Sunday, November 02, 2014

Updated U.S. House Predictions

2 Days Until Election Day

I doubt that I will come across anything that will make me change any of these by the end of the day tomorrow, so here are the changes I am making:


188 D (137 Safe, 33 Likely, 11 Leans, 7 Tossup)
247 R (171 Safe, 52 Likely, 11 Leans, 13 Tossup)

NET REPUBLICAN GAIN OF 13

Arizona


1. Ann Kirkpatrick D (Romney 50%)- Tossup (R)- change from Leans R

California

24.  24. Lois Capps D (Obama 54%)- Leans D-change from Likely D

Georgia

12. John Barrow D (Romney 55%)- Tossup (D)- change from Leans D

Illinois

11. Bill Foster D (Obama 58%)- Leans D- change from Tossup (D)

Iowa

1. Open (Bruce Braley D)- (Obama 56%)- Tossup (D)- change from Leans D
3. Open (Tom Latham R)- (Obama 51%)- Tossup (R)- change from Tossup (D)

New York

1. Timothy Bishop D (Obama 50%)- Tossup (R)- change from Leans D
11. Michael Grimm R (Obama 52%)- Leans R- change from Tossup (R)
18. Sean Patrick Maloney D (Obama 51%)- Tossup (D)- change from Tossup (R)
24. Dan Maffei D (Obama 57%)- Tossup (R)- change from Leans D

Past U.S. House Results:

2006: 416-19 (96%)
2008: 418-17 (96%)
2010: 414-21 (95%)
2012: 415-20 (95%)

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