U.S. House Special Elections

Next week, I will post about the New Jersey Gubernatorial election and will do the same the following week for Virginia. Before we get to that though, I will go ahead and formally predict the remaining two special elections for U.S. House vacancies.

 

Early last month, I predicted two Democrat wins in blue districts, which was not exactly hard to do. The margins were somehow larger for the party than some were perhaps anticipating. The Arizona winner has still not been sworn in to the U.S. House under orders of Speaker Mike Johnson, whom is likely following orders of someone else? Why? Well, it seems pretty obvious that since she would be the 218th person to sign a discharge position, there is somebody who is very desperate to delay for however long may be possible, any sort of release of the Epstein Files.

 

It should be noted that the Tennessee election will not take place until the beginning of December, well after the New Jersey and Virginia results are known. The Texas seat will see voting in three weeks on Election Day, but will almost certainly see nobody pass 50 percent and thus a runoff will be held on December 9th. Nonetheless, I am predicting these now. If I feel the need to do a revision down the road, I will do so.

 

Tennessee

 

7. vacant upon resignation of Mark Green R

 (won by Trump with 60 percent of the vote)

 

 Likely R

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Texas

 

18. vacant upon death of Sylvester Turner D 

(won by Harris with 69 percent of the vote)

 

Safe D/(Tossup/Edwards)