U.S. House Predictions- New Jersey- New York

9 Days Until Election Day

New Jersey

1. Donald Norcross D (Clinton 60%) Safe D
2. Open (Frank LoBiondo R) (Trump 50%) Likely D
3. Tom MacArthur R (Trump 51%) Tossup (R)
4. Chris Smith R (Trump 55%) Likely R
5. Josh Gottheimer D (Trump 48%) Likely D
6. Frank Pallone D (Clinton 56%) Safe D
7. Leonard Lance R (Clinton 48%) Tossup (D)
8. Albio Sires D (Clinton 75%) Safe D
9. Bill Pascrell D (Clinton 64%) Safe D
10. Donald Payne Jr. D (Clinton 85%) Safe D
11. Open (Rodney Frelinghuysen R) (Trump 48%) Leans D
12. Bonnie Watson-Coleman D (Clinton 65%) Safe D

NJ current: 7 D, 5 R
NJ predicted: 10 D, 2 R

Current total: 128 D, 126 R
Predicted:
145 D (102 Safe, 20 Likely, 12 Leans, 11 Tossup)
109 R (64 Safe, 22 Likely, 13 Leans, 10 Tossup)
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New Mexico

1. Open (Michelle Lujan Grisham D) (Clinton 52%) Likely D
2. Open (Steve Pearce R) (Trump 50%) Tossup (D)
3. Ben Ray Lujan D (Clinton 52%) Safe D

NM current: 2 D, 1 R
NM predicted: 3 D, 0 R

Current total: 130 D, 127 R
Predicted:
148 D (103 Safe, 21 Likely, 12 Leans, 12 Tossup)
109 R (64 Safe, 22 Likely, 13 Leans, 10 Tossup)
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New York

1. Lee Zeldin R (Trump 54%) Leans R
2. Pete King R (Trump 53%) Likely R
3. Tom Suozzi D (Clinton 51%) Likely D
4. Kathleen Rice D (Clinton 53%) Safe D
5. Gregory Meeks D (Clinton 85%) Safe D
6. Grace Meng D (Clinton 65%) Safe D
7. Nydia Velazquez D (Clinton 86%) Safe D
8. Hakeem Jeffries D (Clinton 84%) Safe D
9. Yvette Clark D (Clinton 83%) Safe D
10. Jerrold Nadler D (Clinton 78%) Safe D
11. Dan Donovan R (Trump 53%) Leans R
12. Carolyn Maloney D (Clinton 82%) Safe D
13. Adriano Espaillat D (Clinton 92%) Safe D
14. Open (Joe Crowley D- name remains on ballot as Working Families Party nominee but not campaigning) (Clinton 77%) Safe D
15. Jose Serrano D (Clinton 94%) Safe D
16. Eliot Engel D (Clinton 75%) Safe D
17. Nita Lowey D (Clinton 58%) Safe D
18. Sean Patrick Maloney D (Trump 49%) Likely D
19. John Faso R (Trump 50%) Tossup (R)
20. Paul Tonko D (Clinton 53%) Safe D
21. Elise Stefanik R (Trump 53%) Likely R
22. Claudia Tenney R (Trump 54%) Tossup (D)
23. Tom Reed R (Trump 54%) Likely R
24. John Katko R (Clinton 49%) Likely R
25. Vacant (Louise Slaughter D) (Clinton 55%) Safe D (regular and special)
26. Brian Higgins D (Clinton 58%) Safe D
27. Chris Collins R (Trump 59%) Tossup (R)

NY current: 18 D, 9 R
NY predicted: 19 D, 8 R

Current total: 148 D, 136 R
Predicted:
167 D (119 Safe, 23 Likely, 12 Leans, 13 Tossup)
117 R (64 Safe, 26 Likely, 15 Leans, 12 Tossup)