U.S. House Predictions- Part XV

15 Days Until Election Day

Pennsylvania

1. Bob Brady D vs. John Featherman R (Obama 79%)- Safe D
2. Chaka Fattah D vs. Robert Mansfield R (Obama 91%)- Safe D
3. Missa Eaton D vs. Mike Kelly R (McCain 52%)- Likely R
4. Harry Perkinson D vs. Scott Perry R (McCain 54%)- Safe R
5. Charles Dumas D vs. Glenn Thompson R (McCain 51%)- Safe R
6. Manan Trivedi D vs. Jim Gerlach R (Obama 53%)-Likely R
7. George Badey D vs. Pat Meehan R (Obama 51%)- Likely R
8. Kathy Boockvar D vs. Mike Fitzpatrick R (Obama 53%)- Leans R
9. Karen Ramsburg D vs. Bill Shuster R (McCain 58%)- Safe R
10. Phil Scollo D vs. Tom Marino R (McCain 56%)- Likely R
11. Gene Stilp D vs. Lou Barletta R (McCain 52%)- Safe R
12. Mark Critz D vs. Keith Rothfus R (McCain 54%)- Tossup (D)
13. Allyson Schwartz D vs. Joe Rooney R (Obama 65%)- Safe D
14. Mike Doyle D vs. Hans Lessmann R (Obama 67%)- Safe D
15. Rick Daugherty D vs. Charlie Dent R (Obama 52%)- Likely R
16. Aryanna Strader D vs. Joe Pitts R (Obama 50%)- Safe R
17. Matt Cartwright D vs. Laureen Cummings R (Obama 57%)- Likely D
18. Larry Maggi D vs. Tim Murphy R (McCain 55%)- Likely R

PA current: 7 D, 12 R
PA predicted: 6 D, 12 R

Current total: 165 D, 184 R
Predicted:
158 D (88 Safe, 46 Likely, 17 Leans, 7 Tossup)
184 R (92 Safe, 59 Likely, 17 Leans, 16 Tossup)