U.S. House Predictions- Part I

Alabama

1. Jo Bonner R (McCain 61%)- Safe R
2. Bobby Bright D (McCain 63%)- Tossup (R)
3. Mike Rogers R (McCain 56%)- Safe R
4. Robert Aderholt R (McCain 76%)- Safe R
5. Open (Parker Griffith R)- (McCain 61%)- Likely R
6. Spencer Bachus R (McCain 74%)- Safe R
7. Open (Artur Davis D)- (Obama 71%)- Safe D

AL current: 2 D, 5 R
AL predicted: 1 D, 6 R

Current total: 2 D, 5 R
Predicted:
1 D (1 Safe)
6 R (4 Safe, 1 Likely, 1 Tossup)
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Alaska

1. Don Young R (McCain 59%)- Likely R

AK current: 0 D, 1 R
AK predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 2 D, 6 R
Predicted:
1 D (1 Safe)
7 R (4 Safe, 2 Likely, 1 Tossup)
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Arizona

1. Ann Kirkpatrick D (McCain 54%)- Leans R
2. Trent Franks R (McCain 61%)- Safe R
3. Open (John Shadegg R)- (McCain 56%)- Likely R
4. Ed Pastor D (Obama 66%)- Safe D
5. Harry Mitchell D (McCain 52%)- Tossup (R)
6. Jeff Flake R (McCain 61%)- Safe R
7. Raul Grijalva D (Obama 57%)- Leans D
8. Gabrielle Giffords D (McCain 52%)- Tossup (D)

AZ current: 5 D, 3 R
AZ predicted: 3 D, 5 R

Current total: 7 D, 9 R
Predicted:
4 D (2 Safe, 1 Leans, 1 Tossup)
12 R (6 Safe, 3 Likely, 1 Leans, 2 Tossup)
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Arkansas

1. Open (Marion Berry D)- (McCain 59%)- Leans R
2. Open (Vic Snyder D)- (McCain 54%)- Likely R
3. Open (John Boozman R)- (McCain 64%)- Safe R
4. Mike Ross D (McCain 58%)- Likely D

AR current: 3 D, 1 R
AR predicted: 1 D, 3 R

Current total: 10 D, 10 R
Predicted:
5 D (2 Safe, 1 Likely, 1 Leans, 1 Tossup)
15 R (7 Safe, 4 Likely, 2 Leans, 2 Tossup)
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California

1. Mike Thompson D (Obama 66%)- Safe D
2. Wally Herger R ((McCain 55%)- Safe R
3. Dan Lungren R (Obama 49%)- Likely R
4. Tom McClintock R (McCain 54%)- Safe R
5. Doris Matsui D (Obama 70%)- Safe D
6. Lynn Woolsey D (Obama 76%)- Safe D
7. George Miller D (Obama 72%)- Safe D
8. Nancy Pelosi D (Obama 85%)- Safe D
9. Barbara Lee D (Obama 88%)- Safe D
10. John Garamendi D (Obama 65%)- Safe D
11. Jerry McNerney D (Obama 54%)- Tossup (R)
12. Jackie Speier D (Obama 74%) Safe D
13. Pete Stark D (Obama 74%)- Safe D
14. Anna Eshoo D (Obama 73%)- Safe D
15. Michael Honda D (Obama 68%)- Safe D
16. Zoe Lofgren D (Obama 70%)- Safe D
17. Sam Farr D (Obama 72%)- Safe D
18. Dennis Cardoza D (Obama 59%)- Leans D
19. Open (George Radanovich R)- (McCain 52%)- Safe R
20. Jim Costa D (Obama 60%)- Leans D
21. Devin Nunes R (McCain 56%)- Safe R
22. Kevin McCarthy R (McCain 60%)- Safe R
23. Lois Capps D (Obama 66%)- Safe D
24. Elton Gallegly R (Obama 51%)- Likely R
25. Howard McKeon R (Obama 49%)- Safe R
26. David Dreier R (Obama 51%)- Likely R
27. Brad Sherman D (Obama 66%)- Safe D
28. Howard Berman D (Obama 76%)- Safe D
29. Adam Schiff D (Obama 68%)- Safe D
30. Henry Waxman D (Obama 79%)- Safe D
31. Xavier Becerra D (Obama 80%)- Safe D
32. Judy Chu D (Obama 68%)- Safe D
33. Open (Diane Watson D)- (Obama 87%)- Safe D
34. Lucille Roybal-Allard D (Obama 75%)- Safe D
35. Maxine Waters D (Obama 84%)- Safe D
36. Jane Harman D (Obama 64%)- Likely D
37. Laura Richardson D (Obama 80%)- Likely D
38. Grace Napolitano D (Obama 71%)- Safe D
39. Linda Sanchez D (Obama 65%)- Likely D
40. Ed Royce R (McCain 51%)- Safe R
41. Jerry Lewis R (McCain 54%)- Safe R
42. Gary Miller R (McCain 53%)- Safe R
43. Joe Baca D (Obama 68%)- Safe D
44. Ken Calvert R (Obama 50%)- Likely R
45. Mary Bono Mack R (Obama 52%)- Likely R
46. Dana Rohrabacher R (McCain 50%)- Safe R
47. Loretta Sanchez D (Obama 60%)- Tossup (D)
48. John Campbell R (Obama 49%)- Likely R
49. Darrell Issa R (McCain 53%)- Safe R
50. Brian Bilbray R (Obama 51%)- Likely R
51. Bob Filner D (Obama 63%)- Likely D
52. Duncan D. Hunter R (McCain 53%)- Safe R
53. Susan Davis D (Obama 68%)- Safe D

CA current: 34 D, 19 R
CA predicted: 33 D, 20 R

Current total: 44 D, 29 R
Predicted:
38 D (28 Safe, 5 Likely, 3 Leans, 2 Tossup)
35 R (19 Safe, 11 Likely, 2 Leans, 3 Tossup)
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Colorado

1. Diana DeGette D (Obama 74%)- Safe D
2. Jared Polis D (Obama 64%)- Safe D
3. John Salazar D (McCain 50%)- Leans R
4. Betsy Markey D (McCain 50%)- Leans R
5. Doug Lamborn R (McCain 59%)- Safe R
6. Mike Coffman R (McCain 52%)- Safe R
7. Ed Perlmutter D (Obama 59%)- Leans D

CO current: 5 D, 2 R
CO predicted: 3 D, 4 R

Current total: 49 D, 31 R
Predicted:
41 D (30 Safe, 5 Likely, 4 Leans, 2 Tossup)
39 R (21 Safe, 11 Likely, 4 Leans, 3 Tossup)
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Connecticut

1. John Larson D (Obama 66%)- Likely D
2. Joe Courtney D (Obama 58%)- Likely D
3. Rosa DeLauro D (Obama 62%)- Safe D
4. Jim Himes D (Obama 60%)- Leans D
5. Christopher Murphy D (Obama 56%)- Tossup (R)

CT current: 5 D, 0 R
CT predicted: 4 D, 1 R

Current total: 54 D, 31 R
Predicted:
45 D (31 Safe, 7 Likely, 5 Leans, 2 Tossup)
40 R (21 Safe, 11 Likely, 4 Leans, 4 Tossup)
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Delaware

1. Open (Michael Castle R)- (Obama 62%)- Likely D

DE current: 0 D, 1 R
DE predicted: 1 D, 0 R

Current total: 54 D, 32 R
Predicted:
46 D (31 Safe, 8 Likely, 5 Leans, 2 Tossup)
40 R (21 Safe, 11 Likely, 4 Leans, 4 Tossup)
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Florida

1. Jeff Miller R (McCain 67%)- Safe R
2. Allen Boyd D (McCain 54%)- Leans R
3. Corrine Brown D (Obama 71%)- Safe D
4. Ander Crenshaw R (McCain 62%)-Safe R
5. Open (Ginny Brown-Waite R)- (McCain 56%)- Safe R
6. Cliff Stears R (McCain 56%)- Safe R
7. John Mica R (McCain 53%)- Safe R
8. Alan Grayson D (Obama 52%)- Leans R
9. Gus Bilirakis R (McCain 52%)- Safe R
10. Bill Young R (Obama 52%)- Likely R
11. Kathy Castor D (Obama 66%)- Likely D
12. Open (Adam Putnam R)- (McCain 50%)- Leans R
13. Vern Buchanan R (McCain 52%)- Safe R
14. Connie Mack IV R (McCain 57%)- Safe R
15. Bill Posey R (McCain 51%)- Safe R
16. Tom Rooney R (McCain 52%)- Safe R
17. Open (Kendrick Meek D)- (Obama 87%)- Safe D
18. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen R (Obama 51%)- Safe R
19. Ted Deutch D (Obama 65%)- Safe D
20. Debbie Wasserman Schultz D (Obama 63%)- Safe D
21. Open (Lincoln Diaz-Balart R; Mario Diaz-Balart R is candidate)- (McCain 51%)- Safe R
22. Ron Klein D (Obama 52%)- Tossup (D)
23. Alcee Hastings D (Obama 83%)- Safe D
24. Suzanne Kosmas D (McCain 51%)- Leans R
25. Open (Mario Diaz-Balart R)- (McCain 50%)- Leans R

FL current: 10 D, 15 R
FL predicted: 7 D, 18 R

Current total: 64 D, 47 R
Predicted:
53 D (36 Safe, 9 Likely, 5 Leans, 3 Tossup)
58 R (33 Safe, 12 Likely, 9 Leans, 4 Tossup)