U.S. House Predictions- Part IV

North Dakota

1. Earl Pomeroy D (McCain 53%)- Leans R

ND current: 1 D, 0 R
ND predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 186 D, 116 R
Predicted:
156 D (85 Safe, 34 Likely, 25 Leans, 12 Tossup)
146 R (87 Safe, 27 Likely, 18 Leans, 14 Tossup)
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Ohio

1. Steve Driehaus D (Obama 55%)- Leans R
2. Jean Schmidt R (McCain 59%)- Likely R
3. Michael Turner R (McCain 51%)- Safe R
4. Jim Jordan R (McCain 60%)- Safe R
5. Bob Latta R (McCain 53%)- Safe R
6. Charlie Wilson D (McCain 50%)- Tossup (D)
7. Steve Austria R (McCain 54%)- Safe R
8. John Boehner R (McCain 61%)- Safe R
9. Marcy Kaptur D (Obama 62%)- Safe D
10. Dennis Kucinich D (Obama 59%)- Likely D
11. Marcia Fudge D (Obama 85%)- Safe D
12. Pat Tiberi R (Obama 54%)- Likely R
13. Betty Sutton D (Obama 57%)- Likely D
14. Steven LaTourette R (McCain 49%)- Likely R
15. Mary Jo Kilroy D (Obama 54%)- Leans R
16. John Boccieri D (McCain 50%)- Tossup (R)
17. Tim Ryan D (Obama 62%)- Likely D
18. Zack Space D (McCain 53%)- Tossup (R)

OH current: 10 D, 8 R
OH predicted: 6 D, 12 R

Current total: 196 D, 124 R
Predicted:
162 D (87 Safe, 37 Likely, 25 Leans, 13 Tossup)
158 R (92 Safe, 30 Likely, 20 Leans, 16 Tossup)
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Oklahoma

1. John Sullivan R (McCain 64%)- Safe R
2. Dan Boren D (McCain 66%)- Likely D
3. Frank Lucas R (McCain 73%)- Safe R
4. Tom Cole R (McCain 66%)- Safe R
5. Open (Mary Fallin R)- (McCain 59%)- Safe R

OK current: 1 D, 4 R
OK predicted: 1 D, 4 R

Current total: 197 D, 128 R
Predicted:
163 D (87 Safe, 38 Likely, 25 Leans, 13 Tossup)
162 R (96 Safe, 30 Likely, 20 Leans, 16 Tossup)
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Oregon

1. David Wu D (Obama 61%)- Likely D
2. Greg Walden R (McCain 54%)- Safe R
3. Earl Blumenauer D (Obama 71%)- Safe D
4. Peter DeFazio D (Obama 54%)- Likely D
5. Kurt Schrader D (Obama 54%)- Tossup (R)

OR current: 4 D, 1 R
OR predicted: 3 D, 2 R

Current total: 201 D, 129 R
Predicted:
166 D (88 Safe, 40 Likely, 25 Leans, 13 Tossup)
164 R (97 Safe, 30 Likely, 20 Leans, 17 Tossup)
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Pennsylvania

1. Robert Brady D (Obama 88%)- Safe D
2. Chaka Fattah D (Obama 90%)- Safe D
3. Kathy Dahlkemper D (McCain 49%)- Leans R
4. Jason Altmire D (McCain 55%)- Leans D
5. Glenn Thompson R (McCain 55%)- Safe R
6. Jim Gerlach R (Obama 58%)- Likely R
7. Open (Joe Sestak D)- (Obama 56%)- Tossup (R)
8. Patrick Murphy D (Obama 54%)- Tossup (R)
9. Bill Shuster R (McCain 63%)- Safe R
10. Christopher Carney D (McCain 54%)- Tossup (R)
11. Paul Kanjorski D (Obama 57%)- Tossup (R)
12. Mark Critz D (McCain 49%)- Tossup (D)
13. Allyson Schwartz D (Obama 59%)- Likely D
14. Mike Doyle D (Obama 70%)- Safe D
15. Charlie Dent R (Obama 56%)- Likely R
16. Joe Pitts R (McCain 51%)- Likely R
17. Tim Holden D (McCain 51%)- Leans D
18. Tim Murphy R (McCain 55%)- Safe R
19. Todd Platts R (McCain 56%)- Safe R

PA current: 12 D, 7 R
PA predicted: 7 D, 12 R

Current total: 213 D, 136 R
Predicted:
173 D (91 Safe, 41 Likely, 27 Leans, 14 Tossup)
176 R (101 Safe, 33 Likely, 21 Leans, 21 Tossup)
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Rhode Island

1. Open (Patrick Kennedy D)- (Obama 65%)- Leans D
2. Jim Langevin D (Obama 62%)- Safe D

RI current: 2 D, 0 R
RI predicted: 2 D, 0 R

Current total: 215 D, 136 R
Predicted:
175 D (92 Safe, 41 Likely, 28 Leans, 14 Tossup)
176 R (101 Safe, 33 Likely, 21 Leans, 21 Tossup)
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South Carolina

1. Open (Henry Brown R)- (McCain 56%)- Safe R
2. Joe Wilson R (McCain 54%)- Likely R
3. Open (Gresham Barrett R)- (McCain 64%)- Safe R
4. Open (Bob Inglis R)- (McCain 60%)- Safe R
5. John Spratt D (McCain 53%)- Tossup (R)
6. James Clyburn D (Obama 64%)- Safe D

SC current: 2 D, 4 R
SC predicted: 1 D, 5 R

Current total: 217 D, 140 R
Predicted:
176 D (93 Safe, 41 Likely, 28 Leans, 14 Tossup)
181 R (104 Safe, 34 Likely, 21 Leans, 22 Tossup)
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South Dakota

1. Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin D (McCain 53%)- Tossup (R)

SD current: 1 D, 0 R
SD predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 218 D, 140 R
Predicted:
176 D (93 Safe, 41 Likely, 28 Leans, 14 Tossup)
182 R (104 Safe, 34 Likely, 21 Leans, 23 Tossup)
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Tennessee

1. Phil Roe R (McCain 70%)- Safe R
2. Jimmy Duncan R (McCain 64%)- Safe R
3. Open (Zach Wamp R)- (McCain 62%)- Safe R
4. Lincoln Davis D (McCain 64%)- Tossup (D)
5. Jim Cooper D (Obama 56%)- Likely D
6. Open (Bart Gordon D)- (McCain 62%)- Likely R
7. Marsha Blackburn R (McCain 65%)- Safe R
8. Open (John Tanner D)- (McCain 56%)- Leans R
9. Steve Cohen D (Obama 77%)- Safe D

TN current: 5 D, 4 R
TN predicted: 3 D, 6 R

Current total: 223 D, 144 R
Predicted:
179 D (94 Safe, 42 Likely, 28 Leans, 15 Tossup)
188 R (108 Safe, 35 Likely, 22 Leans, 23 Tossup)
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Texas

1. Louie Gohmert R (McCain 69%)- Safe R
2. Ted Poe R (McCain 60%)- Safe R
3. Sam Johnson R (McCain 57%)- Safe R
4. Ralph Hall R (McCain 69%)- Safe R
5. Jeb Hensarling R (McCain 63%)- Safe R
6. Joe Barton R (McCain 60%)- Safe R
7. John Culberson R (McCain 58%)- Safe R
8. Kevin Brady R (McCain 74%)- Safe R
9. Al Green D (Obama 77%)- Safe D
10. Michael McCaul R (McCain 55%)- Safe R
11. Michael Conaway R (McCain 75%)- Safe R
12. Kay Granger R (McCain 63%)- Safe R
13. Mac Thornberry R (McCain 76%)- Safe R
14. Ron Paul R (McCain 66%)- Safe R
15. Ruben Hinojosa D (Obama 60%)- Likely D
16. Silvestre Reyes D (Obama 66%)- Safe D
17. Chet Edwards D (McCain 67%)- Leans R
18. Sheila Jackson Lee D (Obama 77%)- Safe D
19. Randy Neugebauer R (McCain 72%)- Safe R
20. Charlie Gonzalez D (Obama 64%)- Safe D
21. Lamar Smith R (McCain 58%)- Safe R
22. Pete Olson R (McCain 58%)- Safe R
23. Ciro Rodriguez D (Obama 51%)- Tossup (R)
24. Kenny Marchant R (McCain 55%)- Safe R
25. Lloyd Doggett D (Obama 59%)- Likely D
26. Michael Burgess R (McCain 58%)- Safe R
27. Solomon Ortiz D (Obama 53%)- Leans D
28. Henry Cuellar D (Obama 56%)- Likely D
29. Gene Green D (Obama 62%)- Likely D
30. Eddie Bernice Johnson D (Obama 82%)- Likely D
31. John Carter R (McCain 57%)- Safe R
32. Pete Sessions R (McCain 53%)- Safe R

TX current: 12 D, 20 R
TX predicted: 10 D, 22 R

Current total: 235 D, 164 R
Predicted:
189 D (98 Safe, 47 Likely, 29 Leans, 15 Tossup)
210 R (128 Safe, 35 Likely, 23 Leans, 24 Tossup)
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Utah

1. Rob Bishop R (McCain 64%)- Safe R
2. Jim Matheson D (McCain 58%)-Tossup (D)
3. Jason Chaffetz R (McCain 67%)- Safe R

UT current: 1 D, 2 R
UT predicted: 1 D, 2 R

Current total: 236 D, 166 R
Predicted:
190 D (98 Safe, 47 Likely, 29 Leans, 16 Tossup)
212 R (130 Safe, 35 Likely, 23 Leans, 24 Tossup)
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Vermont

1. Peter Welch D (Obama 67%)- Safe D

VT current: 1 D, 0 R
VT predicted: 1 D, 0 R

Current total: 237 D, 166 R
Predicted:
191 D (99 Safe, 47 Likely, 29 Leans, 16 Tossup)
212 R (130 Safe, 35 Likely, 23 Leans, 24 Tossup)
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Virginia

1. Rob Wittman R (McCain 51%)- Safe R
2.Glenn Nye D (Obama 50%)- Tossup (R)
3. Robert Scott D (Obama 76%)- Safe D
4. Randy Forbes R (Obama 50%)- Safe R
5. Tom Perriello D (McCain 51%)- Leans R
6. Robert Goodlatte R (McCain 57%)- Safe R
7. Eric Cantor R (McCain 53%)- Safe R
8. James Moran D (Obama 69%)- Likely D
9. Rick Boucher D (McCain 59%)- Tossup (D)
10. Frank Wolf R (Obama 53%)- Safe R
11. Gerald Connolly D (Obama 57%)- Leans D

VA current: 6 D, 5 R
VA predicted: 4 D, 7 R

Current total: 243 D, 171 R
Predicted:
195 D (100 Safe, 48 Likely, 30 Leans, 17 Tossup)
219 R (135 Safe, 35 Likely, 24 Leans, 25 Tossup)
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Washington

1. Jay Inslee D (Obama 62%)- Safe D
2. Rick Larsen D (Obama 56%)- Leans D
3. Open (Brian Baird D)- (Obama 53%)- Leans R
4. Doc Hastings R (McCain 58%)- Safe R
5. Cathy McMorris Rodgers R (McCain 52%)- Safe R
6. Norm Dicks D (Obama 57%)- Leans D
7. Jim McDermott D (Obama 83%)- Safe D
8. Dave Reichert R (Obama 56%)- Likely R
9. Adam Smith D (Obama 58%)- Leans D

WA current: 6 D, 3 R
WA predicted: 5 D, 4 R

Current total: 249 D, 174 R
Predicted:
200 D (102 Safe, 48 Likely, 33 Leans, 17 Tossup)
223 R (137 Safe, 36 Likely, 25 Leans, 25 Tossup)
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West Virginia

1. Open (Alan Mollohan D)- (McCain 57%)- Tossup (R)
2. Shelley Moore Capito R (McCain 55%)- Safe R
3. Nick Rahall II D (McCain 56%)- Leans D

WV current: 2 D, 1 R
WV predicted: 1 R, 2 D

Current total: 251 D, 175 R
Predicted:
201 D (102 Safe, 48 Likely, 34 Leans, 17 Tossup)
225 R (138 Safe, 36 Likely, 25 Leans, 26 Tossup)
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Wisconsin

1. Paul Ryan R (Obama 51%)- Safe R
2. Tammy Baldwin D (Obama 69%)- Likely D
3. Ron Kind D (Obama 58%)- Leans D
4. Gwen Moore D (Obama 75%)- Safe D
5. James Sensenbrenner R (McCain 58%)- Safe R
6. Tom Petri R (Obama 50%)- Safe R
7. Open (David Obey D)-(Obama 56%)- Leans R
8. Steve Kagen D (Obama 53%)- Leans R

WI current: 5 D, 3 R
WI predicted: 3 D, 5 R

Current total: 256 D, 178 R
Predicted:
204 D (103 Safe, 49 Likely, 35 Leans, 17 Tossup)
230 R (141 Safe, 36 Likely, 27 Leans, 26 Tossup)
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Wyoming

1. Cynthia Lummis R (McCain 65%)- Safe R

WY current: 0 D, 1 R
WY predicted: 0 D, 1 R
_______________________________________________________________
Current total: 256 D, 179 R
Predicted:
204 D (103 Safe, 49 Likely, 35 Leans, 17 Tossup)
231 R (142 Safe, 36 Likely, 27 Leans, 26 Tossup)

Republican Net Gain = 52 seats