Sunday, March 01, 2020

2020 U.S. House Special Elections

In addition to Tuesday being "Super" at the Presidential level, it is also the start of downballot primaries for the 2020 elections. Additionally, California will be holding the first round of a special election for a U.S. House vacancy. If a candidate passed 50 percent of the vote, they will automatically be elected. This is not expected to happen, and a run-off between the top two finishers is likely to occur. Nonetheless, I have to make a formal "prediction" and will add in all the other races which will decide vacancies before November.

California 25

vacant upon resignation of Katie Hill (D)
won by Clinton with 50% of the vote

Leans D/Leans Smith
Maryland 7

vacant upon death of Elijah Cummings (D)
won by Clinton with 74% of the vote

Safe D
New York 27

vacant upon resignation of Chris Collins (R)
won by Trump with 59% of the vote

Likely R
Wisconsin 7

vacant upon resignation of Sean Duffy (R)
won by Trump with 57% of the vote

Likely R


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