Sunday, April 06, 2008

2008 Races-April Ratings

First, let me say Rest in Peace to Charlton Heston, a great American in many regards.

AL Sen- Safe R

AK Sen- Leans R

AR Sen- Safe D

CO Sen- Tossup (R)

DE Gov- Safe D (changed from Leans D)

DE Sen- Safe D

GA Sen- Safe R

ID Sen- Safe R

IL Sen- Safe D

IN Gov- Leans R

IA Sen- Likely D

KS Sen- Likely R (changed from Safe R)

KY Sen- Likely R

LA Sen- Tossup (R)

ME Sen- Likely R

MA Sen- Likely D

MI Sen- Likely D

MN Sen- Leans R

MS Sen A- Safe R

MS Sen B- Likely R

MO Gov- Tossup (R)-(change from Tossup (D)

MT Gov- Likely D

MT Sen- Likely D

NE Sen- Likely R

NH Gov- Safe D (change from Likely D)

NH Sen- Tossup (R)

NJ Sen- Likely D (change from Leans D)

NM Sen- Leans D

NC Gov- Tossup (R)

NC Sen- Likely R

ND Gov- Safe R

OK Sen- Safe R

OR Sen- Leans R

RI Sen- Safe D

SC Sen- Safe R

SD Sen- Likely D

TN Sen- Safe R

TX Sen- Likely R

UT Gov- Safe R

VT Gov- Likely R

VA Sen- Likely D

WA Gov- Tossup (D)

WV Gov- Safe D

WV Sen- Safe D

WY Sen A- Safe R

WY Sen B- Safe R (change from Likely R)

2 Comments:

At 5:35 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Corey, this is Conservative Democrat and you are WRONG on your Senate picks:

1. Colorado-OPEN: DEM GAIN with US Congressman Mark Udall (D-CO).

2. New Mexico-OPEN: DEM GAIN with popular US Congressman Tom Udall (D-New Mex.) winning the New Mexico Senate race with 64 percent of the vote.

3. Virginia-OPEN: DEM GAIN with popular former Virginia Governor Mark R. Warner (D) winning the VA Senate race with 60 percent.

4. New Hampshire-DEM GAIN with former 3-term New Hampshire Governor Jeanne Shaheen (D) knocking off Sununu by 16 points: 58% to 42%.

54 Democrats (CO, New Mex., VA and NH)

46 Republicans (LA)

The 2008 Governor's Mansions:

30 Democrats (MO and IN)

20 Republicans

In 2010, look for the Dems to gain CA, HI, RI, Minn, CT, AL, NV, and VT, a total of 8 pick-ups and holding onto TN, OR, AZ, New Mex., OK, PA, MI, and ME with a total of 35 Dems to 15 GOPers.

 
At 11:07 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Do you base your predictions in close races on anything other than wishful thinking? This hackish fantasy isn't useful for anything.

 

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