U.S. House Predictions- Part XII

5 Days Until Election Day

Utah

1. Rob Bishop R (Romney 77%)- Safe R
2. Chris Stewart R (Romney 68%)- Safe R
3. Jason Chaffetz R (Romney 78%)- Safe R
4. Open (Jim Matheson D)- (Romney 67%)- Leans R

UT current: 1 D, 3 R
UT predicted: 0 D, 4 R

Current total: 187 D, 214 R
Predicted:
177 D (128 Safe, 30 Likely, 13 Likely 6 Tossup)
224 R (160 Safe, 45 Likely, 8 Leans, 11 Tossup)
_____________________________________________________________________________

Vermont

1. Peter Welch D (Obama 67%)- Safe D

VT current: 1 D, 0 R
VT predicted: 1 D, 0 R

Current total: 188 D, 214 R
Predicted: 
178 D (129 Safe, 30 Likely, 13 Leans, 6 Tossup)
224 R (160 Safe, 45 Likely, 8 Leans, 11 Tossup)
_____________________________________________________________________________

Virginia

1. Rob Wittman R (Romney 53%)- Safe R
2. Scott Rigell R (Obama 50%)- Likely R
3. Robert Scott D (Obama 79%)- Safe D
4. Randy Forbes R (Romney 50%)- Safe R
5. Robert Hurt R (Romney 53%)- Safe R
6. Robert Goodlatte R (Romney 59%)- Safe R
7. Vacant (Eric Cantor R)- (Romney 57%)- Likely R/Regular and Special
8. Open (James Moran D)- (Obama 68%)- Safe D
9. Morgan Griffith R (Romney 63%)- Safe R
10. Open (Frank Wolf R)- (Romney 50%)- Likely R
11. Gerald Connolly D (Obama 62%)- Likely D

VA current: 3 D, 8 R
VA predicted: 3 D, 8 R

Current total: 191 D, 222 R
Predicted:
181 D (131 Safe, 31 Likely, 13 Leans, 6 Tossup)
232 R (165 Safe, 48 Likely, 8 Leans, 11 Tossup)
________________________________________________________________________________

Washington

1. Suzan DelBene D (Obama 54%)- Likely D
2. Rick Larsen D (Obama 59%)- Safe D
3. Jaime Herrera Beutler R (Romney 50%)- Likely R
4. Open (Doc Hastings R)- (Romney 60%)- Safe R/Leans Newhouse
5. Cathy McMorris Rodgers R (Romney 53%)- Safe R
6. Derek Kilmer D (Obama 56%)- Safe D
7. Jim McDermott D (Obama 79%)- Safe D
8. Dave Reichert R (Obama 50%)- Safe R
9. Adam Smith D (Obama 68%)- Safe D
10. Denny Heck D (Obama 56%)- Likely D

WA current: 6 D, 4 R
WA predicted: 6 D, 4 R

Current total: 197 D, 226 R
Predicted:
187 D (135 Safe, 33 Likely, 13 Leans, 6 Tossup)
236 R (168 Safe, 49 Likely, 8 Leans, 11 Tossup)
_____________________________________________________________________________

West Virginia

1. David McKinley R (Romney 62%)- Likely R
2. Open (Shelley Moore Capito R)- (Romney 60%)- Leans R
3. Nick Rahall D (Romney 65%)- Leans R

WV current: 1 D, 2 R
WV predicted: 0 D, 3 R

Current total: 198 D, 228 R
Predicted:
187 D (135 Safe, 33 Likely, 13 Leans, 6 Tossup)
239 R (168 Safe, 50 Likely, 10 Leans, 11 Tossup)
________________________________________________________________________________

Wisconsin

1. Paul Ryan R (Romney 52%)- Likely R
2. Mark Pocan D (Obama 68%)- Safe D
3. Ron Kind D (Obama 55%)- Likely D
4. Gwen Moore D (Obama 75%)- Safe D
5. Jim Sensenbrenner R (Romney 61%)- Safe R
6. Open (Tom Petri R)- (Romney 53%)- Leans R
7. Sean Duffy R (Romney 51%)- Likely R
8. Reid Ribble R (Romney 51%)- Safe R

WI current: 3 D, 5 R
WI predicted: 3 D, 5 R

Current total: 201 D, 233 R
Predicted:
190 D (137 Safe, 34 Likely, 13 Leans, 6 Tossup)
244 R (170 Safe, 52 Likely, 11 Leans, 11 Tossup)
________________________________________________________________________________

Wyoming

1. Cynthis Lummis R (Romney 69%)- Safe R

WY current: 0 D, 1 R
WY predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 201 D, 234 R
Predicted:
190 D (137 Safe, 34 Likely, 13 Leans, 6 Tossup)
245 R (171 Safe, 52 Likely, 11 Leans, 11 Tossup)

NET REPUBLICAN GAIN OF 11