Joe Crowley D vs. William Gibbons R (Obama 76%)- Safe D
15. Jose Serrano D vs. Frank Della Valle R (Obama 95%)- Safe D
16. Eliot Engel D vs. Joseph McLaughlin R (Obama 73%)- Safe D
17. Nita Lowey D vs. Joe Carvin R (Obama 58%)- Likely D
18. Sean Patrick Maloney D vs. Nan Hayworth R (Obama 52%)- Leans R
19. Julian Schriebman D vs. Chris Gibson R (Obama 53%)- Leans R
20. Paul Tonko D vs. Bob Dieterich R (Obama 58%)- Safe D
21. Bill Owens D vs. Matt Doheny R (Obama 52%)- Leans D
22. Dan Lamb D vs. Richard Hanna R (McCain 49%)- Likely R
23. Nate Shinagawa D vs. Tom Reed R (Obama 50%)- Likely R
24. Dan Maffei D vs. Ann Marie Buerkle R (Obama 56%)- Leans D
25. Louise Slaughter D vs. Maggie Brooks R (Obama 59%)- Leans D
26. Brian Higgins D vs. Mike Madigan R (Obama 63%)- Safe D
27. Kathy Hochul D vs. Chris Collins R (McCain 54%)- Tossup (D)
NY current: 21 D, 8 R
NY predicted: 21 D, 6 R
Current total: 141 D, 147 R
Predicted:
141 D (77 Safe, 41 Likely, 17 Leans, 6 Tossup)
143 R (75 Safe, 39 Likely, 15 Leans, 14 Tossup)
posted by Corey @ Monday, October 15, 2012
2 comments
2 Comments:
26. Brian Higgins D vs. Mike Madigan R,Independence & C. 0bama polling 51%. could go either way
NY21 - Matt Doheny is a train wreck. Caught cheating on his fiance at Congressional Boot Camp in DC with photo and video evidence three months before the wedding (and yes, they still got married!! Foolish foolish woman!). During his 2010 failed run for for congress election, news that he had had two boating under the influence charges about 2 weeks apart crushed him (one, where he was so belligerent he had to be handcuffed). You would think he would learn. It's too bad, he works hard but can't seem to get his personal life in order. There is a huge registered republican advantage in that district and Bill Owens (the Democrat) has put on a relatively "subtle" campaign and yet Doheny will probably still lose.
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