Sunday, October 25, 2026

U.S. House Predictions: Nebraska- New Mexico

9 Days Until Election Day

Nebraska
 
1. Chris Backemeyer D vs. Mike Flood R (Trump 56%)- Leans R
2. Denise Powell D vs. Brinker Harding R (Harris 52%)- Likely D
3. Becky Stille D vs.  Adrian Smith R (Trump 76%)- Safe R

NE current: 0 D, 3 R
NE predicted: 1 D, 2 R
 
Current total: 124 D, 112 R
 
Predicted:
 
138 D (89 Safe, 28 Likely, 12 Leans, 9 Tossup)
  98 R (42 Safe, 33 Likely, 18 Leans, 5 Tossup)
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Nevada
 
1. Dina Titus D vs. Carrie Buck R (Harris 50%) - Leans D
2. Teresa Benitez-Thompson D vs. David Flippo R (Trump 56%)- Tossup (D)
3. Susie Lee D vs. Marty O'Donnell R (Trump 50%)- Likely D
4. Steven Horsford D vs. Cody Whipple R (Harris 50%)- Likely D

NV current: 3 D, 1 R
NV predicted: 4 D, 0 R
 
Current total: 127 D, 113 R
 
Predicted:
 
142 D (89 Safe, 30 Likely, 13 Leans, 10 Tossup)
  98 R (42 Safe, 33 Likely, 18 Leans,  5 Tossup)
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New Hampshire
 
1. Stefany Shaheen D vs. Anthony DiLorenzo R (Harris 51%)- Leans D
2. Maggie Goodlander D vs. Lily Tang Williams R (Harris 51%)- Likely D

NH current: 2 D, 0 R
NH predicted: 2 D, 0 R
 
Current total: 129 D, 113 R 
 
Predicted:
 
144 D (89 Safe, 31 Likely, 14 Leans, 10 Tossup)
  98 R (42 Safe, 33 Likely, 18 Leans,   5 Tossup)
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 New Jersey
 
1. Donald Norcross D vs. Damon Galdo R (Harris 59%)- Safe D
2. Zack Mullock D vs. Jeff Van Drew R (Trump 56%)- Leans R
3. Herb Conaway D vs. Michael McGuire R (Harris 53%)- Likely D
4. Rachel Peace D vs. Chris Smith R (Trump 64%)- Safe R
5. Josh Gottheimer D vs. Sean Kirrane R (Harris 50%)- Likely D
6. Frank Pallone D vs. Hillary Herzig R (Harris 52%)- Safe D
7. Rebecca Bennett D vs. Tom Kean R (Trump 50%)- Leans D
8. Rob Menendez D vs Ari Eliopoulos I (Harris 61%)- Safe D
9. Nellie Pou D vs. Rosie Pino R (Trump 49%)- Likely D
10. LaMonica McIver D vs. Carmen Bucco R (Harris 75%)- Safe D
11. Analilia Mejia D vs. Joe Hathaway R (Harris 53%)- Likely D
12. Adam Hamaway D vs. Gregg Mele R (Harris 61%)- Likely D

NJ current: 9 D, 3 R
NJ predicted: 10 D, 2 R
 
Current total: 138 D, 116 R
 
Predicted:
 
154 D (93 Safe, 36 Likely, 15 Leans, 10 Tossup)
100 R (43 Safe, 33 Likely, 19 Leans,   5 Tossup)
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New Mexico
 
1. Melanie Stansbury D vs. Didi Okpareke R (Harris 55%)- Likely D
2. Gabe Vasquez D vs. Greg Cunningham R (Trump 50%)- Leans D
3. Teresa Leger Fernandez D vs. Martin Zamora R (Harris 52%)- Likely D
 
NM current: 3 D, 0 R
NM predicted: 3 D, 0 R

Current total: 141 D, 116 R
 
Predicted:
 
157 D (93 Safe, 38 Likely, 16 Leans, 10 Tossup)
100 R (43 Safe, 33 Likely, 19 Leans,   5 Tossup)
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