Thursday, October 25, 2012

U.S. House Predictions- Part XVI

12 Days Until Election Day

Rhode Island-Tennessee

Rhode Island

1. David Cicilline D vs. Brendan Doherty R (Obama 67%)- Leans D
2. Jim Langevin D vs. Michael Riley R (Obama 60%)- Safe D

RI current: 2 D, 0 R
RI predicted: 2 D, 0 R

Current total: 167 D, 184 R
Predicted:
160 D (89 Safe, 46 Likely, 18 Leans, 7 Tossup)
184 R (92 Safe, 59 Likely, 17 Leans, 16 Tossup)
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South Carolina

1. Bobbie Rose D vs. Tim Scott R (McCain 56%)- Safe R
2. Joe Wilson R (McCain 60%)- Safe R
3. Brian Doyle D vs. Jeff Duncan R (McCain 63%)- Safe R
4. Deb Morrow D vs. Trey Gowdy R (McCain 61%)- Safe R
5. Joyce Knott D vs. Mick Mulvaney R (McCain 55%)- Safe R
6. Jim Clyburn D (Obama 70%)- Safe D
7. Gloria Bromell Tinubu D vs. Tom Rice R (McCain 54%)- Likely R

SC current: 1 D, 5 R
SC predicted: 1 D, 6 R

Current total: 168 D, 189 R
Predicted:
161 D (90 Safe. 46 Likely, 18 Leans, 7 Tossup)
190 R (97 Safe, 60 Likely, 17 Leans, 16 Tossup)
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South Dakota

1. Matt Varilek D vs. Kristi Noem R (McCain 53%)- Likely R

SD current: 0 D, 1 R
SD predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 168 D, 190 R
Predicted:
161 D (90 Safe, 46 Likely, 18 Leans, 7 Tossup)
191 R (97 Safe, 61 Likely, 17 Leans, 16 Tossup)
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Tennessee

1. Alan Woodruff D vs. Phil Roe R (McCain 70%)- Safe R
2. Troy Goodale D vs. Jimmy Duncan R (McCain 64%)- Safe R
3. Mary Headrick D vs. Chuck Fleischmann R (McCain 61%)- Safe R
4. Eric Stewart D vs. Scott DesJarlais R (McCain 63%)- Leans R
5. Jim Cooper D vs. Brad Staats D (Obama 57%)- Likely D
6. Diane Black R (McCain 65%)- Safe R
7. Credo Amouzouik D vs. Marsha Blackburn R (McCain 62%)- Safe R
8. Tim Dixon D vs. Stephen Fincher R (McCain 64%)- Safe R
9. Steve Cohen D vs. George Flinn R (Obama 77%)- Likely D

TN current: 2 D, 7 R
TN predicted: 2 D, 7 R

Current total: 170 D, 197 R
Predicted:
163 D (90 Safe, 48 Likely, 18 Leans, 7 Tossup)
198 R (103 Safe, 61 Likely, 18 Leans, 16 Tossup)

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