U.S. House Predictions- Part II

Georgia

1. Jack Kingston R (McCain 62%)- Safe R
2. Sanford Bishop D (Obama 54%)- Tossup (D)
3. Lynn Westmoreland R (McCain 64%)- Safe R
4. Hank Johnson D (Obama 79%)- Safe D
5. John Lewis D (Obama 79%)- Safe D
6. Tom Price R (McCain 63%)- Safe R
7. Open (John Linder R)- (McCain 60%)- Safe R
8. Jim Marshall D (McCain 56%)- Leans R
9. Tom Graves R (McCain 75%)- Safe R
10. Paul Broun Jr. R (McCain 62%)- Safe R
11. Phil Gingrey R (McCain 66%)- Safe R
12. John Barrow D (Obama 54%)- Likely D
13. David Scott D (Obama 72%)- Likely D

GA current: 6 D, 7 R
GA predicted: 5 D, 8 R

Current total: 70 D, 54 R
Predicted:
58 D (38 Safe, 11 Likely, 5 Leans, 4 Tossup)
66 R (40 Safe, 12 Likely, 10 Leans, 4 Tossup)
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Hawai'i

1. Charles Djou R (Obama 70%)- Tossup (R)
2. Mazie Hirono D (Obama 73%)- Safe D

HI current: 1 D, 1 R
HI predicted: 1 D, 1 R

Current total: 71 D, 55 R
Predicted:
59 D (39 Safe, 11 Likely, 5 Leans, 4 Tossup)
67 R (40 Safe, 12 Likely, 10 Leans, 5 Tossup)
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Idaho

1. Walt Minnick D (McCain 62%)- Leans D
2. Mike Simpson R (McCain 61%)- Safe R

ID current: 1 D, 1 R
ID predicted: 1 D, 1 R

Current total: 72 D, 56 R
Predicted:
60 D (39 Safe, 11 Likely, 6 Leans, 4 Tossup)
68 R (41 Safe, 12 Likely, 10 Leans, 5 Tossup)
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Illinois

1. Bobby Rush D (Obama 87%)- Safe D
2. Jesse Jackson Jr. D (Obama 90%)- Likely D
3. Daniel Lipinksi D (Obama 64%)- Safe D
4. Luis Gutierrez D (Obama 85%)- Safe D
5. Mike Quigley D (Obama 73%)- Safe D
6. Peter Roskam R (Obama 56%)- Safe R
7. Danny Davis D (Obama 88%)- Safe D
8. Melissa Bean D (Obama 56%)- Leans D
9. Jan Schakowsky D (Obama 72%)- Likely D
10. Open (Mark Kirk R)- (Obama 61%)- Tossup (R)
11. Debbie Halvorson D (Obama 53%)- Leans R
12. Jerry Costello D (Obama 56%)- Safe D
13. Judy Biggert R (Obama 54%)- Safe R
14. Bill Foster D (Obama 55%)- Tossup (R)
15. Timothy Johnson R (McCain 50%)- Safe R
16. Donald Manzullo R (Obama 53%)- Safe R
17. Phil Hare D (Obama 56%)- Tossup (R)
18. Aaron Schock R (McCain 50%)- Safe R
19. John Shimkus R (McCain 54%)- Safe R

IL current: 12 D, 7 R
IL predicted: 9 D, 10 R

Current total: 84 D, 63 R
Predicted:
69 D (45 Safe, 13 Likely, 7 Leans, 4 Tossup)
78 R (47 Safe, 12 Likely, 11 Leans, 8 Tossup)
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Indiana

1. Peter Visclosky D (Obama 62%)- Likely D
2. Joe Donnelly D (Obama 54%)- Tossup (D)
3. Vacant (Mark Souder R)- (McCain 56%)- Safe R (both general and special)
4. Open (Steve Buyer R)- (McCain 56%)- Safe R
5. Dan Burton R (McCain 59%)- Safe R
6. Mike Pence R (McCain 52%)- Safe R
7. Andre Carson D (Obama 71%)- Likely D
8. Open (Brad Ellsworth D)- (McCain 51%)- Leans R
9. Baron Hill D (McCain 50%)- Tossup (R)

IN current: 5 D, 4 R (including vacancy)
IN predicted: 3 D, 6 R

Current total: 89 D, 67 R
Predicted:
72 D (45 Safe, 15 Likely, 7 Leans, 5 Tossup)
84 R (51 Safe, 12 Likely, 12 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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Iowa

1. Bruce Braley D (Obama 58%)- Likely D
2. Dave Loebsack D (Obama 60%)- Leans D
3. Leonard Boswell D (Obama 54%)- Leans D
4. Tom Latham R (Obama 53%)- Safe R
5. Steve King R (McCain 55%)- Safe R

IA current: 3 D, 2 R
IA predicted: 3 D, 2 R

Current total: 92 D, 69 R
Predicted:
75 D (45 Safe, 16 Likely, 9 Leans, 5 Tossup)
86 R (53 Safe, 12 Likely, 12 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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Kansas

1. Open (Jerry Moran R)- (McCain 69%)- Safe R
2. Lynn Jenkins R (McCain 55%)- Safe R
3. Open (Dennis Moore D)- (Obama 51%)- Likely R
4. Open (Todd Tiahrt R)- (McCain 58%)- Likely R

KS current: 1 D, 3 R
KS predicted: 0 D, 4 R

Current total: 93 D, 72 R
Predicted:
75 D (45 Safe, 16 Likely, 9 Leans, 5 Tossup)
90 R (55 Safe, 14 Likely, 12 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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Kentucky

1. Ed Whitfield R (McCain 62%)- Safe R
2. Brett Guthrie R (McCain 61%)- Safe R
3. John Yarmuth D (Obama 56%)- Leans D
4. Geoff Davis R (McCain 60%)- Safe R
5. Harold Rogers R (McCain 67%)- Safe R
6. Ben Chandler III D (McCain 55%)- Leans D

KY current: 2 D, 4 R
KY predicted: 2 D, 4 R

Current total: 95 D, 76 R
Predicted:
77 D (45 Safe, 16 Likely, 11 Leans, 5 Tossup)
94 R (59 Safe, 14 Likely, 12 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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Louisiana

1. Steve Scalise R (McCain 72%)- Safe R
2. Joseph Cao R (Obama 75%)- Leans D
3. Open (Charlie Melancon D)- (McCain 61%)- Likely R
4. John Fleming R (McCain 59%)- Safe R
5. Rodney Alexander R (McCain 62%)- Safe R
6. Bill Cassidy R (McCain 57%)- Safe R
7. Charles Boustany R (McCain 63%)- Safe R

LA current: 1 D, 6 R
LA predicted: 1 D, 6 R

Current total: 96 D, 82 R
Predicted:
78 D (45 Safe, 16 Likely, 12 Leans, 5 Tossup)
100 R (64 Safe, 15 Likely, 12 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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Maine

1. Chellie Pingree D (Obama 61%)- Likely D
2. Michael Michaud D (Obama 55%)- Likely D

ME current: 2 D, 0 R
ME predicted: 2 D, 0 R

Current total: 98 D, 82 R
Predicted:
80 D (45 Safe, 18 Likely, 12 Leans, 5 Tossup)
100 R (64 Safe, 15 Likely, 12 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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Maryland

1. Frank Kratovil D (McCain 58%)- Leans R
2. Dutch Ruppersberger D (Obama 60%)- Safe D
3. John Sarbanes D (Obama 59%)- Safe D
4. Donna Edwards D (Obama 85%)- Safe D
5. Steny Hoyer D (Obama 65%)- Safe D
6. Roscoe Bartlett R (McCain 58%)- Safe R
7. Elijah Cummings D (Obama 79%)- Safe D
8. Chris Van Hollen D (Obama 74%)- Safe D

MD current: 7 D, 1 R
MD predicted: 6 D, 2 R

Current total: 105 D, 83 R
Predicted:
86 D (51 Safe. 18 Likely, 12 Leans, 5 Tossup)
102 R (65 Safe, 15 Likely, 13 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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Massachusetts

1. John Olver D (Obama 64%)- Safe D
2. Richard Neal D (Obama 59%)- Safe D
3. Jim McGovern D (Obama 58%)- Safe D
4. Barney Frank D (Obama 63%)- Leans D
5. Niki Tsongas D (Obama 59%)- Likely D
6. John Tierney D (Obama 57%)- Likely D
7. Edward Markey D (Obama 65%)- Safe D
8. Michael Capuano D (Obama 84%)- Safe D
9. Stephen Lynch D (Obama 60%)- Likely D
10. Open (Bill Delahunt D)- (Obama 55%)- Tossup (D)

MA current: 10 D, 0 R
MA predicted: 10 D, 0 R

Current total: 115 D, 83 R
Predicted:
96 D (56 Safe, 21 Likely, 13 Leans, 6 Tossup)
102 R (65 Safe, 15 Likely, 13 Leans, 9 Tossup)
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Michigan

1. Open (Bart Stupak D)- (Obama 50%)- Leans R
2. Open (Peter Hoekstra R)- (McCain 51%)- Likely R
3. Open (Vernon Ehlers R)- (McCain 49%)- Likely R
4. Dave Camp R (Obama 50%)- Safe R
5. Dale Kildee D (Obama 64%)- Safe D
6. Fred Upton R (Obama 54%)- Likely R
7. Mark Schauer D (Obama 52%)- Tossup (D)
8. Mike Rogers R (Obama 53%)- Safe R
9. Gary Peters D (Obama 56%)- Leans D
10. Candice Miller R (McCain 50%)- Safe R
11. Thaddeus McCotter R (Obama 54%)- Likely R
12. Sander Levin D (Obama 65%)- Safe D
13. Open (Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick D)- (Obama 85%)- Safe D
14. John Conyers D (Obama 86%)- Safe D
15. John Dingell Jr D (Obama 66%)- Likely D

MI current: 8 D, 7 R
MI predicted: 7 D, 8 R

Current total: 123 D, 90 R
Predicted:
103 D (60 Safe, 22 Likely, 14 Leans, 7 Tossup)
110 R (68 Safe, 19 Likely, 14 Leans, 9 Tossup)