U.S. House Predictions- Oklahoma- Pennsylvania

7 Days Until Election Day

Oklahoma

1. Vacant (Jim Bridenstine R) (Trump 61%) Safe R
2. Markwayne Mullin R (Trump 73%) Safe R
3. Frank Lucas R (Trump 74%) Safe R
4. Tom Cole R (Trump 66%) Safe R
5. Steve Russell R (Trump 53%) Likely R

OK current: 0 D, 5 R
OK predicted: 0 D, 5 R

Current total: 155 D, 164 R
Predicted:
175 D (125 Safe, 24 Likely, 12 Leans, 14 Tossup)
144 R (72 Safe, 42 Likely, 18 Leans, 12 Tossup)
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Oregon

1. Suzanne Bonamici D (Clinton 55%) Safe D
2. Greg Walden R (Trump 55%) Likely R
3. Earl Blumenauer D (Clinton 68%) Safe D
4. Peter DeFazio D (Clinton 45%) Likely D
5. Kurt Schrader D (Clinton 46%) Likely D


OR current: 4 D, 1 R
OR predicted: 4 D, 1 R


Current total: 159 D, 165 R
Predicted:
179 D (127 Safe, 26 Likely, 12 Leans, 14 Tossup)
145 R (72 Safe, 43 Likely, 18 Leans, 12 Tossup)
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Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania is the one state to see different district lines than those competed under in the last election. These districts have been changed significantly. I will try to describe the districts as relative to what they current seats are as best as possible. The sources on the 2016 Presidential race come from online.

1. Brian Fitzpatrick R (Clinton 49%) Tossup (R)
2. Brendan Boyle D (currently held by retiring Bob Brady D) (Clinton 73%) Safe D
3. Dwight Evans D (Clinton 91%) Safe D
4. Open (Brendan Boyle D is running in District 2) (Clinton 58%) Likely D
5. Vacant (Pat Meehan R) (Clinton 63%) Likely D (regular and special)
6. Open (Ryan Costello R) (Clinton 53%) Likely D
7. Vacant (Charlie Dent R) (Clinton 49%) Leans D (regular and special)
8. Matt Cartwright D (Trump 53%) Likely D
9. Open (Lou Barletta R) (Trump 65%) Safe R
10. Scott Perry R (Trump 52%) Leans R
11. Lloyd Smucker R (Trump 61%) Likely R
12. Tom Marino R (Trump 66%) Safe R
13. Open (Bill Shuster R) (Trump 71%) Safe R
14. Open (Connor Lamb D is running in District 17) (Trump 63%) Likely R
15. Glenn Thompson R (Trump 70%) Safe R
16. Mike Kelly R (Trump 58%) Leans R
17. Keith Rothfus R (being challenged by Connor Lamb D) (Trump 49%) Likely D
18. Mike Doyle D (Clinton 62%) Safe D

PA current: 6 D, 12 R
PA predicted: 9 D, 9 R

Current total: 165 D, 177 R
Predicted:
188 D (130 Safe, 31 Likely, 13 Leans, 14 Tossup)
154 R (76 Safe, 45 Likely, 20 Leans, 13 Tossup)