U.S. House Predictions- Part VIII

26 Days Until Election Day

Maryland-Minnesota

Maryland

1. John LaFerla D vs. Andy Harris R (McCain 60%)- Safe R
2. Dutch Ruppersberger D vs. Nancy Jacobs R (Obama 61%)- Likely D
3. John Sarbanes D vs. Eric Knowles R (Obama 60%)- Safe D
4. Donna Edwards D vs. Faith Loudon R (Obama 77%)- Safe D
5. Steny Hoyer D vs. Tony O'Donnell R (Obama 65%)- Likely D
6. John Delaney D vs. Roscoe Bartlett R (Obama 56%)- Likely D
7. Elijah Cummings D vs. Frank Mirabile R (Obama 76%)- Safe D
8. Chris Van Hollen D vs. Ken Timmerman R (Obama 63%)- Safe D

MD current: 6 D, 2 R
MD predicted: 7 D, 1 R

Current total: 86 D, 102 R
Predicted:
88 D (52 Safe, 21 Likely, 13 Leans, 2 Tossup)
101 R (60 Safe, 21 Likely, 9 Leans, 11 Tossup)
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Massachusetts

1. Richard Neal D (Obama 64%)- Safe D
2. Jim McGovern D (Obama 60%)- Safe D
3. Niki Tsongas D vs. John Golnik R (Obama 59%)- Likely D
4. Joe Kennedy III D vs. Sean Bielat R (Obama 60%)- Likely D
5. Ed Markey D vs. Tom Tierney R (Obama 66%)- Safe D
6. John Tierney D vs. Richard Tisei R (Obama 57%)- Tossup (D)
7. Mike Capuano D vs. Karla Romero I (Obama 82%)- Safe D
8. Stephen Lynch D vs. Joe Selvaggi R (Obama 58%)- Likely D
9. Bill Keating D vs. Christopher Sheldon R (Obama 58%)- Likely D

MA current: 10 D, 0 R
MA predicted: 9 D, 0 R

Current total: 96 D, 102 R
Predicted:
97 D (56 Safe, 25 Likely, 13 Leans, 3 Tossup)
101 R (60 Safe, 21 Likely, 9 Leans, 11 Tossup)
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Michigan

1. Gary McDowell D vs. Dan Benishek R (Obama 50%)- Tossup (D)
2. Willie German D vs. Bill Huizenga R (McCain 50%)- Likely R
3. Steve Pestka D vs. Justin Amash R (Obama 50%)- Likely R
4. Debra Freidell Wirth D vs. Dave Camp R (Obama 50%)- Likely R
5. Dan Kildee D vs. Jim Slezak R (Obama 63%)- Likely D
6. Mike O'Brien D vs. Fred Upton R (Obama 53%)- Likely R
7. Kurt Haskell D vs. Tim Walberg R (Obama 51%)- Safe R
8. Lance Enderle D vs. Mike Rogers R (Obama 52%)- Likely R
9. Sander Levin D vs. Don Volaric R (Obama 58%)- Likely D
10. Chuck Stadler D vs. Candice Miller R (McCain 50%)- Safe R
11. Syed Taj D vs. Kerry Bentivolio R (Obama 50%)- Likely R (both regular and special)
12. John Dingell Jr. D vs. Cynthia Kallgren R (Obama 67%)- Safe D
13. John Conyers D vs. Harry Sawicki R (Obama 85%)- Safe D
14. Gary Peters D vs. John Hauler R (Obama 82%)- Safe D

MI current: 6 D, 9 R
MI predicted: 6 D, 8 R

Current total: 102 D, 111 R
Predicted:
103 D (59 Safe, 27 Likely, 13 Leans, 4 Tossup)
109 R (62 Safe, 27 Likely, 9 Leans, 11 Tossup)
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Minnesota

1. Tim Walz D vs. Allen Quist R (Obama 51%)- Likely D
2. Mike Obermueller D vs. John Kline R (Obama 50%)- Likely R
3. Brian Barnes D vs. Erik Paulsen R (Obama 51%)- Likely R
4. Betty McCollum D vs. Tony Hernandez R (Obama 63%)- Safe D
5. Keith Ellison D vs. Chris Fields R (Obama 73%)- Likely D
6. Jim Graves D vs. Michele Bachmann R (McCain 55%)- Leans R
7. Collin Peterson D vs. Lee Byberg R (McCain 50%)- Likely D
8. Rick Nolan D vs. Chip Cravaack R (Obama 53%)- Tossup (D)

MN current: 4 D, 4 R
MN predicted: 5 D, 3 R

Current total: 106 D, 115 R
Predicted:
108 D (60 Safe, 30 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
112 R (62 Safe, 29 Likely, 10 Leans, 11 Tossup)