Thursday, October 16, 2014

U.S. House Predictions- Part I

19 Days Until Election Day

Alabama

1. Bradley Byrne R (Romney 62%)- Safe R
2. Martha Roby R (Romney 63%)- Safe R
3. Mike Rogers R (Romney 62%)- Safe R
4. Robert Aderholt R (Romney 75%)- Safe R
5. Mo Brooks R (Romney 64%)- Safe R
6. Open (Spencer Bachus R)- (Romney 74%)- Safe R
7. Terri Sewell D (Obama 72%) Safe D

AL current: 1 D, 6 R
AL predicted: 1 D, 6 R

Current total: 1 D, 6 R
Predicted:
1 D (1 Safe)
6 R (6 Safe)
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Alaska

1. Don Young R (Romney 55%)- Likely R

AK current: 0 D, 1 R
AK predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 1 D, 7 R
Predicted:
1 D (1 Safe)
7 R (6 Safe, 1 Likely)
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Arizona

1. Ann Kirkpatrick D (Romney 50%)- Leans R
2. Ron Barber D (Romney 50%)- Tossup (R)
3. Raul Grijalva D (Obama 61%)- Likely D
4. Paul Gosar R (Romney 67%)- Safe R
5. Matt Salmon R (Romney 64%)- Safe R
6. David Schweikert R (Romney 60%)- Safe R
7. Open (Ed Pastor D)- (Obama 72%)-Safe D
8. Trent Franks R (Romney- 62%)- Safe R
9. Kyrsten Sinema D (Obama 51%) Leans D

AZ current: 5 D, 4 R
AZ predicted: 3 D, 6 R

Current total: 6 D, 11 R
Predicted:
4 D (2 Safe, 1 Likely, 1 Leans)
13 R (10 Safe, 1 Likely, 1 Leans, 1 Tossup)
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Arkansas

1. Rick Crawford R (Romney 61%)- Safe R
2. Open (Tim Griffin R)- (Romney 55%)- Leans R
3. Steve Womack R (Romney 65%)- Safe R
4. Open (Tom Cotton R)- (Romney 62%)- Likely R

AR current: 0 D, 4 R
AR predicted: 0 D, 4 R

Current total: 6 D, 15 R
Predicted:
4 D (2 Safe, 1 Likely, 1 Leans)
17 R (12 Safe, 2 Likely, 2 Leans, 1 Tossup)

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