Sunday, November 01, 2020

Final Election 2020 Predictions

2 Days Until Election Day


Presidency

Joe Biden & Kamala Harris: 351
Donald Trump & Mike Pence 187

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Governors

23 Democrats (20 holdovers, 2 Safe, 1 Likely)
27 Republicans (19 holdovers, 3 Safe, 1 Likely, 4 Lean) 
 
Republican net gain of 1
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U.S. Senate


Georgia A - Tossup (D) - change from Tossup (R) 
Iowa- Tossup (R)- change from Tossup (D)


51 Democrats (35 holdovers, 6 Safe, 3 Likely, 5 Lean, 2 Tossup)
49 Republicans (30 holdovers, 9 Safe, 3 Likely, 3 Lean, 4 Tossup)
 
 Democrat net gain of 4 
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U.S. House

9.  Dan Bishop R (Trump 54%) - Leans R- change from Likely R
 
242 D  (163 Safe, 36 Likely, 26 Leans, 17 Tossup)
193 R  (116 Safe, 41 Likely, 20 Leans, 16 Tossup)

Democrat net gain of 9
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Past cumulative results for Governor, Senate, and House:


2006: 482-22 (96%)
2008: 462-19 (96%)
2010: 482-27 (95%)
2012: 452-27 (94%)
2014: 494-13 (97%)
2016: 469-12 (98%)
2018: 487-18 (96%)

2 Comments:

At 8:56 PM, Anonymous Zreebs said...

My projections: Dems pick up net 11 in House, net 4 in Senate. Biden wins with about 330 electoral votes. Odds of Trump winning 15%.

As I will likely forget these names two months From now, I am voting tomorrow for two Republicans who have a Democratic opponent: Pat O’Brien and Dan Patiak.

 
At 10:06 PM, Blogger Corey said...

Thanks Zreebs. We will have voted for the same Republicans (though I also went with the sacrificial lamb for Circuit Court Clerk and one judicial election..)! (and we will have voted for the same Presidential candidate .. imagine that)

Dan Patlak is from my area and I have actually known him for years though I have not really spoken to him since I stopped being involved in politics locally. It's very possible the R next to his name on the ballot proves to be too much to survive this year.

 

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