Monday, October 21, 2024

U.S. House Predictions: Montana- New Jersey

 15 Days Until Election Day

Montana

1. Ryan Zinke R (Trump 52%)- Leans R
2. Open (Matt Rosendale R)- (Trump 62%)- Safe R

MT current: 0 D, 2 R
MT predicted: 0 D, 2 R

Current total: 122 D, 111 R

Predicted:

126 D (82 Safe, 24 Likely, 11 Leans, 9 Tossup)
107 R (65 Safe, 20 Likely, 13 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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Nebraska
 
1. Mike Flood R (Trump 54%)- Likely R
2. Don Bacon R (Biden 52%) - Tossup (D)
3. Adrian Smith R (Trump 75%)- Safe R

NE current: 0 D, 3 R
NE predicted: 1 D, 2 R

Current total: 122 D, 114 R

Predicted:

127 D (82 Safe, 24 Likely, 11 Leans, 10 Tossup)
109 R (66 Safe, 21 Likely, 13 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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Nevada

1. Dina Titus D (Biden 53%)- Leans D
2. Mark Amodei R (Trump 54%)- Likely R
3. Susie Lee D (Biden 52%)- Leans D
4. Steven Horsford D (Biden 53%)- Leans D

NV current: 3 D, 1 R
NV predicted: 3 D, 1 R

Current total: 125 D, 115 R

Predicted:

130 D (82 Safe, 24 Likely, 14 Leans, 10 Tossup)
110 R (66 Safe, 22 Likely, 13 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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New Hampshire

1. Chris Pappas D (Biden 52%)- Leans D
2. Open (Ann McLane Kuster D)- (Biden 54%)- Likely D

NH current: 2 D, 0 R
NH predicted: 2 D, 0 R

Current total: 127 D, 115 R

Predicted:

132 D (82 Safe, 25 Likely, 15 Leans, 10 Tossup)
110 R (66 Safe, 22 Likely, 13 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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New Jersey
 
1. Donald Norcross D (Biden 62%)- Safe D
2. Jeff Van Drew R (Trump 52%)- Likely R
3. Open (Andy Kim D)- (Biden 56%)- Likely D
4. Chris Smith R (Trump 61%)- Safe R
5. Josh Gottheimer D (Biden 56%)- Likely D
6. Frank Pallone D (Biden 59%)- Likely D
7. Tom Kean Jr. R (Biden 51%)- Tossup (R)
8. Rob Menendez D (Biden 72%)- Safe D
9. Vacant (Bill Pascrell D)-(Biden 59%)- Likely D
10. LaMonica McIver D (Biden 81%)- Safe D
11. Mikie Sherrill D (Biden 58%)- Safe D
12. Bonnie Watson Coleman D (Biden 67%)- Safe D

NJ current: 9 D, 3 R
NJ predicted: 9 D, 3 R
 
Current total: 136 D, 118 R
 
Predicted:

141 D (87 Safe, 29 Likely, 15 Leans, 10 Tossup)
113 R (67 Safe, 23 Likely, 13 Leans, 10 Tossup)

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