Monday, October 01, 2012

U.S. House Predictions-Part III

36 Days Until Election Day

Colorado-Delaware

Colorado

1. Diana DeGette D vs. Danny Stroud R (Obama 71%)- Safe D
2. Jared Polis D vs. Kevin Lundberg R (Obama 61%)- Likely D
3. Sal Pace D vs. Scott Tipton R (McCain 50%)- Leans R
4. Brandon Shaffer D vs. Cory Gardner R (McCain 57%)- Likely R
5. Dave Anderson I vs. Doug Lamborn R (McCain 59%)- Safe R
6. Joe Miklosi D vs. Mike Coffman R (Obama 54%)- Tossup (R)
7. Ed Perlmutter D vs. Joe Coors Jr. R (Obama 57%)- Leans D

CO current: 3 D, 4 R
CO predicted: 3 D, 4 R

Current total: 42 D, 38 R
Predicted:
43 D (30 Safe, 4 Likely, 9 Leans)
38 R (19 Safe, 10 Likely, 5 Leans, 4 Tossup)
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Connecticut 

1. John Larson D vs. John Henry Decker R (Obama 66%)- Safe D
2. Joe Courtney D vs. Paul Formica R (Obama 59%)- Likely D
3. Rosa DeLauro D vs. Wayne Winsley R (Obama 63%)- Safe D
4. Jim Himes D vs. Steve Obsitik R (Obama 60%)- Likely D
5. Elizabeth Esty D vs. Andrew Roraback R (Obama 56%)- Tossup (D)

CT current: 5 D, 0 R
CT predicted: 5 D, 0 R

Current total: 47 D, 38 R
Predicted:
48 D (32 Safe, 6 Likely, 9 Leans, 1 Tossup)
38 R (19 Safe, 10 Likely, 5 Leans, 4 Tossup)
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Delaware

1. John Carney D vs. Tom Kovach R (Obama 62%)- Safe D

DE current: 1 D, 0 R
DE predicted: 1 D, 0 R

Current total: 48 D, 38 R
Predicted:
49 D (33 Safe, 6 Likely, 9 Leans, 1 Tossup)
38 R (19 Safe, 10 Likely, 5 Leans, 4 Tossup)

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