U.S. House Predictions- Part IX

25 Days Until Election Day

Mississippi-New Hampshire

Mississippi

1. Brad Morris D vs Alan Nunnelee R (McCain 62%)- Safe R
2. Bennie Thompson D vs. Bill Marcy R (Obama 64%)- Likely D
3. Crystal Biggs D vs. Gregg Harper R (McCain 61%)- Safe R
4. Matthew Moore D vs. Steven Palazzo R (McCain 68%)- Safe R

MS current: 1 D, 3 R
MS predicted: 1 D, 3 R

Current total: 107 D, 118 R
Predicted:
109 D (60 Safe, 31 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
115 R (65 Safe, 29 Likely, 10 Leans, 11 Tossup)
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Missouri

1. Lacy Clay D vs. Robyn Hamlin R (Obama 80%)- Safe D
2. Glenn Koenen D vs. Ann Wagner R (McCain 53%)- Safe R
3. Eric Mayer D vs. Blaine Luetkemeyer R (McCain 56%)- Safe R
4. Teresa Hensley D vs. Vicky Hartzler R (McCain 57%)- Likely R
5. Emmanuel Cleaver D vs. Jacob Turk R (Obama 62%)- Likely D
6. Kyle Yarber D vs. Sam Graves R (McCain 55%)- Safe R
7. Jim Evans D vs. Billy Long R (McCain 63%)- Safe R
8. Jack Rushin D vs. Jo Ann Emerson R (McCain 60%)- Safe R

MO current: 3 D, 6 R
MO predicted: 2 D, 6 R

Current total: 110 D, 124 R
Predicted:
111 D (61 Safe, 32 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
121 R (70 Safe, 30 Likely, 10 Leans, 11 Tossup)
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Montana

1. Kim Gillan D vs. Steve Daines R (McCain 49%)*- Likely R

* the source I am using for new districts says McCain won the district/state with 49% of the vote. However, the source that I have always used for the previous district said the number was 50%.  I am not regularly cross checking these numbers from the online spreadsheet I found, so I hope these district totals are accurate

MT current: 0 D, 1 R
MT predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 110 D, 125 R
Predicted:
111 D (61 Safe, 32 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
122 R (70 Safe, 31 Likely, 10 Leans, 11 Tossup)
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Nebraska

1. Korey Reiman D vs. Jeff Fortenberry R (McCain 54%)- Safe R
2. John Ewing D vs. Lee Terry R (Obama 50%)- Likely R
3. Mark Sullivan D vs. Adrian Smith R (McCain 67%)- Safe R

NE current: 0 D, 3 R
NE precited: 0 D, 3 R

Current total: 110 D, 128 R
Predicted:
111 D (61 Safe, 32 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
125 R (72 Safe, 32 Likely, 10 Leans, 11 Tossup)
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Nevada

1. Dina Titus D vs. Chris Edwards R (Obama 65%)- Safe D
2. Sam Koepnick D vs. Mark Amodei R (Obama 49%)- Safe R
3. John Oceguera D vs. Joe Heck R (Obama 54%)- Leans R
4. Steven Horsford D vs. Danny Tarkanian R (Obama 56%)- Tossup (R)

NV current: 1 D, 2 R
NV predicted: 1 D, 3 R

Current total: 111 D, 130 R
Predicted:
112 D (62 Safe, 32 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
128 R (73 Safe, 32 Likely, 11 Leans, 12 Tossup)
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New Hampshire

1. Carol Shea-Porter D vs. Frank Guinta R  (Obama 53%)- Tossup (R)
2. Ann McLane Kuster D vs. Charlie Bass R (Obama 56%)- Tossup (R)

NH current: 0 D, 2 R
NH predicted: 0 D, 2 R

Current total: 111 D, 132 R
Predicted:
112 D (62 Safe, 32 Likely, 13 Leans, 5 Tossup)
130 R (73 Safe, 32 Likely, 11 Leans, 14 Tossup)