U.S. House Predictions Kansas-Maryland

 18 Days Until Election Day

Kansas

1. Tracey Mann R (Trump 64%)- Safe R

2. Open (Jake LaTurner R)-(Trump 57%)- Leans R

3. Sharice Davids D (Biden 51%)- Leans D

4, Ron Estes R (Trump 60%)- Safe R

KS current: 1 D, 3 R

KS predicted: 1 D, 3 R

Current total: 88 D, 79 R

Predicted: 

94 D (58 Safe, 19 Likely, 8 Leans, 9 Tossup)

73 R (43 Safe, 14 Likely, 11 Leans, 5 Tossup)

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Kentucky

 

1. James Comer R (Trump 71%)- Safe R

2. Brett Guthrie R (Trump 67%)- Safe R

3. Morgan McGarvey D (Biden 60%)- Safe D

4. Thomas Massie R (Trump 65%)- Safe R

5. Hal Rogers R (Trump 79%)- Safe R

6. Andy Barr R (Trump 54%)- Likely R

KY current: 1 D, 5 R

KY predicted: 1 D, 5 R

Current total: 89 D, 84 R

Predicted: 

95 D (59 Safe, 19 Likely, 8 Leans, 9 Tossup)

78 R (47 Safe, 15 Likely, 11 Leans, 5 Tossup)

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Louisiana

Note: Louisiana is one of the states that has a new Congressional map since the 2022 elections. Thus, as I would after a post-census redistricting cycle, I am presenting the information specifically related to the new districts, while also listing the current totals under the outgoing Louisiana map.

 

1. Mel Manuel D vs. Randy Arrington R vs. Steve Scalise R vs. Ross Shales R (Trump 68%)- Safe R/Safe Scalise

2. Troy Carter D vs. Devin Davis D vs. Devin Lance Graham R vs. Christy Lynch R vs. Shondrell Perrilloux R (Biden 67%)- Safe D/Safe Carter

3. Priscilla Gonzalez D vs.Sadi Summerlin D vs. Clay Higgins R vs. Xan John R (Trump 70%)- Safe R/Safe Higgins

4. Mike Johnson R vs. Joshua Morott R (Trump 74%)- Safe R/Safe Johnson

5. Michael Vallien D vs. Julia Letlow R vs.Vinny Mendoza R (Trump 66%)- Safe R/Safe Letlow

6. Quentin Anderson D vs. Cleo Fieds D vs. Wilken Jones D vs. Peter Williams D vs. Elbert Guillory R (Biden 59%)- Likely D/Likely Fields

LA current: 1 D, 5 R

LA predicted: 2 D, 4 R

Current total: 90 D, 89 R

 

Predicted:

97 D (60 Safe, 20 Likely, 8 Leans, 9 Tossup)

82 R (51 Safe, 15 Likely, 11 Leans, 5 Tossup)

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Maine

 

1. Chellie Pingree D (Biden 60%)- Safe D

2. Jared Golden D (Trump 52%)- Tossup (R)

ME current: 2 D, 0 R

ME predicted: 1 D, 1 R

Current total: 92 D, 89 R

Predicted:

98 D (61 Safe, 20 Likely, 8 Leans, 9 Tossup)

83 R (51 Safe, 15 Likely, 11 Leans, 6 Tossup)

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Maryland

 

1. Andy Harris R (Trump 56%)- Likely R

2. Open (Dutch Ruppersberger D)- (Biden 59%)- Likely D

3. Open (John Sarbanes D)- (Biden 62%)- Safe D

4. Glenn Ivey D (Biden 90%)- Safe D

5. Steny Hoyer D (Biden 67%)- Safe D

6. Open (David Trone D)-(Biden 54%)- Leans D

7. Kweisi Mfume D (Biden 81%)- Safe D

8. Jamie Raskin D (Biden 81%)- Safe D

MD current: 7 D, 1 R

MD predicted: 7 D, 1 R

Current total: 99 D, 90 R

Predicted:

105 D (66 Safe, 21 Likely, 9 Leans, 9 Tossup)

  84 R (51 Safe, 16 Likely, 11 Leans, 6 Tossup)