2008 Races-April Ratings
First, let me say Rest in Peace to Charlton Heston, a great American in many regards.
AL Sen- Safe R
AK Sen- Leans R
AR Sen- Safe D
CO Sen- Tossup (R)
DE Gov- Safe D (changed from Leans D)
DE Sen- Safe D
GA Sen- Safe R
ID Sen- Safe R
IL Sen- Safe D
IN Gov- Leans R
IA Sen- Likely D
KS Sen- Likely R (changed from Safe R)
KY Sen- Likely R
LA Sen- Tossup (R)
ME Sen- Likely R
MA Sen- Likely D
MI Sen- Likely D
MN Sen- Leans R
MS Sen A- Safe R
MS Sen B- Likely R
MO Gov- Tossup (R)-(change from Tossup (D)
MT Gov- Likely D
MT Sen- Likely D
NE Sen- Likely R
NH Gov- Safe D (change from Likely D)
NH Sen- Tossup (R)
NJ Sen- Likely D (change from Leans D)
NM Sen- Leans D
NC Gov- Tossup (R)
NC Sen- Likely R
ND Gov- Safe R
OK Sen- Safe R
OR Sen- Leans R
RI Sen- Safe D
SC Sen- Safe R
SD Sen- Likely D
TN Sen- Safe R
TX Sen- Likely R
UT Gov- Safe R
VT Gov- Likely R
VA Sen- Likely D
WA Gov- Tossup (D)
WV Gov- Safe D
WV Sen- Safe D
WY Sen A- Safe R
WY Sen B- Safe R (change from Likely R)
2 Comments:
Corey, this is Conservative Democrat and you are WRONG on your Senate picks:
1. Colorado-OPEN: DEM GAIN with US Congressman Mark Udall (D-CO).
2. New Mexico-OPEN: DEM GAIN with popular US Congressman Tom Udall (D-New Mex.) winning the New Mexico Senate race with 64 percent of the vote.
3. Virginia-OPEN: DEM GAIN with popular former Virginia Governor Mark R. Warner (D) winning the VA Senate race with 60 percent.
4. New Hampshire-DEM GAIN with former 3-term New Hampshire Governor Jeanne Shaheen (D) knocking off Sununu by 16 points: 58% to 42%.
54 Democrats (CO, New Mex., VA and NH)
46 Republicans (LA)
The 2008 Governor's Mansions:
30 Democrats (MO and IN)
20 Republicans
In 2010, look for the Dems to gain CA, HI, RI, Minn, CT, AL, NV, and VT, a total of 8 pick-ups and holding onto TN, OR, AZ, New Mex., OK, PA, MI, and ME with a total of 35 Dems to 15 GOPers.
Do you base your predictions in close races on anything other than wishful thinking? This hackish fantasy isn't useful for anything.
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