U.S. House Predictions- Part X

23 Days Until Election Day

New Jersey-New Mexico

New Jersey

1. Rob Andrews D vs. Greg Horton R (Obama 66%)- Safe D
2. Cassandra Shober D vs. Frank LoBiondo R (Obama 53%)- Likely R
3. Shelley Adler D vs. Jon Runyan R (Obama 51%)- Leans R
4. Brian Froelich D vs. Chris Smith R (McCain 54%)- Safe R
5. Adam Gussen D vs. Scott Garrett R (McCain 51%)- Likely R
6. Frank Pallone D vs. Anna Little R (Obama 58%)- Likely D
7. Upendra Chivukula D vs. Leonard Lance R (McCain 52%)- Likely R
8. Albio Sires D vs. Maria Pineiro Karczewski R (Obama 73%)- Safe D
9. Bill Pascrell D vs. Shmuley Boteach R (Obama 64%)- Likely D
10. Donald Payne Jr. vs. Brian Kelemen R (Obama 85%)- Safe D (both regular and special)
11. John Arvanites D vs. Rodney Frelinghuysen R (McCain 52%)- Likely R
12. Rush Holt D vs. Eric Beck R (Obama 66%)- Safe D

NJ current: 7 D, 6 R
NJ predicted: 6 D, 6 R

Current total: 118 D, 138 R
Predicted:
118 D (66 Safe, 34 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
136 R (74 Safe, 36 Likely, 12 Leans, 14 Tossup)
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New Mexico

1. Michelle Lujan Grisham D vs. Janice Arnold-Jones R (Obama 60%)- Likely D
2. Evelyn Madrid Erhard D vs. Steve Pearce R (McCain 50%)- Likely R
3. Ben Ray Lujan D vs. Jeff Byrd R (Obama 61%)- Likely D

NM current: 2 D, 1 R
NM predicted: 2 D , 1 R

Current total: 120 D, 139 R
Predicted:
120 D (66 Safe, 36 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
137 R (74 Safe, 37 Likely, 12 Leans, 14 Tossup)