U.S. House Predictions- Part VI

13 Days Until Election Day

Maine

1. Chellie Pingree D (Obama 60%)- Safe D
2. Open (Michael Michaud D)- (Obama 53%)- Tossup (D)

ME current: 2 D, 0 R
ME predicted: 2 D, 0 R

Current total: 90 D, 91 R
Predicted:
86 D (57 Safe, 18 Likely, 7 Leans, 4 Tossup)
95 R (64 Safe, 21 Likely, 4 Leans, 6 Tossup)
___________________________________________________________________________________

Maryland

1. Andy Harris R (Romney 59%)- Safe R
2. Dutch Ruppersberger D (Obama 62%)- Safe D
3. John Sarbanes D (Obama 61%)- Safe D
4. Donna Edwards D (Obama 78%)- Safe D
5. Steny Hoyer D (Obama 67%)- Safe D
6. John Delaney D (Obama 56%)- Likely D
7. Elijah Cummings D (Obama 75%)- Safe D
8. Chris Van Hollen D (Obama 62%)- Safe D

MD current: 7 D, 1 R
MD predicted: 7 D, 1 R

Current total: 97 D, 92 R
Predicted: 
93 D (63 Safe, 19 Likely, 7 Leans, 4 Tossup)
96 R (65 Safe, 21 Likely, 4 Leans, 6 Tossup)
_________________________________________________________________________________

Massachusetts

1. Richard Neal D (Obama 64%)- Safe D
2. Jim McGovern D  (Obama 59%)-Safe D
3. Niki Tsongas D (Obama 57%)- Safe D
4. Joseph Kennedy III D (Obama 57%)- Safe D
5. Katherine Clark D (Obama 65%)- Safe D
6. Open (John Tierney D)- (Obama 55%)- Leans D
7. Michael Capuano D (Obama 82%)- Safe D
8. Stephen Lynch D (Obama 58%)- Safe D
9. William Keating D (Obama 56%)- Leans D

MA current: 9 D, 0 R
MA predicted: 9 D, 0 R

Current total: 106 D, 92 R
Predicted: 
102 D (70 Safe, 19 Likely, 9 Leans, 4 Tossup)
96 R (65 Safe, 21 Likely, 4 Leans, 6 Tossup)
___________________________________________________________________________

Michigan

1. Dan Benishek R (Romney 54%)- Likely R
2. Bill Huizenga R (Romney 56%)- Safe R
3. Justin Amash R (Romney 53%)- Likely R
4. Open (Dave Camp R)- (Romney 53%)- Likely R
5. Dan Kildee D (Obama 61%)- Safe D
6. Fred Upton R (Romney 50%)- Likely R
7. Tim Walberg R (Romney 51%)- Likely R
8. Open (Mike Rogers R)- (Romney 51%)- Leans R
9. Sander Levin D (Obama 57%)- Safe D
10. Candice Miller R (Romney 55%)- Safe R
11. Kerry Bentivolio R/running as I write-in (Romney 52%)- Likely R/Likely Trott
12. Open (John Dingell D)- (Obama 66%)- Safe D
13. John Conyers D (Obama 85%)- Safe D
14. Open (Gary Peters D)- (Obama 81%)- Safe D

MI current: 5 D, 9 R
MI predicted: 5 D, 9 R

Current total: 111 D, 101 R
Predicted:
107 D (75 Safe, 19 Likely, 9 Leans 4 Tossup)
105 R (67 Safe, 27 Likely, 5 Leans, 6 Tossup)
______________________________________________________________________________

Minnesota

1. Tim Walz D (Obama 50%)- Likely D
2. John Kline R (Obama 49%)- Likely R
3. Erik Paulsen R (Obama 50%)- Safe R
4. Betty McCollum D (Obama 62%)- Safe D
5. Keith Ellison D (Obama 74%)- Safe D
6. Open (Michele Bachmann R)- (Romney 56%)- Safe R
7. Collin Peterson D (Romney 54%)- Leans D
8. Rick Nolan D (Obama 52%)- Tossup (R)

MN current: 5 D, 3 R
MN predicted: 4 D, 4 R

Current total: 116 D, 104 R
Predicted:
111 D (77 Safe, 20 Likely, 10 Leans, 4 Tossup)
109 R (69 Safe, 28 Likely, 5 Leans, 7 Tossup)
_________________________________________________________________________________

Mississippi

1. Alan Nunnelee R (Romney 62%)- Safe R
2. Bennie Thompson D (Obama 66%)- Safe D
3. Gregg Harper R (Romney 60%)- Safe R
4. Steven Palazzo R (Romney 68%)- Safe R

MS current: 1 D, 3 R
MS predicted: 1 D, 3 R

Current total: 117 D, 107 R
Predicted:
112 D (78 Safe, 20 Likely, 10 Leans, 4 Tossup)
112 R (72 Safe, 28 Likely, 5 Leans, 7 Tossup)
______________________________________________________________________________

Missouri

1. Lacy Clay D (Obama 80%)- Safe D
2. Ann Wagner R (Romney 57%)- Safe R
3. Blaine Luetkemeyer R (Romney 62%)- Safe R
4. Vicky Hartzler R (Romney 61%)- Safe R
5. Emanuel Cleaver D (Obama 59%)- Safe D
6. Sam Graves R (Romney 60%)- Safe R
7. Billy Long R (Romney 68%)- Safe R
8. Jason Smith R (Romney 66%)- Safe R

MO current: 2 D, 6 R
MO predicted: 2 D, 6 R

Current total: 119 D, 113 R
Predicted:
114 D (80 Safe, 20 Likely, 10 Leans, 4 Tossup)
118 R (78 Safe, 28 Likely, 5 Leans, 7 Tossup)
_______________________________________________________________________________

Montana

1.  Open (Steve Daines R)- (Romney 55%)- Likely R

MT current: 0 D, 1 R
MT predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 119 D, 114 R
Predicted:
114 D (80 Safe, 20 Likely, 10 Leans, 4 Tossup)
119 R (78 Safe, 29 Likely, 5 Leans, 7 Tossup)