U.S. House Predictions: Colorado-Georgia

 20 Days Until Election Day

Colorado

1. Diana DeGette D (Biden 80%)- Safe D

2. Joe Neguse D (Biden 69%)- Safe D

3. Open (Lauren Boebert R running in District 4)- (Trump 53%)- Leans R

4. Open (Greg Lopez R/3rd District Rep Lauren Boebert R running)- (Trump 58%)- Leans R

5. Open (Doug Lamborn R)- (Trump 53%)- Leans R

6. Jason Crow D (Biden 61%)- Safe D

7. Brittany Petterson D (Biden 56%)- Safe D

8. Yadera Caraveo D (Biden 51%)- Tossup (D)

CO current: 5 D, 3 R

CO predicted: 5 D, 3 R

Current total: 50 D, 31 R

Predicted:

55 D (36 Safe, 9 Likely, 3 Leans, 7 Tossup)

26 R (12 Safe, 4 Likely, 7 Leans, 3 Tossup)

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Connecticut

1. John Larson D (Biden 63%)- Safe D

2. Joe Courtney D (Biden 55%)- Likely D

3. Rosa DeLauro D (Biden 59%)- Safe D

4. Jim Himes D (Biden 65%)- Safe D

5. Jahana Hayes D (Biden 55%)- Tossup (D)

CT current: 5 D, 0 R 

CT predicted: 5 D, 0 R

Current total: 55 D, 31 R

Predicted:

60 D (39 Safe, 10 Likely, 3 Leans, 8 Tossup)

26 R (12 Safe, 4 Likely, 7 Leans, 3 Tossup)

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Delaware

 

1. Open (Lisa Blunt Rochester D)- (Biden 59%) - Safe D

DE current: 1 D, 0 R

DE predicted: 1 D, 0 R

Current total: 56 D, 31 R

Predicted:

61 D (40 Safe, 10 Likely, 3 Leans, 8 Tossup)

26 R (12 Safe, 4 Likely, 7 Leans, 3 Tossup)

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Florida

 

1. Matt Gaetz R (Trump 65%)- Likely R

2. Neal Dunn R (Trump 55%)- Safe R

3. Kat Cammack R (Trump 57%)- Safe R

4. Aaron Bean R (Trump 53%)- Safe R

5. John Rutherford R (Trump 57%)- Safe R

6. Mike Waltz R (Trump 61%)- Safe R

7. Cory Mills R (Trump 52%)- Likely R

8. Open (Bill Posey R)- (Trump 58%)- Likely R

9. Darren Soto D (Biden 58%)- Likely D

10. Maxwell Frost D (Biden 65%)- Likely D

11. Dan Webster R (Trump 55%)- Likely R

12. Gus Bilirakis R (Trump 64%)- Safe R

13. Anna Paulina Luna R (Trump 53%)- Tossup (R)

14. Kathy Castor D (Biden 59%)- Safe D

15. Laurel Lee R (Trump 51%)- Leans R

16. Vern Buchanan R (Trump 54%)- Safe R

17. Greg Steube R (Trump 58%)- Safe R

18. Scott Franklin R (Trump 61%)- Safe R

19. Byron Donalds R (Trump 60%)- Safe R

20. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick D (Biden 76%)- Safe D

21. Brian Mast R (Trump 54%)- Likely R

22. Lois Frankel D (Biden 59%)- Likely D

23. Jared Moskowitz D (Biden 56%)- Likely D

24. Frederica Wilson D (Biden 74%)- Safe D

25. Debbie Wasserman-Schultz D (Biden 60%)- Leans D

26. Mario Diaz-Balart R (Trump 59%)- Safe R

27. Maria Elvira Salazar R (Trump 50%)- Leans R

28.Carlos Gimenez R (Trump 53%)- Likely R

FL current:8 D, 20 R

FL predicted: 8 D, 20 R

Current total: 64 D, 51 R

Predicted: 

69 D (43 Safe, 14 Likely, 4 Leans, 8 Tossup)

46 R (23 Safe, 10 Likely, 9 Leans, 4 Tossup)

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Georgia

 

Note: Georgia is one of the states that has a new Congressional map since the 2022 elections. Thus, as I would after a post-census redistricting cycle, I am presenting the information specifically related to the new districts, while also listing the current totals under the outgoing Georgia map.

 

1. Patti Hewitt D vs. Buddy Carter R (Trump 56%)- Likely R

2. Sanford Bishop D vs.Wayne Johnson R (Biden 55%)- Leans D

3. Maura Keller D vs. Brian Jack R (Trump 64%)- Safe R

4. Hank Johnson D vs. Eugene Yu R (Biden 78%)- Safe D

5. Nikema Williams D vs. John Salvesen R (Biden 86%)- Safe D

6. Lucy McBath D vs. Jeff Criswell R (Biden 74%)- Safe D

7. Bob Christian D vs. Rich McCormick R (Trump 59%)- Safe R

8. Darrius Butler D vs. Austin Scott R (Trump 63%)- Safe R

9. Tambrel Cash D vs. Andrew Clyde R (Trump 66%)- Safe R

10.  Lexy Doherty D vs. Mike Collins R (Trump 60%)- Safe R

11. Katy Stamper D vs. Barry Loudermilk R (Trump 60%)- Safe R

12. Liz Johnson D vs. Rick Allen R (Trump 55%)- Safe R

13. David Scott D vs. Jonathan Chavez R (Biden 70%)- Safe D

14. Shawn Harris D vs. Marjorie Taylor Greene R (Trump 68%)- Likely R

GA current: 5 D, 9 R

GA predicted: 5 D, 9 R

Current total: 69 D, 60 R

Predicted: 

74 D (47 Safe, 14 Likely, 5 Leans, 8 Tossup)

55 R (30 Safe, 12 Likely, 9 Leans, 4 Tossup)