Saturday, October 18, 2014

U.S. House Predictions- Part III

17 Days Until Election Day

Colorado

1. Diana DeGette D (Obama 69%)- Safe D
2. Jared Polis D (Obama 58%)- Likely D
3. Scott Tipton R (Romney 52%)- Likely R
4. Open (Cory Gardner R)- (Romney 58%)- Safe R
5. Doug Lamborn R (Romney 59%)- Likely R
6. Mike Coffman R (Obama 52%)- Leans R
7. Ed Perlmutter D (Obama 56%)-  Likely D

CO current: 3 D, 4 R
CO predicted: 3 D, 4 R

Current total: 47 D, 34 R
Predicted:
45 D (32 Safe, 9 Likely, 3 Leans, 1 Tossup)
36 R (24 Safe, 7 Likely, 3 Leans, 2 Tossup)
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Connecticut

1. John Larson D (Obama 63%)- Safe D
2. Joe Courtney D (Obama 56%)- Safe D
3. Rosa DeLauro D (Obama 63%)- Safe D
4. Jim Himes D (Obama 55%)- Likely D
5. Elizabeth Esty D (Obama 54%)- Likely D

CT current: 5 D, 0 R
CT predicted: 5 D, 0 R

Current total: 52 D, 34 R
Predicted:
50 D (35 Safe, 11 Likely, 3 Leans, 1 Tossup)
36 R (24 Safe, 7 Likely, 3 Leans, 2 Tossup)

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Delaware

1. John Carney D (Obama 59%)- Safe D

DE current: 1 D, 0 R
DE predicted: 1 D, 0 R

Current total: 53 D, 34 R
Predicted:
51 D (36 Safe, 11 Likely, 3 Leans, 1 Tossup)
36 R (24 Safe, 7 Likely, 3 Leans, 2 Tossup)
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Florida

1. Jeff Miller R (Romney 69%)- Safe R
2. Steve Southerland R (Romney 52%)- Tossup (R)
3. Ted Yoho R (Romney 61%)- Safe R
4. Ander Crenshaw R (Romney 64%)- Safe R
5. Corrine Brown D (Obama 70%)- Likely D
6. Ron DeSantis R (Romney 58%)- Safe R
7. John Mica R (Romney 51%)- Likely R
8. Bill Posey R (Romney 57%)- Safe R
9. Alan Grayson D (Obama 61%)- Likely D
10. Daniel Webster R (Romney 54%)- Safe R
11. Rich Nugent R (Romney 59%)- Safe R
12. Gus Bilirakis R (Romney 54%)- Safe R
13. David Jolly R (Obama 50%)- Safe R
14. Kathy Castor D (Obama 65%)- Safe D
15. Dennis Ross R (Romney 53%)- Likely R
16. Vern Buchanan  R (Romney 54%)- Likely R
17. Tom Rooney R (Romney 57%)- Safe R
18. Patrick Murphy D (Romney 52)- Likely D
19. Curt Clawson R (Romney 61%)- Safe R
20. Alcee Hastings D (Obama 83%)- Safe D
21. Ted Deutch D (Obama 61%)- Safe D
22. Lois Frankel D (Obama 54%)- Likely D
23. Debbie Wasserman Schultz D (Obama 62%)- Safe D
24. Frederica Wilson D (Obama 87%)- Safe D
25. Mario Diaz-Balart R (Romney 51%)- Safe R
26. Joe Garcia D (Obama 53%)- Tossup (R)
27. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen R (Obama 53%)- Safe R

FL current: 10 D, 17 R
FL predicted: 9 D, 18 R

Current total: 63 D, 51 R
Predicted:
60 D (41 Safe, 15 Likely, 3 Leans, 1 Tossup)
54 R (37 Safe, 10 Likely, 3 Leans, 4 Tossup)

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